Gold – XAU/USD Analysis - April 15, 2021
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
During Thursday's Asian trading session, the safe-haven-metal succeeded in extending its overnight winning streak and drew some further bids around above the $1,740 level as the U.S. dollar remains bearish around a one-month low. The U.S. dollar was being pressured by the Federal Reserve's discussions that interest rates can stay low, making U.S. bond yields weaker and contributes to the gold gains. Meanwhile, the upbeat market mood, backed by the combination of factors, also played its major role in undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which lends some additional support to the gold prices to stay bid.
Furthermore, the yellow metal prices' upticks were further bolstered by the concerns over the Johnson & Johnson's vaccine. In the meantime, the back-to-back warnings from Beijing over the Hong Kong issue probes the market's upbeat mood, which was seen as one of the key factors that help the gold prices to put bids. Elsewhere, the fresh U.S. sanctions on Russia and Saudi Arabian interference of Houthi missiles and drones also question the market mood. Alternatively, backed by hopes of economic recovery and the expectations of U.S. stimulus, the upbeat market sentiment was seen as one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the safe-haven-metal.
At the moment, the precious metal gold is currently trading at 1,740.47 and consolidating in the range between 1,734.42 - 1,740.60 as the European Union stopped the Johnson & Johnson vaccine rollout. The case was similar to that of the AstraZeneca vaccine that suggests not to use further due to blood clotting side effects. This news also supported the safe-haven yellow metal prices on Tuesday.
Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on the various data as Thursday is busy with U.S. data, including retail sales data for March and weekly jobless data, which are due at 1230GMT. Apart from this, the U.S. dollar price movement will continue to play a vital role in the gold direction.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
Support Resistance
1730.36 1756.51
1713.78 1766.08
1704.21 1782.66
Pivot Point: 1739.18
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
The XAU/USD is trading with a choppy at 1,742 level, holding in between a narrow trading range of 1,749 - 1,733. On the 4-hour chart, the yellow metal gold continues to hold a symmetrical triangle pattern extending resistance at 1,749 and support at 1,733. A bullish breakout of this pattern opens room until the next resistance area of 1,758. On Tuesday, the 1,739 is working as an intraday pivot point level, and it may offer vital support to gold prices. The series of 20 and 50 periods EMA are neutral, extending mixed bias for gold. Gold continues to face a hard time violating the 1,739 support level, but the next support will prevail around 1,723 level once it does. Bullish bias dominates over 1,739 levels today, along with resistance levels at 1,758 and 1,766 levels. All the best!
XRP/USD Analysis - April 15, 2021
Fibonacci Retracement in Play!
The XRP/USD was closed at 1.79630 after placing a high of 1.85170 and a low of 1.45521. Ripple prices surged sharply by more than 20% on Tuesday and reached above 1.8500 level. This surge was the largest one-day percentage gain since April 10. Ripple also followed the rise in Bitcoin on Tuesday, just like other cryptocurrencies, and reached its 3-year high level above $1.85. Bitcoin finally broke its previous ATH and reached above $63,000 on Tuesday, pushing the entire cryptocurrency market higher.
Bitcoin has been gaining recently because of the increased adoption by big institutions and the upcoming listing of Coinbase exchange on NASDAQ on Wednesday. The positive news from MicroStrategy Inc. to pay its board of directors with Bitcoin and Times Magazine and Tesla Inc. to hold Bitcoin has pushed BTC/USD prices above its ATH.
On the Ripple front, it is no secret that the token is facing legal troubles due to an ongoing legal battle with SEC. But Ripple has managed to gain massive gains in value because of recent victories in the lawsuit. These positive developments in the Ripple case against US SEC have provided strength to XRP prices that have shifted the trend to positive. Over the previous seven days, XRP has seen a rise in its value with more than 87% gains. The trend is likely followed given the recent spike in the cryptocurrency market.
On the U.S. dollar front, the greenback remained weak across the board amid declining yields on benchmark Treasury notes of 10-year and 30-year on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar was also weak amid the rising concerns about inflation that should force Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. Still, Fed has said that it would not do so until improvement in the job sector is visible. The declining U.S. dollar prices also supported the rising prices of XRP and pushed it to its 3-year highest level on Tuesday.
XRP/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.55044 1.94693
1.30458 2.09756
1.15395 2.34342
Pivot Point: 1.70107
XRP/USD - Technical Outlook
On Thursday, the XRP/USD pair is trading with a bearish bias at a 1.7154 level, heading lower towards the support area of 1.6277 that marks 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The 38.2% Fibo level violation opens the bearish room until the next support area of 1.6277 (50% Fibo level) and 1.5541 level (61.8%). The MACD and RSI are held at 0.14 and 62, respectively, supporting bullish trends in the XRP/USD pair. On the 4-hour chart, the XRP/USD pair has also formed an upward trendline that's keeping the Ripple at 1.6277 level. Lastly, the Ripple is holding above 20 and 50 periods EMA supporting the upward trend in Ripple. Investors may keep an eye on series of U.S. economic events such as retail sales, core retail sales, and U.S. unemployment claims as these events typically drive sharp volatility in the market. All the best!
EUR/USD Analysis - April 15, 2021
Upward Channel in Play!
During Thursday's Asian trading hours, the EUR/USD currency pair failed to extend its previous three-day uptrend and dropped below the 1.1970 level mainly due to the circumspect sentiment before Germany's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (headline inflation figures) as well as the key U.S. data. Moreover, the concerns over the US-China tussle and the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine also playing its major role in undermining the EUR/USD currency pair. Meanwhile, the ever-increasing COVID-19 cases in Europe keep fueling the doubts over the European economic recovery, that turned out to be key factors that kept the EUR/USD currency pair down. The traders need strong proofs over the faster economic recovery, which in turn, they may look towards the economic calendar for the same. Conversely, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by the combination of factors, failed to provide any meaningful support to the EUR/USD pair. Currently, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3556 and consolidating in the range between 1.1970 - 1.1990.
The global equity market extended its previous session bullish moves and remained positive on the day. The uptrend was entirely sponsored by the hopes of economic recovery and expectations of U.S. stimulus. The U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the U.S. country is on track for quicker growth. He further appended that the central banks would keep supporting the U.S. economy until the economy recovers completely. Across the ocean, the eurozone economy is presenting mixed signals about its performance. The eurozone economy is entirely dependent on the "two crutches" of monetary and fiscal stimulus, which keep going on until the economy recovers completely, as per the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. Therefore, the upbeat market mood failed to provide any meaningful support to the EUR/USD currency pair.
Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. data, including retail sales data for March and weekly jobless data, which are due at 12:30 GMT. In addition to this, the updates about the U.S. stimulus package will be key to watch. Furthermore, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes will not lose their importance.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1898 1.1976
1.1849 1.2005
1.1820 1.2053
Pivot Point: 1.1927
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
The EUR/USD continues trading with a bullish bias at the 1.1982 level as the MACD and RSI values hold at 0.0006 and 62, signalling bullish bias among investors. On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD has completed 23.6% at 1.1968 and 38.2% retracement at 1.1950 level. On the higher side, the EUR/USD pair may find an immediate resistance at 1.1990, and in case of a bullish breakout, the next resistance will prevail around the 1.2025 level. On the hourly timeframe, the 20 & 50 periods EMA support the EUR/USD at 1.1969 and 1.1950, respectively. Today, the investor's focus will stay on the series of speeches from the U.S. Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Unemployment Claims as these can drive volatility in the market. All the best!
Gold – XAU/USD Analysis - April 14, 2021
Pivot Point Supports At $1,739
The yellow metal gold prices were closed at 1746.95 after placing a high of 1749.50 and a low of 1723.35. After dropping for two consecutive days, gold advanced on Tuesday and recovered some of its previous losses amid the declining U.S. treasury yields and US CPI data release. The solid demand for a 30-year bond auction weighed on the U.S. treasury yields and flattened the yield curve. The Benchmark 10-year yields fell by 5.8 basis points and reached 1.618%, while the 30-year yield dropped by five basis points and reached 2.2977%. The declining U.S. Treasury yields added weight on the U.S. dollar that ultimately supported the rising prices of yellow metal on Tuesday.
The U.S. Dollar Index that gauges the greenback's value against the basket of six major currencies also fell to the three-week lowest level at 91.78 and supported the upward trend in gold prices. The greenback's weakness was also associated with the increasing concerns that the unprecedented levels of fiscal stimulus and pent-up demand will lead to higher inflation. This ultimately can force the Federal Reserve to tighten its monetary policies more quickly than earlier expected. Fed officials are committed to supporting the economic recovery until the job figures improve and deny that they see any bump in inflation as temporary. Still, a hefty CPI jump would raise the pressure, especially after a sharp rise in producer prices.
The price pressures are increasing with the rising import and commodity prices and the ISM manufacturing and services prices are both at the highest level since 2008. Furthermore, the U.S. consumer price figures also showed a surge in inflation by the highest in more than eight and half years in March that set off the expectations of the short-lived spell of higher inflation and raised the demand for bullion that is also used as an inflation hedge.
At 15:00 GMT, NFIB Small Business Index remained flat with the forecasted 98.2 that did not affect U.S. dollar prices. At 17:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March raised to 0.6% against the expected 0.5% and supported the U.S. dollar, and capped further upside in gold prices. In March, the Core CPI also surged to 0.3% against the estimated 0.2%, supported the U.S. dollar, and limited the rise in yellow metal prices.
Gold prices gained support on the latest news that the Johnson & Johnson vaccine got banned temporarily because of rare blood clotting. Several U.S. health officials suggested stopping or delay the use of the J&J coronavirus vaccine after reports of irregular blood clotting. The U.S., South Africa, and the European Union stopped the Johnson & Johnson vaccine rollout. The case was similar to that of the AstraZeneca vaccine that suggests not to use further due to blood clotting side effects. This news also supported the safe-haven yellow metal prices on Tuesday.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
Support Resistance
1730.36 1756.51
1713.78 1766.08
1704.21 1782.66
Pivot Point: 1739.93
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
On the technical side, the XAU/USD is trading with a bullish bias at 1,747, facing immediate resistance at 1,749 levels. On the 4-hour chart, gold has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, and the violation of this candle is likely to extend the buying trend until the 1,758 resistance area. Today, the 1,739 is working as an intraday pivot point level, and it may offer vital support to gold prices. The series of 20 and 50 periods EMA also supports a buying trend as these are extending support precisely at the pivot point area of 1,739. Gold may find hard time violating the 1,739 support level, but the next support will prevail around 1,723 level once it does. Bullish bias dominates over 1,739 levels today, along with resistance levels at 1,758 and 1,766 levels. All the best!
EUR/USD Analysis - April 14, 2021
Upward Channel in Play!
The EUR/USD was closed at 1.1946 after placing a high of 1.1956 and a low of 1.1878. EUR/USD pair extended its gains and reached its highest level since March 18, above 1.195 level on Tuesday, despite dismal European economic data. The rising EUR/USD prices could be attributed to the U.S. dollar's weakness across the board. The U.S. dollar was weak on Tuesday against the basket of six major currencies as it fell to 91.78 level amid the declining U.S. Treasury yields. The yields on 10-year Treasury note fell by 5.8 basis points to 1.618%, and the yields on 30-year Treasury note also fell by five basis points to 2.2977%. The benchmark Treasury yields fell on Tuesday amid the high demand for a 30-year bond auction and weighed on the greenback that ultimately pushed the currency pair EUR/USD higher.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar was also weak across the board amid the rising concerns that the recent increase in prices was not temporary. It would force the Federal Reserve to change its decision about monetary policy. The U.S. Fed has said that it would continue its support to economic recovery until job figures improve, but the recent jump in CPI suggests otherwise. These concerns kept the U.S. dollar under pressure on Tuesday, and hence, the EUR/USD pair reached above 1.19500 level.
On the data front, at 11:00 GMT, the German WPI for March raised to 1.7% against the expected 0.6% and supported single currency Euro that added further gains in EUR/USD pair. At 13:00 GMT, the Italian Industrial Production dropped to 0.2% against the forecasted 0.7% and weighed on single currency Euro that capped further gains in EUR/USD pair. At 14:00 GMT, the ZEW Economic Sentiment for April dropped to 66.3 against the forecasted 77.2 and weighed on single currency Euro and limited the currency pair EUR/USD's rising prices. For April, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment also declined to 70.7 against the expected 79.1 and weighed on the single currency Euro.
At 15:00 GMT, NFIB Small Business Index remained flat with the anticipated 98.2 that did not affect U.S. dollar prices. At 17:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March surged to 0.6% against the projected 0.5% and supported the U.S. dollar that capped further upside in EUR/USD. In March, the Core CPI also rose to 0.3% against the projected 0.2%, supported the U.S. dollar, and limited the rising prices of EUR/USD.
Furthermore, the use of the vaccine by Johnson & Johnson was also stopped after reports of rare blood clotting. US FDA approved this vaccine in February, and now U.S. health officers have suggested stopping its rollout because of rare blood clotting reports. This vaccine followed the same case of AstraZeneca and now, along with the U.S., South Africa, and European Union, also stopped its usage. This also raised concerns about the USA's economic recovery and weighed on the U.S. dollar that ultimately added further upward momentum in EUR/USD pair.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1898 1.1976
1.1849 1.2005
1.1820 1.2053
Pivot Point: 1.1927
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD continues trading with a bullish bias at 1.1962 level amid a stronger Euro and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The MACD and the RSI values hold at 0.002 and 69, suggesting a definite upward trend in the pair. On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD has also closed the "Three White Soldiers" candlestick pattern that depicts bullish bias among investors. Speaking about the leading and lagging indicators, the 20 and 50 periods EMA are supporting bullish trends in the EUR/USD pair. Technically, the indicators support a bullish bias in the EUR/USD pair; as you can see on the 4-hour chart, the pair has formed an upward channel that is likely to extend support around the 1.1909 level. The upward channel provides resistance at 1.1976 and 1.20050 levels today. Lastly, the investor's focus will stay on the series of speeches from the ECB President Lagarde and Fed Chair Powell as these can drive volatility in the market. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 14, 2021
BTC Violates Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
The BTC/USD was closed at 63518 after placing a high of 63518 and a low of 59900. Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high (ATH) level and reached above $63,500 level on Tuesday ahead of the listing of Coinbase shares in the U.S. The listing of the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange on the Nasdaq on Wednesday was considered a landmark victory for cryptomarket advocates. Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency globally, and its acceptance as an investment and means of payment is growing rapidly. On Tuesday, Bitcoin prices rose about 5% and reached an ATH of $63,000.
The listing of Coinbase on Nasdaq will mark a turning point for the cryptocurrency industry, and this optimism has led to a recent hike in BTC prices on Tuesday. This month, the overall market capitalization reached above $2 trillion, which was also an ATH peak. The increased popularity of Bitcoin is driving its prices higher, and the whole cryptocurrency market is getting benefits from it.
Talking about the increased popularity of Bitcoin, the Grayscale Fund manager has announced a partnership with New York TIME Magazine. This partnership is expected to produce an educational crypto video series. Another interesting fact about this partnership was that the company would be paid in Bitcoin, and it will be the first media industry to receive payments in Bitcoin.
On Monday, MicroStrategy’s CEO and founder, Michael Saylor have announced that after making a big purchase of 100,000 bitcoins in several months, the Nasdaq listed business intelligence giant will start paying its non-employee directors in Bitcoin instead of cash. Given this news, the host of CNBC, Jim Cramer, has also said that he wanted to be paid in bitcoin. This report also resulted in rising prices of Bitcoin on Tuesday.
Furthermore, on the U.S. dollar front, the greenback remained weak across the board due to declining U.S. treasury yields on the day. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.618% and dragged the U.S. dollar with itself that added further gains in the rising prices of BTC/USD.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
61106.0 64724.0
58694.0 65930.0
57488.0 68342.0
Pivot Point: 62312.0
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The BTC/USD has traded in line with April 14 analysis as it successfully violated the symmetrical triangle pattern on the 2-hour timeframes. Currently, the BTC/USD pair is trading at 64,300 level, and it’s likely to face immediate resistance at the 64,829 level. A bullish breakout of 64,829 levels can drive move upward movement until 65,948. However, the RSI and MACD values suggest the pair has entered the overbought zone, and it may require investors to kick in profit-taking. Considering this, the odds of bearish correction also stays strong below 64,829 level today. On the downside, the BTC/USD pair is likely to gain support at the intraday pivot point support level of 62,312. All the best!
Gold Analysis - April 13, 2021
Descending Triangle Breakout, Bearish Bias Dominates!
Gold prices were closed at 1732.05 after placing a high of 1745.30 and a low of 1727.15. Gold continued its bearish trend for the third consecutive session and posted losses on Monday amid the rising U.S. Treasury yields that decreased the bullion's appeal. Meanwhile, investors were waiting for the essential U.S. inflation and retail sales data to measure the economy's health.
Gold prices remained stuck under the key $1750 level despite the sluggish U.S. dollar. The U.S. 10-year Treasury note's benchmark yield reached 1.685% on Monday and added weight on the metal prices as they do not produce any yield or dividend. The Treasury yields were rising due to an excellent three-year and 10-year note auction and the awaited key data about the retail sales and inflation. CPI is scheduled to release on Tuesday and Retail Sales on Thursday, and the markets were under consolidation ahead of these data releases.
Higher yields threaten the appeal for gold as an inflation hedge due to the increased opportunity cost of holding gold which pays no interest. On Sunday, the Chairman of Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, said that he was optimistic about the U.S. economy bouncing back due to successful coronavirus vaccine campaigns; however, he was also worried about the possibility of another surge in the infection cases. Powell was worried that a hasty reopening of economies could trigger a spike in coronavirus cases.
Powell said that the U.S. economy was at a turning point because of the successful government support and speedy vaccine campaigns. He forecasted that the U.S. economic growth would be robust in the second half of this year. Powell said that the U.S. economy was at an inflection point where the growth and job creation were poised to accelerate. These comments from Powell gave strength to the U.S. dollar that ended up having a negative impression on gold prices.
On the data front, at 23:00 GMT, the Federal Budget Balance showed a deficit of -659.6B against the expected -665.5B and weighed on the U.S. dollar that capped further losses in gold prices. The U.S. Dollar Index that measures the greenback's value against the six major currencies' basket reached 92.33 level and weighed on the yellow metal prices on Monday. Meanwhile, over the weekend, the South China Sea's military activity spiked as a Chinese aircraft carrier entered the region and a U.S. Navy expeditionary strike group wrapped up exercises.
Gold Intraday Technical Level
1724.36 1742.51
1716.68 1752.98
1706.21 1760.66
Pivot Point: 1734.83
Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook
On the technical side, the precious metal gold is trading with a bearish bias at 1,727 level, facing immediate resistance at 1,731 level. On the 2-hour chart, the XAU/USD has closed a bearish engulfing candle that's supporting solid bearish bias in gold. On Tuesday, the trader's focus is likely to stay on the U.S. CPI and Core CPI figures that are scheduled to come out during the New York session today. On the lower side, the precious metal gold is likely to find support around 1,721 level, and the violation of this level can extend gold price towards 1,706 level. The leading and lagging indicators are staying in a bearish zone. Stochastic has entered the oversold area, and typically such scenarios drive a bullish correction. Gold may face resistance around 1,731 and 1,745 areas today. Further price action can be seen on the release of the U.S. inflation figures. All the best!
EUR/USD Analysis - April 13, 2021
Upward Channel Breakout
The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.1909 after placing a high of 1.1920 and a low of 1.1870. EUR/USD pair rose on Monday and posted gains despite the rising U.S. treasury yields. The U.S. dollar weakened across the board on Monday as the U.S. Dollar Index fell for the day and provided strength to the rising EUR/USD pair.
At the beginning of this week, the single currency Euro faded the initially offered bias and regained composure that lifted the EUR/USD pair back above the 1.1900 marks. The currency pair reversed Friday's downtick and retook the position near the 1.1900 neighborhood on the back of renewed selling pressure surrounding the U.S. dollar.
The U.S. Dollar Index that gauges the value of the greenback against the basket of six major currencies fell to 92.01 level on Monday and weighed on the greenback that ultimately pushed the currency pair EUR/USD higher. However, the declining U.S. dollar prices were little supported by the rising U.S. treasury yields amid a good 3-year and 10-year bond auction. The benchmark U.S. Treasury yield on a 10-year note reached 1.685% level and supported greenback that faded some of its losses for the day and found support near 1.92 level.
On the data front, at 14:00 GMT, the Retail Sales data from the whole bloc raised in February to 3.0% against the forecasted 1.3% and supported Euro that added further gains in EUR/USD pair. From the U.S. side, at 23:00 GMT, the Federal Budget Balance showed a deficit of -659.6B against the estimated-665.5B and weighed on the U.S. dollar and pushed further the prices of EUR/USD pair in the upward direction. On Monday, the Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, said that he was optimistic about the U.S. economy bouncing back amid effective coronavirus vaccine campaigns. However, he was also concerned about the possibility of another rush in the infection cases. Powell was anxious that a speedy reopening of economies could cause a spike in coronavirus cases.
Powell also said that the successful government support and speedy vaccine campaigns had brought the U.S. economy to a turning point. He predicted robust U.S. economic growth in the second half of this year. Powell also said that the U.S. economy was at an inflection point and that the growth and job creation were poised to accelerate. The comments from Powell were not that surprising and failed to support the U.S. dollar that was weak throughout the day, and hence, the EUR/USD pair kept on moving in the upward momentum.
On the other hand, Europe surpassed the grim milestone of 1-million coronavirus deaths on Monday as the WHO warned that infections were rising exponentially despite widespread efforts to control the virus. Despite this news, the sing currency remained strong against the weak U.S. dollar, and the currency pair EUR/USD continued rising at the starting day of the week.
EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1880 1.1930
1.1850 1.1950
1.1830 1.1970
Pivot Point: 1.1900
EUR/USD - Technical Outlook
The EUR/USD is trading slightly bullish at 1.1903 level, facing immediate resistance at 1.1916 level. Recalling our April 12 EUR/USD analysis report, the EUR/USD was trading within an upward channel extending support around the 1.1903 level; well, that channel has now been violated. The closing of candles outside this channel is supporting a bearish trend in the EUR/USD pair. On the downside, the EUR/USD pair is likely to find support at 1.1874, and the breakout of this level can open up the further bearish room until the 1.1830 level. On the flip side, the EUR/USD may find resistance at 1.1916 and 1.1946 levels. On Tuesday, the EUR/USD's most of the price action will highly depend upon the release of series of high-impact news events such as the U.S. Inflation figures and the European German ZEW Economic Sentiment. Typically such events drive sharp movement and trading opportunities to the investors, so let's keep an eye on these events today. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 13, 2021
BTC Extends Symmetrical Triangle
The BTC/USD was closed at 59900 after placing a high of 60701 and a low of 59747. After rising for four consecutive sessions, the BTC/USD prices declined at the starting day of the week despite breaking above the $60,000 resistance level.
The decline in Bitcoin prices might have come through the CEO's warning of a top Bitcoin exchange. Jesse Powell said that governments worldwide might start to clamp down on the use of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. It came in after several officials, including U.S. Treasury Secretary and European Central Bank President, have been issuing a warning about the use of Bitcoin for money laundering, terrorist financing, and other illegal activities.
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka issued a general warning about the investment in cryptocurrency as it has a high level of risk involved. The CBSL said that investing in digital assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin comes with an even higher risk. The means of obtaining cryptocurrencies include exchanges, mining, or via ICOs, and Sri Lanka does not allow any of these crypto-related activities in its nation. This news gave a negative impression on the crypto market, and hence, Bitcoin prices fall on Monday.
On the flip side, the number of Bitcoin ATMs across the globe were increasing day by day, and over the last six months, it has increased by 70%. The U.S. accounts for 84% of all the Bitcoin ATMs globally. America and Canada are the market leader in terms of operating Bitcoin ATMs. This news gave strength to the Bitcoin prices.
The Revolut Bank announced its most recent crypto play in the form of support for 11 new cryptocurrencies. The firm announced that 11 new tokens would be added to its exchange platform to satisfy its customers' appetite for cryptocurrencies. The expanded support to more cryptocurrencies from Revolut Bank gave a push to Bitcoin prices.
According to the latest report, Bitcoin, compared to financial institutions, has reached four banks combined. The four banks including JP Morgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo. The market cap of Bitcoin has reached $1.121 trillion that is greater than the combined market cap of above mentioned four banks.
A digital asset investment management firm, Galaxy Digital has become the latest company for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. On Monday, the firm stated its intentions to launch a Bitcoin ETF called "Galaxy Bitcoin ETF." If approved, this will be traded on the NYSE Arca exchange.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support
Resistance
59531 60485
59162 61070
58577 61439
Pivot Point: 60116
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The BTC/USD is trading with a slight bullish bias at 60,629 level on the technical front. As discussed in the April 12 analysis, the BTC/USD pair continues to trade within a tight trading range of 61,000 - 59,250. The BTC/USD has closed a symmetrical triangle pattern that continues to keep the Bitcoin trading choppy. The violation of this pattern can extend bullish or a bearish movement in the BTC/USD pair, depending upon which side it breaks first. The technical indicators such as the MACD, Stochastics, and EMA support an upward trend; therefore, the violation of the 61,022 level can open additional room for bulls until 62,350 level. All the best!
BTC/USD Analysis - April 12, 2021
Symmetrical Triangle in Play!
The BTC/USD was closed at 59,846 after placing a high of 60,486 and a low of 59,411. BTC/USD raised during the weekend and reached above the $60,000 level after weeks of trying to surpass this level. Bitcoin hit its all-time high (ATH) in March at $61,800, and after that, it has faced much pressure and attempted many times to cross the key level of $60,000 but failed. However, this weekend, Bitcoin advanced above this level and broke its resistance, suggesting a new ATH will be hit soon.
Earlier this week, the Bitcoin investment provider NYDIG earned an additional $100 million in growth capital. This came in after the firm invested $200 million cash injections back in early March. The rapidly growing demand for cryptocurrencies by institutional investors has led the NYDIG assets in management to reach near $6 billion. On the weekend, a Ukrainian public office made a declaration in which it stated that it allegedly owns about $2.66B amount in Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin was not the only currency held by Ukrainian state employees. Still, ETH, LTC, ADA, XLM, and many more currencies were also mentioned in the report that the officials were holding. This depicted the rising trend of cryptocurrency and pushed Bitcoin prices higher.
On Thursday, the Hong Kong tech company Meitu declared that the total value of its cryptocurrency holdings had reached near $100 million after its latest purchase of $10 million worth of Bitcoin. The rising investments in Bitcoin also added to the upward trend of its prices. The primary reason behind the increasing prices of Bitcoin could be the increased market capital of the entire cryptocurrency market. The cryptocurrency market's whole capitalization that includes about 9190 crypto-assets, reached over $2 trillion on Saturday and pushed Bitcoin prices above $61,000 level after four weeks. Meanwhile, one of the largest Canadian brokers, Matrix Mortgage Global, has announced that it will enable its clients to spend for goods and services with some of the most popular crypto assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Bitcoin Cash, and more. This will be done with the partnership of the US-based crypto service provider BitPay.
At 17:56 GMT, the Core PPI for March advanced to 0.7% against the estimated 0.2% and supported the US dollar that capped gains in BTC/USD. In March, the PPI also increased to 1.0% against the forecasted 0.5%, kept the US dollar, and limited the rising prices of BTC/USD. At 19:00 GMT, the Final Wholesale Inventories raised to 0.6% in March against the expected 0.5% and weighed on the US dollar that added further gains in BTC/USD.
On the flip side, Bitcoin faced some pressure after a board member of the European Central Bank, Isabel Schnabel, attacked Bitcoin and claimed that the crypto asset did not fulfill the money's properties. She also declared that Bitcoin was a speculative asset without any recognizable fundamental value and was subject to massive price swings. She finally added that the trust in cryptocurrencies might rapidly evaporate, disrupting the financial markets in the future. Bitcoin prices also failed to break their previous all-time high level due to British Bank HSBC's advanced strictness over cryptocurrency policy. The bank now prohibits customers from buying the stock of public companies that hold bitcoin. According to this new rule, all companies with Bitcoin holdings in treasuries will be under chopping block at HSBC.
BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels
Support Resistance
58297.2 61167.2
56770.6 62510.6
55427.2 64037.2
Pivot Point: 59640.6
BTC/USD - Technical Outlook
The BTC/USD is trading with a neutral bias at the 60,208 level, maintaining a narrow trading range of 61,000 - 59,250. On the 2-hour chart, we can see the BTC/USD has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, and Bitcoin consolidates within this triangle pattern for now. The violation of this pattern can extend buying trend in Bitcoin until the 62,335 level. Conversely, the bearish breakout of 59,259 level can extend the selling trend until 57,850 level.