GBP/USD Price Analysis – July 27 2023

Daily Price Outlook

On Thursday, the British Pound is trading at 1.2950, which is a 0.11 percent increase. Today, the GBP/USD pair is experiencing a significant increase due to various fundamental factors. It has risen for three consecutive days and is currently trading above the mid-1.2900s region, reaching a one-week high.

he primary reason for this upward trend is the ongoing decline of the US Dollar from a recent two-week high, which is helping the GBP/USD pair move up.

The Federal Reserve's monetary policy has had a big impact on the weakening of the US dollar. Although they may raise interest rates again in the future, many people believe that the central bank is almost finished with its current cycle of tightening policy. This belief has caused the USD to drop for the third day in a row, which has helped boost the strength of the GBP.

The GBP/USD pair's upward momentum has been influenced by China's promise to support its weak economy, thereby creating a positive market sentiment. The Chinese Politburo's pledge to economic policy adjustments has garnered a favorable response from investors, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and boosting confidence while minimizing risks.

This has resulted in a bullish sentiment that has indirectly supported the GBP against the USD, leading to a surge in global equity markets.

Investors should be careful as there is less chance of the Bank of England (BoE) implementing aggressive rate hikes. This is supported by recent UK consumer inflation figures, which may limit the British Pound's increase against the Greenback. Market bulls are expected to be cautious when dealing with the GBP/USD pair, waiting for it to move back above the psychological level of 1.3000 before taking any action. This would signal the end of the corrective decline from a 15-month peak.

Today, the direction of the GBP/USD pair's movement will be mainly influenced by the dynamics of the USD price. There are no significant economic data releases from the UK, so the US economic docket will hold sway.

This includes important reports such as the Advance Q2 GDP report, Durable Goods Orders, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales data. Traders will closely monitor these indicators to determine their potential impact on the USD's trajectory, which will ultimately affect the movement of the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD - Technical analysis

The GBPUSD pair has successfully surpassed our initial target at 1.2935, with the daily candlestick closing above this level. Today's trading session starts with additional positive momentum, indicating a further move away from this level and reinforcing our expectations for a continued bullish trend in the intraday and short-term perspective. The next target for the pair is set at 1.3010.

As a result, our bullish outlook remains intact, supported by the EMA50 providing underlying support. It is worth noting that a break below 1.2935 would invalidate the bullish bias and potentially lead to a reversal in price direction.

For today's trading, the expected range lies between the support level at 1.2900 and the resistance level at 1.3050.

Overall, the anticipated trend for today is deemed bullish, considering the price action and the support from technical indicators. Traders and investors should closely monitor the market conditions and assess price movements in light of these factors while making informed trading decisions.