EUR/USD Analysis - April 20, 2021
Bullish Bat Pattern Continue to Play!
The EUR/USD closed at 1.2033 after placing a high of 1.2049 and a low of 1.1942. EUR/USD pair rose on Monday and reached its highest since 4th March amid U.S. dollar weakness. The demand for Euro continued to rise due to weakness in its rival currencies, including the British Pound and the U.S. dollar. On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index dropped sharply near its 7-week lowest level at 91.03 level and weighed heavily on the U.S. dollar that helped its rival currencies, including Euro, as both share a negative correlation. It means the weakness in the U.S. dollar has driven the recent strength in Euro.
The greenback was suffering as the market unravel speculation that the Federal Reserve could tighten U.S. monetary policy anytime soon. This was added by the unsurprising U.S. inflation data that faded any hope for a surge in inflation. Investors are starting to sell the U.S. dollar in favour of other riskier currencies for getting higher yields. So, the evaporated speculations of more hawkish Federal Reserve continued weighing on the U.S. dollar and benefitting EUR/USD pair.
On the data front, there was no macroeconomic data to be released from the U.S. side, from the European side, 13;00 GMT, the Current Account Balance from the Eurozone dropped to 25.9B against the expected 31.2B and weighed on single currency Euro that capped further gains in EUR/USD pair.
However, the EUR/USD pair gains were limited throughout the day amid the rising U.S. treasury bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose above 1.6% on Monday in the second half of the day and supported the U.S. dollar prices a little that eventually capped further gains in EUR/USD pair.
Meanwhile, on Sunday, the European Commissioner for Interior Market, Thierry Breton, said that Europe could decide not to renew its contract with the AstraZeneca pharmaceutical group due to delays in the delivery of vaccines since the start of the year.
On Tuesday, Germany will unveil the March Producer Price Index, and on Thursday, the European Central Bank is expected to hold its April policy decision. If the bank takes a more optimistic tone on the Eurozone economy, it could lead to stronger support for Euro and vice versa. On Thursday, French and Eurozone confidence data will also be revealed along with the U.S. jobless claims data.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1967 1.2074
1.1901 1.2115
1.1860 1.2181
Pivot Point; 1.2008
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
The technical side of the EUR/USD is exhibiting a solid bullish bias amid a weaker dollar and stronger Euro. Most of the market movement in the EUR/USD continues to depend upon the technical outlook as both nations lack high-impact economic events. The single currency Euro is trading at 1.2060 level, having disrupted an immediate resistance level of 1.2040. Above this, the next resistance holds around 1.2112 level, and violation of this level can also extend EUR/USD pair towards the next double top resistance level of 1.2246. The bullish bat pattern on the daily timeframe is playing well for the EUR/USD pair as it has already achieved its expected targets at 1.1983 and 1.2112. The recent bullish crossovers on MACD and RSI are supporting a bullish trend in the pair. Overall, bullish bias dominates in EUR/USD pair, especially over the 1.2008 level today. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 20, 2021
Descending Triangle Pattern
The BTC/USD was closed at 55639 after placing a high of 57359 and a low of 54912. Bitcoin continued its bearish momentum for the 4th consecutive session on Monday and dropped below 55,000 level. Bitcoin fell on Monday against the US dollar after dropping precipitously over the weekend in a flash crash. After reaching an all-time high near $65,000 last week, the cryptocurrency saw a steep decline and dropped more than 10K in value in just three days. It has dropped more than 20% over the weekend and is continuously declining and damaging the companies holding Bitcoin like Tesla, a key holder of the famed crypto, fell by 4%. The Coinbase that made its public appearance last week also dropped by 3%.
One of the cited reasons behind the decline of Bitcoin is the noise made by countries like Turkey that banned Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency payments and the talks of further scrutiny by the US Treasury. The competition around the crypto market is also expanding, with countries like China creating a digital Yuan. China is playing with the idea of rolling out the currency at the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics. Furthermore, the Bank of England has recently announced the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency and a task force to explore its uses. Some analysts believe that the competition of Bitcoin is rising with the tech companies working on their versions of cryptocurrencies, and this has been weighing on the prices of Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, the Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, Li Bo, said that bitcoin and stable coins were encrypted assets and not currency itself. He noted that crypto assets should play a significant role in the future either as an investment tool or as an investment alternative. News like this should swipe off some of the bearish tones from Bitcoin.
On Sunday, the Chief Investment Officer of Arca, Jeff Dorman, gave three reasons for the recent decline in Bitcoin prices. First, there was much confusion about the drop in BTC Hash Rate. Second, various people claimed that high-level Coinbase executives had sold most of their Coinbase shares shortly after its IPO on April 14. Third, the news about the US Treasury charging several financial institutions for money laundering using cryptocurrencies.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
54581.6 57027.8
53524.1 58416.5
52135.4 594739.9
Pivot Point; 55970.3
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The BTC/USD pair trades with a bearish bias at 54,834 level, having from 57,657 level. Previously, the leading cryptocurrency BTC/USD fell dramatically from 61,300 to 46,639 level amid violation of upward trendline and profit-taking by investors. Bitcoin has formed a descending triangle pattern on the hourly timeframe, supporting the leading cryptocurrency pair at 53,300 level and resistance at 55,425. The 20 & 50 periods EMA are pressing Bitcoin prices lower, extending strong resistance at 55,450 area. Simultaneously, the lagging indicators such as MACD and RSI also suggest a strong bearish trend as their values are holding at -405 and 42, respectively. A bearish breakout of 53,350 support level opens up additional room for selling until the next support area of 50,015. All the best!
Gold – XAU/USD Analysis - April 19, 2021
Ascending Triangle Breakout
Gold prices were closed at 1776.90 after placing a high of 1779.50 and a low of 1770.10. Gold extended its gains and reached its highest level since February 25th on Friday amid the weak U.S. dollar and rising geopolitical tensions. The declining U.S. Dollar Index boosted the strength in gold prices on Friday; DXY fell to 91.56 on the ending day of the week. Gold also got support from its safe-haven status after the heightened tensions between world powers America and Russia. On Thursday, the U.S. announced sanctions against Russia in response to cyber-attacks and other hostile actions. According to the White House, the measure targeted dozens of Russian officials amid their harmful foreign activities. The statement issued by the White House suggested that the Russian Intelligence was behind the massive last year’s SolarWinds hack as well as Moscow also interfered in the U.S. 2020 Elections.
The sanctions were detailed in an executive order signed by President Joe Biden. This order included a ban on U.S. financial institutions from participating in the primary market for the ruble and non-ruble denominated bonds from June. The sanctions also targeted 32 entities and officials accused of trying to influence the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Last month, the U.S. targeted 7 Russian officials and more than a dozen government entities over the poisoning of Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny that Russia denied. This week another executive order citing sanctions on Russian officials by the U.S. added further to the tensions between world powers and called for safe-haven appeal that drove gold prices higher on Friday.
The stresses between the U.S. and Russia escalated on Friday after Russia sanctioned eight senior U.S. administration officials, including FBI director Christopher Wary and Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines. These sanctions came in response to the U.S. sanctions announced on Thursday. The rising cycle of tensions between the countries added fuel to the upward momentum in yellow metal prices on Friday. Meanwhile, the tensions between the U.S. and China over Taiwan Strait also escalated amid rising fears that Beijing might invade the island much sooner than expected. The rising geopolitical tensions around the world helped yellow metal reach the 1,800 level.
Furthermore, the U.S. dollar remained weak across the board on Friday amid the dovish comments from the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell. He reaffirmed the central bank’s commitment to keeping the loose monetary policy in place that weighed on the greenback. The interest rates will not see a surge as inflation was not that high. Millions of Americans were still out of jobs and need assistance as the nation was rebuilding from the destruction provoked by the coronavirus pandemic. The weakness in the U.S. dollar also added to the gains of precious metal on Friday.
On the data front, at 17;30 GMT, Building Permits in March remained flat with the expectations of 1.75M. In March, the Housing Starts raised to 1.74M against the forecasted 1.60M and supported the U.S. dollar, and capped further gains in gold. At 19;00 GMT, the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment in April dropped to 86.5 against the forecasted 88.9 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added further gains in the yellow metal. The Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations raised in April to 3.7% against the previous 3.1%. The Treasury Department of the United States published its first foreign exchange report of President Joe Biden’s administration on Friday. The country did not designate China as a currency manipulator. The report followed the statement from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who said at her confirmation hearing in January that she would oppose any attempts by foreign countries to artificially manipulate currency values to gain an unfair advantage in trade.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
Support Resistance
1719.90 1775.50
1730.00 1785.60
1719.90 1803.30
Pivot Point: 1757.80
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
On Monday, the precious metal gold is trading sideways between a narrow trading range of 1,783 – 1,769 level. On the 4-hour timeframe, gold has formed an upward channel suggesting a bullish trend in gold and supporting it at 1,769 level. The resistance holds at 1,783 today. Gold’s next resistance holds around 1,803 level, but before this, the gold will be facing a strong hurdle at 1,783 level, the upper boundary of the trading range. The RSI (relative strength index) and the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) support a bullish trend in gold. The lagging indicators 20 and 50 EMA support the precious metal at 1,778 and 1,760 levels. Investors will be keeping an eye on the 1,783 – 1,769 trading range to trade the breakout. All the best!
EUR/USD Analysis - April 19, 2021
Bullish Bat Pattern Continue to Play!
The EUR/USD closed at 1.1983 after placing a high of 1.1996 and a low of 1.1950. EUR/USD pair posted gains on Friday amid weakness in U.S. dollar after the speculations for the hawkish Fed faded out of the market. The EUR/USD exchange rate capitalized on the weakness of the U.S. dollar on Friday whereas, the single currency Euro also found support from the improving Eurozone recovery hopes. Despite being at the biggest risk due to slow vaccine rollout, the Eurozone currency managed to gain a little support in recent weeks, primarily due to weakness in its biggest rival, the U.S. dollar. The two currencies share a negative correlation that means the Euro often climbs in times of declining U.S. dollar.
Even though the Eurozone economy has started recovering from the pandemic, the recovery rate was much weaker due to the slower vaccine rollout that poses the biggest threat to the economy. In contrast, Britain and the U.S. have successfully inoculated large portions of their populations. The eurozone that was already facing slow delivery of vaccines, has recently faced more troubles due to rising infection rates across the region. These negative developments in the bloc affected the macroeconomic releases from the area. They kept the single currency Euro under pressure that limited the rising prices of the EUR/USD pair on Friday.
On the data front, at 13:05 GMT, the Italian Trade Balance in February dropped to 4.75B against the expected 4.95B and weighed on the single currency Euro and capped further gains in EUR/USD pair. At 14:00 GMT, the Final CPI for the year from the whole bloc remained flat at 1.3%. The Final Core CPI for the year also remained unchanged at 0.9%. The Trade Balance from the bloc dropped to 18.4B against the forecasted 21.9B and weighed on single currency Euro and capped further upside momentum in EUR/USD pair. At 17;30 GMT, Building Permits in March remained flat with the anticipated of 1.75M. In March, the Housing Starts surged to 1.74M against the predicted 1.60M and supported the U.S. dollar that limited the rising prices of the EUR/USD pair. At 19;00 GMT, the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment in April declined to 86.5 against the expected 88.9 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added further gains in the EU/USD pair. The Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations rose in April to 3.7% against the previous 3.1%.
On the other hand, the recent rally in the greenback was largely due to the thought that revival from the coronavirus pandemic would drive inflation higher that will pressure the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy. However, these speculations ended after the dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, along with the largely unsurprising U.S. inflation data over the past week. After the speculations for the Fed tightening faded away, the U.S. dollar saw a decline in its demand that eventually helped EUR/USD pair to post gains.
The U.S. Dollar Index on Friday also declined and reached 91.5 level that also added further gains in EUR/USD pair. However, the gains in EUR/USD on Friday remained consolidated because of the rising geopolitical tensions between U.S. and China and U.S. and Russia. These tensions raised the safe-haven demand in the market that supported the greenback and kept the gains in currency pair EUR/USD under pressure for the day.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1949 1.1989
1.1933 1.2011
1.1910 1.2028
Pivot Point: 1.1972
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
On Monday, the technical side of the EUR/USD continues to trade sideways due to lack high-impact economic events from both of the Nations, the U.S., and the Eurozone. The single currency Euro is consolidating below an immediate resistance level of 1.1938 level. This resistance level is extended by a triple top pattern that we can see on the daily timeframe. On this daily timeframe, the EUR/USD closed a bullish bat pattern that typically drives a bullish trend in the market, and it did push the single currency Euro higher towards 1.1983 resistance. On the higher side, a breakout of triple top resistance 1.1983 can open room for a further bullish trend. The EUR/USD's next resistance stays at 1.2043, 1.2112, and 1.2246 areas. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 19, 2021
Nose Dive in Bitcoin
The BTC/USD closed at 56,163 after placing a high of 60,223 and a low of 54,416. BTC/USD continued its bearish trend for the third consecutive session and fell to its lowest level since 26th March. The recent decline in the cryptocurrency market was triggered after the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey instituted a ban on cryptocurrency payments. This ban came in as Turkey's fiat currency, and Lira was failing. This ban is said to commence at the end of April.
According to CBRT, the lack of a mechanism for supervision and central authority regulations for cryptocurrencies was the major reason behind the recent ban. The CBRT also cited that the cryptocurrency market was highly volatile, and many cryptocurrency transactions were irrevocable.
The reasons given by CBRT were similar to that given by the Nigerian central bank last month, when it issued a reminder of a ban on financial services for cryptocurrency exchange operations in the country. On Friday, the CBRT issued several restrictions on cryptocurrency transactions that will restrict the payment service providers from incorporating digital assets into their services directly or indirectly. This ban will take full effect as from 30th April. After releasing this ban, Bitcoin prices started to fall and have been falling since then to reach their lowest level since 26th March, at around 54,000.
After a few weeks of headlines, Turkey saw a surge in Google searches for Bitcoin. The renewed interest in Bitcoin in the country came after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sacked the governor of CBRT, Naci Agbal. According to some experts, Turkey will only see a new wave of interest for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies after this ban as the country were struggling with high inflation.
Another reason behind the recent decline in the cryptocurrency market could be attributed to the rumours that started to spread over the weekend. The US Treasury was planning to charge several financial institutions for money laundering through digital assets. The news is yet to confirm by the agency, but it has caused a disruption in the cryptocurrency market and a massive scale that drove Bitcoin below 52,000. Almost the top 100 cryptocurrencies experienced a –10% to –20% decline.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
51032.8 62831.1
53654.7 61520.2
54965.6 58898.3
Pivot Point: 57587.4
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The leading cryptocurrency BTC/USD fell dramatically from 61,300 to 46,639 level amid violation of upward trendline and profit-taking by investors. Currently, the BTC/USD pair has covered most of the losses and completed 50% Fibonacci retracement at 55,565 level. Bitcoin is trading at 56,750 level heading towards a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 57,870. The 61.8% Fibo level extends solid resistance level to Bitcoin bulls; closings of Doji or Spinning top candle typically drive prices lower. On the downside, the support levels continue to hold at 53,685 and 50,918 levels. All the best!
Gold – XAU/USD Analysis - April 16, 2021
Ascending Triangle Breakout
On Thursday, Gold prices soared to 7-week highs to trade just beneath $1,770 per ounce afternoon in London following new economic figures that reported a record jump in the U.S. retail sales coincided with the previous month's $1,400 Covid stimulus checks delivered to most U.S. adults. The precious metal safe-haven-metal succeeded in extending its overnight winning streak and drew some further bids around above the $1,740 level as the U.S. dollar remains bearish around a one-month low. The U.S. dollar was being pressured by the Federal Reserve's discussions that interest rates can stay low, making U.S. bond yields weaker and contributes to the gold gains. Meanwhile, backed by the combination of factors, the upbeat market mood also played a significant role in undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which lends some additional support to the gold prices to stay bid.
Apart from this, the intensified concerns over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine shortages fuel the fears over slower economic recovery. As per the latest report, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is expected to extend the ban on the use of Johnson & Johnson's covid vaccine. This, in turn, exerted downside pressure on the market risk tone and contributed to U.S. dollar gains.
On the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in stopping its overnight declines and edged higher during the Asian session on the day amid risk-off market sentiment. However, the U.S. dollar bullish bias was relatively unaffected by the Federal Reserve's demand of keeping an accommodative policy stance for a while longer. Hence, the gains in the U.S. dollar were seen as one of the key factors that kept the XAU/USD currency pair under pressure.
Although the precious metal gold managed to gain solid support despite the release of robust inflation data from the U.S. economy, the increase of the covid cases in the bloc also supported a bullish trend in the XAU/USD pair.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
Support Resistance
1730.36 1756.51
1713.78 1766.08
1704.21 1782.66
Pivot Point: 1739.18
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
The precious metal gold is trading sharply bullish at 1,766 level, having violated an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. The ascending triangle pattern extended resistance at 1,759 level, and since it's been violated now, the exact resistance level of 1,759 can work as support now. Gold is exhibiting bearish correction after placing a high of around 1,769 level, and so far, it has plunged until 1,759 support level. On the 1-hour chart, gold has closed candles above 1,759, triggering bounce off in gold until gold's resistance level of 1,769. A bullish breakout of 1,759 resistance opens up gold's buying trend next resistance level of 1,782. All the best!
EUR/USD Analysis - April 16, 2021
Bullish Bat Pattern in Play!
During Friday's Asian trading hours, the EUR/USD currency pair failed to stop its overnight losing streak and remained sidelined below the 1.1950 level. The German bund yield's dropped from the 1-month high, with the most significant daily losses since early March. This eventually triggered the pair's pullback from a 7-week high to snapped a 3-day winning streak overnight. Besides this, the selling bias around the currency pair could also be attributed to the market risk-off sentiment that's underpinning the U.S. dollar and contributing to the currency pair gains.
The losses in the EUR/USD currency pair were further bolstered by the latest report suggesting that the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) extended the ban on the use of Johnson & Johnson's covid vaccine. In response, the single currency Euro took a hit as this news may cause a slow down in Eurozone's economic recovery. The EUR/USD is trading at 1.1968 and consolidating in the range between 1.1950 - 1.1974.
The global equity market failed to extend its previous-day positive performance and turned bearish on the day as U.S. - Russia and Sino-American tussles getting worse day by day. The U.S. decided to inflict sanctions on Russia over election interference and hacking, which is recently gained significant market attention. However, U.S. President Joe Biden strongly supported the move while saying to Russian President Vladimir Putin, "The U.S. could slap further sanctions, but Biden chose not to do so." Thus, the news added to the market's risk-off sentiment and helped the U.S. dollar stay bid.
In the meantime, U.S. President Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga are set to meet in the White House at about 13:30 GMT on the day. Wherein they would talk about China, as per the report from the U.S. Administration official. After the U.S. attempt to gather global support while battling with China, the U.S. -China tension is expected to intensify further as Beijing recently warned America over Hong Kong and Taiwan's role. Hence, the fears of a full-fledged trade/political war between the U.S. and China have been pondering on the market trading sentiment and were seen as one of the leading factors that kept the EUR/USD currency pair lower. Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on the final reading of March's Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to confirm 1.3% YoY figures. Apart from this, the U.S. data will also be essential to watch. In addition to this, updates over the vaccine will not lose their importance. Let's take a look at the technical side of the market.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1898 1.1976
1.1849 1.2005
1.1820 1.2053
Pivot Point: 1.1927
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
On Friday, the technical side of the EUR/USD hasn't changed a lot as the market continues to lack high-impact economic events from both of the Nations, the U.S., and the Eurozone. The single currency Euro is consolidating below an immediate resistance level of 1.1938 level. This resistance level is extended by a triple top pattern that we can see on the daily timeframe. On the daily timeframe, the EUR/USD closed a bullish bat pattern that typically drives a bullish trend in the market, and it did push the single currency Euro higher towards 1.1983 resistance. On the higher side, a breakout of triple top resistance 1.1983 can open room for a further bullish trend. The EUR/USD's next resistance stays at 1.2043, 1.2112, and 1.2246 areas. At the same time, the support continues to hold at 1.1915 and 1.1865. Today, the investor's focus will stay on Final CPI y/y, Final Core CPI y/y, and Trade Balance figures from the Eurozone economy. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 16, 2021
Upward Trendline Support
During Friday's Asian session, the BTC/USD crypto pair hit the new all-time high at $64,892 before starting a downside correction. The BTC/USD pair corrected below the $64,000 and $63,500 support levels. The price is trading well above the $62,000 mark and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
Most of the Bitcoin movement was driven on the back of Coinbase IPO (Initial Public Offering) and its performance on the New York stock exchange. The listing is by far the largest yet of a cryptocurrency firm, with the San Francisco-based company stating last month that private market deals had evaluated the company at about $68 billion this year, compared to $5.8 billion in September.
The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, drew back from an ATH (all-time high) as the U.S. crypto exchange dropped to settle down 14%. It began trading at $381 per share in its primary listing soon ere 1:30 p.m. in New York and soared as high as $429 in the initial 10 minutes of trading. It concluded at $328.28. Bitcoin plunged to its session low when Coinbase took a reversal ere paring losses. During the Asian session today, the BTC/USD was trading around $63,160 in Hong Kong.
However, the reason for the bearish BTC could be tied to the mixed U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar extended its worst back-to-back weekly drop amid an extended decline in Treasury yields as the Federal Reserve demanded keeping an accommodative policy position for a while longer.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
61106.0 64724.0
58694.0 65930.0
57488.0 68342.0
Pivot Point: 62312.0
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The BTC/USD is trading at 62,580 level, holding above a strong support level of 61,621 level. On the 4-hour chart, the BTC/USD pair has formed an upward trendline that is supporting the pair at the 61,620 level. A bearish breakout of this support level opens up additional room for selling until the next support area of 59,400. The leading indicator RSI (Relative Strength Index) is crossing below 50 levels, suggesting selling trend continuation in Bitcoin. The lagging technical indicator such as the 20 & 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) indicates a bullish trend. However, we can also see on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is trying to cross below 20 EMA, and if it happens, the 61,250 and 59,400 could be more appealing support for the Bitcoin investors. All the best!
Gold – XAU/USD Analysis - April 15, 2021
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
During Thursday's Asian trading session, the safe-haven-metal succeeded in extending its overnight winning streak and drew some further bids around above the $1,740 level as the U.S. dollar remains bearish around a one-month low. The U.S. dollar was being pressured by the Federal Reserve's discussions that interest rates can stay low, making U.S. bond yields weaker and contributes to the gold gains. Meanwhile, the upbeat market mood, backed by the combination of factors, also played its major role in undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which lends some additional support to the gold prices to stay bid.
Furthermore, the yellow metal prices' upticks were further bolstered by the concerns over the Johnson & Johnson's vaccine. In the meantime, the back-to-back warnings from Beijing over the Hong Kong issue probes the market's upbeat mood, which was seen as one of the key factors that help the gold prices to put bids. Elsewhere, the fresh U.S. sanctions on Russia and Saudi Arabian interference of Houthi missiles and drones also question the market mood. Alternatively, backed by hopes of economic recovery and the expectations of U.S. stimulus, the upbeat market sentiment was seen as one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the safe-haven-metal.
At the moment, the precious metal gold is currently trading at 1,740.47 and consolidating in the range between 1,734.42 - 1,740.60 as the European Union stopped the Johnson & Johnson vaccine rollout. The case was similar to that of the AstraZeneca vaccine that suggests not to use further due to blood clotting side effects. This news also supported the safe-haven yellow metal prices on Tuesday.
Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on the various data as Thursday is busy with U.S. data, including retail sales data for March and weekly jobless data, which are due at 1230GMT. Apart from this, the U.S. dollar price movement will continue to play a vital role in the gold direction.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
Support Resistance
1730.36 1756.51
1713.78 1766.08
1704.21 1782.66
Pivot Point: 1739.18
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
The XAU/USD is trading with a choppy at 1,742 level, holding in between a narrow trading range of 1,749 - 1,733. On the 4-hour chart, the yellow metal gold continues to hold a symmetrical triangle pattern extending resistance at 1,749 and support at 1,733. A bullish breakout of this pattern opens room until the next resistance area of 1,758. On Tuesday, the 1,739 is working as an intraday pivot point level, and it may offer vital support to gold prices. The series of 20 and 50 periods EMA are neutral, extending mixed bias for gold. Gold continues to face a hard time violating the 1,739 support level, but the next support will prevail around 1,723 level once it does. Bullish bias dominates over 1,739 levels today, along with resistance levels at 1,758 and 1,766 levels. All the best!
XRP/USD Analysis - April 15, 2021
Fibonacci Retracement in Play!
The XRP/USD was closed at 1.79630 after placing a high of 1.85170 and a low of 1.45521. Ripple prices surged sharply by more than 20% on Tuesday and reached above 1.8500 level. This surge was the largest one-day percentage gain since April 10. Ripple also followed the rise in Bitcoin on Tuesday, just like other cryptocurrencies, and reached its 3-year high level above $1.85. Bitcoin finally broke its previous ATH and reached above $63,000 on Tuesday, pushing the entire cryptocurrency market higher.
Bitcoin has been gaining recently because of the increased adoption by big institutions and the upcoming listing of Coinbase exchange on NASDAQ on Wednesday. The positive news from MicroStrategy Inc. to pay its board of directors with Bitcoin and Times Magazine and Tesla Inc. to hold Bitcoin has pushed BTC/USD prices above its ATH.
On the Ripple front, it is no secret that the token is facing legal troubles due to an ongoing legal battle with SEC. But Ripple has managed to gain massive gains in value because of recent victories in the lawsuit. These positive developments in the Ripple case against US SEC have provided strength to XRP prices that have shifted the trend to positive. Over the previous seven days, XRP has seen a rise in its value with more than 87% gains. The trend is likely followed given the recent spike in the cryptocurrency market.
On the U.S. dollar front, the greenback remained weak across the board amid declining yields on benchmark Treasury notes of 10-year and 30-year on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar was also weak amid the rising concerns about inflation that should force Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. Still, Fed has said that it would not do so until improvement in the job sector is visible. The declining U.S. dollar prices also supported the rising prices of XRP and pushed it to its 3-year highest level on Tuesday.
XRP/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.55044 1.94693
1.30458 2.09756
1.15395 2.34342
Pivot Point: 1.70107
XRP/USD - Technical Outlook
On Thursday, the XRP/USD pair is trading with a bearish bias at a 1.7154 level, heading lower towards the support area of 1.6277 that marks 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The 38.2% Fibo level violation opens the bearish room until the next support area of 1.6277 (50% Fibo level) and 1.5541 level (61.8%). The MACD and RSI are held at 0.14 and 62, respectively, supporting bullish trends in the XRP/USD pair. On the 4-hour chart, the XRP/USD pair has also formed an upward trendline that's keeping the Ripple at 1.6277 level. Lastly, the Ripple is holding above 20 and 50 periods EMA supporting the upward trend in Ripple. Investors may keep an eye on series of U.S. economic events such as retail sales, core retail sales, and U.S. unemployment claims as these events typically drive sharp volatility in the market. All the best!