Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 23, 2023

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Oct 23, 2023
Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

Daily Price Outlook

Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Hamas, which typically lead to increased demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset, the price of gold (XAU/USD) ended its winning streak and is currently trading lower at around $1,970 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday. However, this decline can be attributed to a rebound in the US Dollar, which is receiving support from improved US Treasury yields.

US Dollar Gains and Fed's Cautious Stance

It's worth noting that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced a resurgence, currently trading at around 106.30. This comeback can be attributed to the positive movement in US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year yield, which currently stands at 4.98%, reflecting a 1.30% increase at the moment. The US Dollar is also receiving a boost from some robust US economic data released last week. The latest job data indicates a strong economy, with the lowest Weekly Initial Jobless Claims since January, signifying a robust job market.

In contrast to this, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic recently stated that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to lower interest rates until at least the middle of next year. Furthermore, Patrick Harker, the President of the Philadelphia Fed, has consistently supported for maintaining interest rates at their current levels without any adjustments.

On the Cleveland Fed front, Loretta Mester noted that the Fed might have completed its rate hikes or is, at the very least, approaching the peak in this rate hike cycle. However, Mester also admitted that the data unveiled last week might have an effect on the central bank's future decisions about monetary policy.

In a recent statement, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the central bank doesn't have any immediate intentions to increase interest rates. However, he openly acknowledged that they might think about tightening monetary policy even more if they spot more signs of economic growth.

Hence, the dovish comments from Fed officials, such as Loretta Mester and Jerome Powell's emphasis on avoiding immediate rate hikes, were considered one of the key factors that could potentially limit further gains in the US dollar.

Geopolitical Tensions and Market Outlook

Elsewhere, escalating tensions in the Middle East could potentially drive up the prices of safe-haven assets, such as gold. It's worth noting that concerns regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict escalating into a broader Middle East conflict have increased, prompting warnings from Washington about significant risks to US interests in the region. Therefore, this uncertainty may lead investors to seek the safety of gold as a hedge against geopolitical instability.

Looking forward, investors will closely watch the US S&P Global PMI on Tuesday and the Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday. These important indicators could greatly influence market sentiment and offer valuable insights into the overall US economy.

GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

As markets transition into the final week of October, gold's pricing dynamics reveal intriguing patterns worth decoding for potential investors. At the outset, the precious metal's current trading price stands at $1973.69, reflecting a modest decline of 0.34%. Based on a 4-hour chart analysis, several key levels and technical indicators present themselves, offering hints about gold's prospective trajectory.

The pivot point for gold, a key technical tool used by traders to gauge potential price movements, is currently pegged at $1954. Climbing the ladder, gold faces its first resistance level at $1982.. Should bullish sentiments prevail, the subsequent resistances are identified at $2001 and $2020. Conversely, in a more bearish scenario, immediate support is positioned at $1929, followed by the next support tiers at $1909 and $1885.

Shifting the lens to technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads at 65. Traditionally, an RSI reading above 70 is indicative of overbought conditions, suggesting that the asset might be poised for a potential pullback. Gold's current RSI, although below this threshold, is edging closer to the overbought territory, hinting at a strong bullish sentiment but also cautioning traders of possible future corrections.

Further insights are provided by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. With an MACD value of -1.662 and a signal value of 15.582, the MACD line's position below the signal line flags potential bearish momentum in the short term. This divergence warrants attention as it can often presage directional shifts in price.

Lastly, gold's price vis-à-vis the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) paints a bullish picture. With the 50 EMA valued at $1929.67, and gold trading substantially above this mark, the prevailing trend leans bullish in the short term. Historically, prices above the 50 EMA often suggest sustained upward momentum, making it a positive sign for gold bulls.

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    Technical Analysis

    GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 20, 2023

    By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
    Oct 20, 2023
    Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

    Daily Price Outlook

    Gold prices (XAU/USD) prolonged its winning streak and surged to a near three-month high on Friday. However, the reason for its upward rally can be attributed to concerns surrounding geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have heightened the safe-haven demand for gold and contributed to its gains. Furthermore, the growing expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain interest rates at their current levels for the second consecutive time in November is seen as another factor driving the non-yielding yellow metal higher for the fourth consecutive day.

    Geopolitical Factors Driving Gold Price Surge

    As previously mentioned, the price of gold has been steadily rising, reaching a nearly three-month high last Friday. However, this upward trend is primarily attributed to geopolitical risks, which are prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets, with gold being a preferred choice. Specifically, the concerns about the potential spillover of the Israel-Hamas conflict into other Middle Eastern countries and its potential impact on the global economy are key factors supporting the increase in gold prices.

    It's important to highlight that Israeli airstrikes in the Gaza Strip have escalated tensions in the region. In addition, Israel has launched missile strikes in Lebanon and Syria, and Egypt has been impacted by the conflict due to the bombing of the Rafah border crossing. These ongoing developments are maintaining the demand for gold as a safe-haven investment.

    Impact of Federal Reserve and US Treasury Bond Yields on Gold Prices

    Moreover, the increasing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at their current levels for the second consecutive time in November is considered another factor driving the non-yielding gold higher for the fourth consecutive day. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has suggested that, considering the economy's resilience and the tight labor market, the possibility of additional interest rate hikes is under consideration.

    Nevertheless, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield reached a new high not seen in 16 years on Thursday, which boosted the US Dollar and garnered buying interest on Friday. The confluence of these heightened US bond yields, slight USD strength, and overbought conditions on hourly charts may potentially curtail further gains for XAU/USD.

    GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
    GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

    GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

    In the ever-evolving world of commodities, GOLD begins the day priced at $1976.450, experiencing a marginal decline of 0.04% in the past 24 hours. The pivotal price level to observe is notably set at $1,955. Market participants should keep a close watch on an ascending scale of resistance levels: initially at $1,982, followed by $2,001 and culminating at $2,021. On the flip side, downside supports are observed at $1,930, further down to $1,909, and a significant cushion at $1,886.

    Diving deeper into the technical tapestry, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers pivotal insights. Standing at a noteworthy 83, it signals that GOLD is currently overbought. Historically, values above 70 tend to caution investors of potential market saturation and prospective price corrections.

    Concurrently, the MACD, a crucial momentum indicator, sketches a bullish narrative. This is discerned from the MACD line's ascendancy over the signal line, forecasting an upward movement in the immediate future. Adding nuance to our analysis, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (50 EMA) rests at $1,921.

    GOLD trading above this benchmark amplifies a short-term bullish inclination.

    From a chartist's perspective, a symmetrical triangle formation commands attention. The recent break above this configuration foreshadows impending bullish momentum.

    To encapsulate, while the overarching sentiment for GOLD remains somewhat bearish beneath the $1985 demarcation, a potential breakout above could catalyze a notable appreciation in its valuation. In the ensuing days, we project GOLD to challenge the proximate resistance at $1,982. Should it navigate past this juncture, we might brace for loftier valuations.

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      Daily Trade Ideas

      GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

      By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
      Oct 20, 2023
      Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

      Daily Price Outlook

        In the ever-evolving world of commodities, GOLD begins the day priced at $1976.450, experiencing a marginal decline of 0.04% in the past 24 hours. The pivotal price level to observe is notably set at $1,955. Market participants should keep a close watch on an ascending scale of resistance levels: initially at $1,982, followed by $2,001 and culminating at $2,021. On the flip side, downside supports are observed at $1,930, further down to $1,909, and a significant cushion at $1,886.

        Diving deeper into the technical tapestry, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers pivotal insights. Standing at a noteworthy 83, it signals that GOLD is currently overbought. Historically, values above 70 tend to caution investors of potential market saturation and prospective price corrections.

        Concurrently, the MACD, a crucial momentum indicator, sketches a bullish narrative. This is discerned from the MACD line's ascendancy over the signal line, forecasting an upward movement in the immediate future. Adding nuance to our analysis, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (50 EMA) rests at $1,921.

        GOLD trading above this benchmark amplifies a short-term bullish inclination.

        From a chartist's perspective, a symmetrical triangle formation commands attention. The recent break above this configuration foreshadows impending bullish momentum.

        To encapsulate, while the overarching sentiment for GOLD remains somewhat bearish beneath the $1985 demarcation, a potential breakout above could catalyze a notable appreciation in its valuation. In the ensuing days, we project GOLD to challenge the proximate resistance at $1,982. Should it navigate past this juncture, we might brace for loftier valuations.

        GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
        GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

        GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

        Entry Price – Sell Limit 1985

        Take Profit – 1953

        Stop Loss – 2010

        Risk to Reward – 1: 1.28

        Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3200/ -$2500

        Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$320/ -$250

        GOLD

        Daily Trade Ideas

        GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

        By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
        Oct 19, 2023
        Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

        Daily Price Outlook

          Amidst the ever-changing global economic landscape, gold's positioning stands out, often acting as a barometer for financial health and geopolitical tensions. Our analysis for October 19, based on recent market dynamics and technical indicators, paints a vivid picture for the yellow metal.

          Currently, gold is priced at $1948.065, experiencing a minor decrease of 0.02% in the past 24 hours. The day's pivotal point, crucial for intraday decision-making, is at $1933.6060.

          On the resistance front, the immediate level stands at $1953.4850, followed by the more significant $1982.0300, and finally, a robust resistance at $2001.0250. Conversely, support levels emerge at $1908.7160, $1885.5650, and the more pronounced level of $1869.3250.

          The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands firm at 73. With values above 70 typically suggesting overbought conditions, a pullback or price consolidation might be imminent. Meanwhile, the MACD, albeit with a marginal difference, still signals a bullish trend, marked by the MACD line sitting above the signal line.

          The 50 EMA (50-Day Exponential Moving Average) is noted at $1903.3190. Gold's price remains comfortably above this mark, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment. A consistent trend above the 50 EMA often suggests a positive trajectory for the asset.

          In terms of chart patterns, an upward channel is evident. Although the direction is bullish, the overextended nature of the RSI signals a potential for slight correction in the near term. Such juxtaposed indicators underscore the importance of careful trading strategies.

          As of now, the trend for gold seems to balance on a knife-edge, turning bearish if it dips below $1953 and bullish otherwise.

          In the short term, given the current momentum and barring any significant geopolitical or economic events, gold might strive to test the resistance at $1982.0300. Yet, traders should tread with caution, considering the looming overbought scenario.

          GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

          Entry Price – Sell Limit 1952

          Take Profit – 1932

          Stop Loss – 1966

          Risk to Reward – 1: 1.45

          Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2000/ -$1400

          Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$200/ -$140

          GOLD

          Technical Analysis

          GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 19, 2023

          By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
          Oct 19, 2023
          Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

          Daily Price Outlook

          Gold prices (XAU/USD) experienced a significant surge on Wednesday, reaching their highest level since early August, hovering around the $1,962-1,963 mark. However, this uptick was mainly driven by growing concerns about the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Although, the continued increase in US Treasury bond yields, backed by the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) intends to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period, restrained gold's gains.

          Furthermore, the increased demand for the US Dollar encouraged some investors to secure profits as gold prices reached higher levels, leading to a minor dip. On Thursday, gold prices sustained their upward trajectory for the third consecutive day. However, the persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the expectation of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, escalating US bond yields, and a stronger USD all act as limiting factors preventing gold prices from rising further.

          Gold's Stability Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Anticipation of Powell's Speech

          Despite a brief dip in gold prices, they managed to stabilize around the $1,938 mark. Moreover, this stability is primarily due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, which are still driving investors toward the safety of gold. As a result, Thursday marked the third consecutive day of increased demand for this precious metal. During the early part of the European trading session, gold continued to show a positive trend. However, this upward movement remained relatively modest, indicating that investors are being cautious and refraining from making significant moves. It appears that they are awaiting a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before making any bold investment decisions.

          Investors are awaiting Powell's insights because his words could offer valuable information about the Federal Reserve's plans. This, in turn, is expected to significantly influence the US Dollar and the XAU/USD. As a result, people are closely monitoring the situation, eager for any hints that might guide their investment decisions.

          Economic Data Impact and Fed Chair Speech Expectations

          On the economic front, upbeat US Retail Sales data released on Tuesday indicates a strong end to the third quarter, leading to higher estimates for Q3 GDP. However, these positive figures have also raised concerns about persistent inflation, which could encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance with higher interest rates. This, in turn, contributes to a continued rise in US Treasury bond yields, supporting the US Dollar, which limits gains for XAU/USD.

          Notably, the yield on the 10-year US government bond has surged to its highest level in 16 years and is approaching the notable 5% threshold. Investors are currently keeping a close eye on several key indicators to determine short-term market trends, including the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Existing Home Sales data.

          GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

          Amidst the ever-changing global economic landscape, gold's positioning stands out, often acting as a barometer for financial health and geopolitical tensions. Our analysis for October 19, based on recent market dynamics and technical indicators, paints a vivid picture for the yellow metal.

          Currently, gold is priced at $1948.065, experiencing a minor decrease of 0.02% in the past 24 hours. The day's pivotal point, crucial for intraday decision-making, is at $1933.6060.

          On the resistance front, the immediate level stands at $1953.4850, followed by the more significant $1982.0300, and finally, a robust resistance at $2001.0250. Conversely, support levels emerge at $1908.7160, $1885.5650, and the more pronounced level of $1869.3250.

          The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands firm at 73. With values above 70 typically suggesting overbought conditions, a pullback or price consolidation might be imminent. Meanwhile, the MACD, albeit with a marginal difference, still signals a bullish trend, marked by the MACD line sitting above the signal line.

          The 50 EMA (50-Day Exponential Moving Average) is noted at $1903.3190. Gold's price remains comfortably above this mark, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment. A consistent trend above the 50 EMA often suggests a positive trajectory for the asset.

          In terms of chart patterns, an upward channel is evident. Although the direction is bullish, the overextended nature of the RSI signals a potential for slight correction in the near term. Such juxtaposed indicators underscore the importance of careful trading strategies.

          As of now, the trend for gold seems to balance on a knife-edge, turning bearish if it dips below $1953 and bullish otherwise.

          In the short term, given the current momentum and barring any significant geopolitical or economic events, gold might strive to test the resistance at $1982.0300. Yet, traders should tread with caution, considering the looming overbought scenario.

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            Technical Analysis

            GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 18, 2023

            By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
            Oct 18, 2023
            Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

            Daily Price Outlook

            During the early European trading hours on Wednesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their upward trend and remained stable around the $1,925 level. However, the reason for its upward rally can be attributed to the correction in the US Dollar. The US Dollar Index showed a slight decline, reaching 106.19. Furthermore, the escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Hamas were considered another significant factor contributing to the higher demand for Gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.

            Strong US Retail Sales and Industrial Production Data

            According to the latest report from the US Census Bureau released on Tuesday, retail sales in the US for September increased by 0.7% compared to the previous month. This performance exceeded the expectations of most experts, who had anticipated a growth of 0.3%. In the meantime, the Retail Sales Control Group, considered a crucial indicator, also saw a 0.6% increase compared to the previous month, surpassing the anticipated 0.2% growth. Hence, these figures indicate that people are spending more money, signaling a robust trend in consumer spending.

            Furthermore, US Industrial Production had a strong month, showing a 0.3% increase, in contrast to the expected zero growth as forecasted by experts. Capacity Utilization, which measures the efficiency of factories, improved to 79.7%, surpassing the predicted levels. This positive development initially led to a rise in the US dollar, although the impact was short-lived.

            Therefore, the strong US economic data, including increased retail sales and industrial production, led to a temporary rise in the US dollar, which in turn put pressure on gold prices.

            Federal Reserve Officials Express Differing Views on Monetary Policy

            It's worth noting that Thomas Barkin, President of the Richmond Fed, has emphasized that current monetary policies are already considered restrictive. He is uncertain about the decisions the US central bank will make in the upcoming November FOMC meeting, he's clear that relying solely on higher long-term bond yields is not a viable option for tightening monetary conditions.

            Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari has joined the conversation, noting that inflation has persisted longer than initially anticipated and remains elevated. Prior to this, several Fed officials had taken a more cautious approach. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker believes that raising borrowing costs and adding more economic pressure is not a wise move.

            Traders will closely monitor remarks from other Fed speakers such as Waller, Williams, and Bowman on Wednesday. If they adopt a more hawkish stance, it may bolster demand for the US dollar and exert pressure on commodities like gold.

            Surprising Chinese Economic Data Boosts Gold Prices

            Another factor contributing to the rise in gold prices is unexpectedly positive news from China. In the third quarter, China's economy outperformed expectations with a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 1.3%, surpassing the predicted 1.0%. The annual report also revealed a 4.9% increase, exceeding the expected 4.4%.

            Furthermore, China's Retail Sales displayed a more positive outlook with a 5.5% increase, surpassing both the previous 4.6% and the expected 4.9%. These promising statistics from China can make investors somewhat wary about the global economy, often leading them to invest in gold, which is regarded as a safe haven during times of uncertainty.

            GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
            GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

            GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

            Gold, the long-treasured asset and a typical hedge in times of financial uncertainty, is displaying some notable momentum as we delve into its 4-hourly technicals for October 18. As of the moment, gold is priced at $1938.51, marking an ascent of 0.79% in the past 24 hours.

            The metal's immediate pivot point is set at $1932. On the upside, we're looking at a trio of resistances: $1950, $1967, and culminating at $1984. If gold were to retreat, potential supports are spotted at $1909, dropping further to $1886, and then possibly to $1869.

            The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is clocking in at 72. This level, being above the standard 70 threshold, is typically interpreted as overbought conditions. However, it's essential to remember that assets can remain overbought (or oversold) for prolonged periods, especially in strongly trending markets. The MACD, another widely regarded indicator, is suggesting a bearish trend as its line is below the signal line. However, countering this bearish hint is gold's current price positioning above the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) which stands at $1891, signaling a short-term bullish trend.

            Chart patterns provide further insights into potential price movement, but for this analysis, no specific pattern has been mentioned. However, it's always advisable to observe for breakout or breakdown patterns, triangles, channels, or flags to make informed trading decisions.

            Conclusion:

            Gold's technical structure hints at a bullish inclination, especially if prices sustain above the $1932 pivot point. In the short run, traders might anticipate gold to challenge the immediate resistance levels, especially given the prevailing bullish sentiment from the price's position relative to the 50 EMA. Nevertheless, monitoring the RSI for any potential reversal signals and keeping abreast of global macroeconomic news, especially those that typically impact gold prices, will be key for those trading this precious metal.

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              Daily Trade Ideas

              GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

              By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
              Oct 18, 2023
              Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

              Daily Price Outlook

              Gold, the long-treasured asset and a typical hedge in times of financial uncertainty, is displaying some notable momentum as we delve into its 4-hourly technicals for October 18. As of the moment, gold is priced at $1938.51, marking an ascent of 0.79% in the past 24 hours.

              The metal's immediate pivot point is set at $1932. On the upside, we're looking at a trio of resistances: $1950, $1967, and culminating at $1984. If gold were to retreat, potential supports are spotted at $1909, dropping further to $1886, and then possibly to $1869.

              The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is clocking in at 72. This level, being above the standard 70 threshold, is typically interpreted as overbought conditions. However, it's essential to remember that assets can remain overbought (or oversold) for prolonged periods, especially in strongly trending markets. The MACD, another widely regarded indicator, is suggesting a bearish trend as its line is below the signal line. However, countering this bearish hint is gold's current price positioning above the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) which stands at $1891, signaling a short-term bullish trend.

              Chart patterns provide further insights into potential price movement, but for this analysis, no specific pattern has been mentioned. However, it's always advisable to observe for breakout or breakdown patterns, triangles, channels, or flags to make informed trading decisions.

              Conclusion:

              Gold's technical structure hints at a bullish inclination, especially if prices sustain above the $1932 pivot point. In the short run, traders might anticipate gold to challenge the immediate resistance levels, especially given the prevailing bullish sentiment from the price's position relative to the 50 EMA. Nevertheless, monitoring the RSI for any potential reversal signals and keeping abreast of global macroeconomic news, especially those that typically impact gold prices, will be key for those trading this precious metal.

              GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
              GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

              GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

              Entry Price – Buy Limit 1931

              Take Profit – 1965

              Stop Loss – 1905

              Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3

              Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3400/ -$2600

              Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$340/ -$260

              GOLD

              Technical Analysis

              GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 17, 2023

              By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
              Oct 17, 2023
              Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

              Daily Price Outlook

              Gold prices (XAU/USD) have failed to maintain their previous upward momentum and have lost some of their traction for the day. The precious metal is currently maintaining a bearish tone as it enters the European session. This is primarily due to a positive risk sentiment in the market, which is diminishing the appeal of traditional safe-haven assets. Furthermore, the higher US Treasury bond yields, buoyed by increasing expectations of further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed), represent another substantial factor that is exerting downward pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal.

              However, the losses in the gold price could be short-lived, thanks to the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which may help safe-haven gold limit its declines. In the meantime, the growing belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain unchanged interest rates for the second consecutive time in November, should provide some support for XAU/USD.

              Moreover, the dovish expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy are putting pressure on US Dollar (USD) bulls, which is likely to limit losses for the US Dollar-denominated commodity. Traders may also choose to await signals regarding the Fed's future rate-hike decisions before engaging in directional trades.

              Gold Price and Market Analysis Amid Ongoing Geopolitical Factors

              Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker stated on Monday that the central bank should keep rates at their current level unless there is a significant change in the data. However, last week's US consumer inflation figures left room for the possibility of one more Fed rate hike by the end of the year. The potential for further tightening of monetary policy by the Fed continues to bolster elevated US bond yields, providing a tailwind for the US Dollar.

              Traders are currently turning their attention to the upcoming US Retail Sales data for market direction, but the spotlight will remain on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's scheduled speech on Thursday. It's anticipated that US Retail Sales may have increased by 0.3% in September, with sales, excluding automobiles, expected to record a modest uptick of 0.2% for the reported month.

              Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Impacting Gold Prices

              Gold prices might continue to rise due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, which could potentially escalate into a broader proxy war involving Iran. The Israel Defense Forces chief has suggested that the army will soon enter the Gaza Strip to target the Hamas group.

              Thereby, Israel has advised Palestinians to evacuate to the southern area of the Gaza City enclave in anticipation of a large-scale ground assault against the terrorist activities. Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has denied reports of a cease-fire for humanitarian aid and the evacuation of Gaza residents with international passports to Egypt.

              GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
              GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

              GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

              As of October 17, gold is trading at $1915.00, marking a significant place in the trading charts. With a focus on a 4-hour chart timeframe, several key price levels emerge to shape the day's trading landscape. The pivot point stands firm at $1909. Investors and traders would do well to watch out for the immediate resistance positioned at $1923, followed by subsequent resistances at $1933 and $1948. On the other side of the spectrum, immediate support is found at $1897. Further declines might find support at $1883 and then more robust support at the $1868 level.

              Diving deeper into the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is clocking in at 57. This value indicates a mild bullish sentiment, as the RSI figure surpasses the 50-mark, hinting at a slight tilt towards buying momentum in the market.

              The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) provides a valuable touchstone, currently resting at $1896.00. With the gold price trading above this EMA, it signifies a short-term bullish trend. This further substantiates the notion that the sentiment for gold remains buoyant, at least in the near term.

              While specific chart patterns are yet to fully manifest, it's paramount for investors to remain vigilant. Patterns such as symmetrical triangles or upward channels could provide crucial insights into potential price breakouts, either bullish or bearish.

              To sum it up, the overall trend for gold seems to be bullish, especially when prices remain above the $1896 mark. Conversely, slipping below this price could introduce bearish sentiments. As for the short-term forecast, given the prevailing indicators and price levels, gold may very well test its resistance levels in the near future.

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                Daily Trade Ideas

                GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

                By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
                Oct 17, 2023
                Signal 2023 05 25 122622 002

                Daily Price Outlook

                  As of October 17, gold is trading at $1915.00, marking a significant place in the trading charts. With a focus on a 4-hour chart timeframe, several key price levels emerge to shape the day's trading landscape. The pivot point stands firm at $1909. Investors and traders would do well to watch out for the immediate resistance positioned at $1923, followed by subsequent resistances at $1933 and $1948. On the other side of the spectrum, immediate support is found at $1897. Further declines might find support at $1883 and then more robust support at the $1868 level.

                  Diving deeper into the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is clocking in at 57. This value indicates a mild bullish sentiment, as the RSI figure surpasses the 50-mark, hinting at a slight tilt towards buying momentum in the market.

                  The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) provides a valuable touchstone, currently resting at $1896.00. With the gold price trading above this EMA, it signifies a short-term bullish trend. This further substantiates the notion that the sentiment for gold remains buoyant, at least in the near term.

                  While specific chart patterns are yet to fully manifest, it's paramount for investors to remain vigilant. Patterns such as symmetrical triangles or upward channels could provide crucial insights into potential price breakouts, either bullish or bearish.

                  To sum it up, the overall trend for gold seems to be bullish, especially when prices remain above the $1896 mark. Conversely, slipping below this price could introduce bearish sentiments. As for the short-term forecast, given the prevailing indicators and price levels, gold may very well test its resistance levels in the near future.

                  GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                  GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                  GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

                  Entry Price – Buy Limit 1909

                  Take Profit – 1943

                  Stop Loss – 1890

                  Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7

                  Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3400/ -$1900

                  Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$340/ -$190

                  GOLD

                  Daily Trade Ideas

                  EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

                  By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
                  Oct 16, 2023
                  Eurusd

                  Daily Price Outlook

                    On October 16, the EUR/USD currency pair marked a value of 1.05248, illustrating a marginal ascent of 0.20%. Over a four-hour chart timeframe, critical data points emerge, illuminating potential future movements.

                    Starting with pivotal data points, the pair's current pivot point stands at 1.05495. Looking ahead, resistance levels manifest at 1.06018, 1.06912, and 1.07457. Conversely, support tiers for the asset are marked at 1.04558, followed closely by 1.04035 and extending to 1.0312.

                    Delving into the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers at 41, which, while not indicating overbought conditions, suggests the pair is leaning toward the bearish spectrum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showcases a value of -0.0009, with its signal counterpart at -0.0014. This alignment hints at the MACD line having recently ventured above the signal line, insinuating possible upcoming bullish momentum.

                    Furthermore, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) posts a value of 1.05601. Interestingly, the current price lies below this EMA value. Traditionally, when a price positions itself below the 50 EMA, it often indicates a short-term bearish trend. Therefore, traders should tread cautiously and monitor subsequent movements closely.

                    EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                    EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                    EUR/USD - Trade Idea

                    Entry Price – Sell Limit 1.05570

                    Take Profit – 1.04839

                    Stop Loss – 1.05968

                    Risk to Reward – 1: 1.8

                    Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$731/ -$398

                    Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$73/ -$39

                    GOLD