GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold trading at $2369.020, up 0.30%, with the pivot point at $2379.70.
- RSI at 33, indicating gold is nearing oversold territory, potentially signaling a rebound.
- The 50-day EMA at $2418.25 suggests a bearish trend, reinforcing resistance above current prices.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2369.020, up by 0.30%. The 4-hour chart reveals key technical levels and indicators suggesting the metal's future trajectory. The pivot point is positioned at $2379.70, acting as a critical marker for potential market movements.
On the upside, immediate resistance is noted at $2401.34, with further resistance levels at $2421.78 and $2451.44. These levels will be crucial for any bullish momentum. Conversely, immediate support is seen at $2357.25, followed by $2339.62 and $2319.18, which are pivotal for any downside movements.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 33, indicating that gold is nearing oversold territory. This could imply a potential rebound or a consolidation phase before any significant move.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $2418.25, suggesting that the current price is below this average, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. This indicator often serves as a benchmark for medium-term trends and could act as resistance if the price attempts to rise.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for gold remains bearish below the $2379.70 pivot point. Traders are advised to consider entry points for selling below $2380, with a take profit target of $2350 and a stop loss at $2395.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2380
Take Profit – 2350
Stop Loss – 2395
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3000/ -$1500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$300/ -$150
GOLD Price Analysis – July 26, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) reversed its previous downward trend and gained momentum, climbing from 2,370.15 to an intraday high of 2,379.35. This uptick was largely driven by a weaker US dollar, fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve might begin a rate-cut cycle in September.
The US Dollar (USD) fell short of a two-week high reached earlier in the week, which bolstered gold's attractiveness to investors. However, stronger-than-expected US GDP growth and slower inflation in Q2 2024 suggest a resilient economy, potentially diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset and limiting the extent of its gains.
Looking ahead, traders are closely monitoring the upcoming release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index this Friday for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy stance.
The PCE report is expected to impact USD demand and could potentially create new momentum for gold, which, as a non-yielding asset, often reacts to shifts in interest rate expectations and economic indicators.
US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Expectations Impact Gold
On the US front, the US dollar struggled to gain momentum and turned bearish amid expectations of an impending rate-cut cycle by the Federal Reserve. Markets have fully priced in a rate cut for September and anticipate two more reductions by the end of the year, which has kept the US Dollar on the back foot and supported gold prices.
Meanwhile, the strong US economic data, including 2.8% GDP growth and a decline in unemployment claims, help limit the US dollar's losses, though lower inflation still challenge its strength.
On the data front, the US economy expanded at a 2.8% annualized rate from April to June, up from 1.4% in the previous quarter and surpassing the anticipated 2% growth. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, moderated to 2.9% from 3.7% in the previous quarter.
Additionally, the US Department of Labor reported a larger-than-expected decline in unemployment insurance claims, which fell to 235,000 for the week ending July 20.
This data could weigh on gold prices, as stronger economic growth and lower inflation decrease gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the drop in unemployment claims suggests a strong job market, which could heighten expectations for higher interest rates and further reduce gold's attractiveness.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2369.020, up by 0.30%. The 4-hour chart reveals key technical levels and indicators suggesting the metal's future trajectory. The pivot point is positioned at $2379.70, acting as a critical marker for potential market movements.
On the upside, immediate resistance is noted at $2401.34, with further resistance levels at $2421.78 and $2451.44. These levels will be crucial for any bullish momentum. Conversely, immediate support is seen at $2357.25, followed by $2339.62 and $2319.18, which are pivotal for any downside movements.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 33, indicating that gold is nearing oversold territory. This could imply a potential rebound or a consolidation phase before any significant move.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $2418.25, suggesting that the current price is below this average, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. This indicator often serves as a benchmark for medium-term trends and could act as resistance if the price attempts to rise.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for gold remains bearish below the $2379.70 pivot point. Traders are advised to consider entry points for selling below $2380, with a take profit target of $2350 and a stop loss at $2395.
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S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – July 26, 2024
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold (XAU/USD) price at $2,373.915, down 0.92%, with key support at $2,357.25.
- RSI at 30 suggests Gold may be oversold, potentially indicating a reversal or consolidation.
- 50 EMA at $2,424.48, with current price below, signaling bearish trend continuation.
Gold (XAU/USD) experienced a modest decline of 0.92%, settling at $2,373.915 on the four-hour chart. This recent move sees the precious metal navigating key technical levels that traders are closely monitoring.
As the price action unfolds, it becomes essential to understand the pivotal areas of support and resistance that could influence the next directional shift.
The pivot point, currently at $2,379.70, serves as a crucial marker. Gold's immediate resistance stands at $2,401.34, a break above which could propel prices toward the next resistance levels of $2,421.78 and $2,451.44.
Conversely, the downside is guarded by immediate support at $2,357.25. Further declines may find stabilization at subsequent support levels of $2,339.62 and $2,319.18, which are critical for maintaining the bullish sentiment in the medium term.
Technical indicators present a mixed scenario. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 30, indicating that Gold might be entering oversold territory. This could suggest a potential reversal or a period of consolidation in the near term.
Additionally, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2,424.48, highlighting a bearish trend as the current price remains below this average. Traders should remain cautious, as a sustained move below the 50 EMA often signals continued downward momentum.
In conclusion, traders are advised to consider short positions below $2,380, targeting $2,350 for profit-taking, with a stop loss set at $2,395.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2380
Take Profit – 2350
Stop Loss – 2395
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3000/ -$1500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$300/ -$150
GOLD Price Analysis – July 25, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) failed to stop their previous session's downward rally and remained well offered around $2,375, hitting an intraday low of $2,365. This downward trend can be attributed to technical selling, as it experiences a predicted downward movement within its trading range.
Meanwhile, the slightly positive US S&P Global PMI data for July reduced fears of "stagflation" (a weak economy with high inflation), leading to a decline in gold prices as the improved economic outlook made gold less attractive as a safe-haven asset.
In contrast, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates multiple times before the year's end helped gold prices limit their deeper losses. Looking ahead, traders are waiting for more US economic data to gauge future interest rates.
Key reports include the Q2 GDP growth data on Thursday and the PCE Price Index for June on Friday. These reports will provide insights into the economy and inflation.
Gold Prices Decline Amid Positive Economic Outlook and Rising Production Costs
On the US front, the recent S&P Global PMI data for July was slightly positive, easing worries about a weak economy with high inflation (stagflation). Chris Williamson from S&P Global described the situation as a "Goldilocks" scenario, where the economy is growing well and inflation is under control.
However, higher costs for materials, shipping, and labor could lead to increased prices or lower profit margins.
Despite expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, gold prices are falling because the improved economic outlook and rising production costs are overshadowing these expectations.
On the data front, the preliminary S&P Global Composite PMI improved to 55 in July from 54.8 in June, showing overall economic growth.
However, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.5 from 51.6, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing, while the Services PMI rose to 56.0 from 55.3, reflecting stronger growth in services.
Despite a positive economic outlook and expectations of lower interest rates, Gold prices are falling. This is due to rising production costs and a slowdown in manufacturing overshadowing the benefits of rate cuts.
Gold Prices Set to Gain from Lower US Bond Yields, Reduced Import Tax in India, and Geopolitical Shifts
On the other hand, the unwinding of the "Trump trade" has lowered US bond yields, which benefits gold prices. Polls show Democrat Kamala Harris leading over former President Trump, potentially signaling a less inflationary economy if she wins.
Moreover, India's reduction of its gold import tax from 15% to 6% is expected to boost physical gold demand.
Furthermore, gold might benefit from geopolitical factors, especially if BRICS+ nations succeed in creating a gold-backed alternative to the US dollar as the world's reserve currency, reducing US influence through dollar-based sanctions.
Gold prices are likely to benefit from lower US bond yields, reduced Gold import tax in India, and potential geopolitical shifts if BRICS+ nations establish a Gold-backed reserve currency.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) experienced a modest decline of 0.92%, settling at $2,373.915 on the four-hour chart. This recent move sees the precious metal navigating key technical levels that traders are closely monitoring.
As the price action unfolds, it becomes essential to understand the pivotal areas of support and resistance that could influence the next directional shift.
The pivot point, currently at $2,379.70, serves as a crucial marker. Gold's immediate resistance stands at $2,401.34, a break above which could propel prices toward the next resistance levels of $2,421.78 and $2,451.44.
Conversely, the downside is guarded by immediate support at $2,357.25. Further declines may find stabilization at subsequent support levels of $2,339.62 and $2,319.18, which are critical for maintaining the bullish sentiment in the medium term.
Technical indicators present a mixed scenario. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 30, indicating that Gold might be entering oversold territory. This could suggest a potential reversal or a period of consolidation in the near term.
Additionally, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2,424.48, highlighting a bearish trend as the current price remains below this average. Traders should remain cautious, as a sustained move below the 50 EMA often signals continued downward momentum.
In conclusion, traders are advised to consider short positions below $2,380, targeting $2,350 for profit-taking, with a stop loss set at $2,395.
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AUD/USD Price Analysis – July 25, 2024
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold trading at $2414.07, up 0.30%; pivot point at $2418.92.
- Immediate resistance levels: $2435.02, $2453.93, $2482.70; support levels: $2391.97, $2370.70, $2350.44.
- RSI at 49, 50-day EMA at $2425.78; sell below $2420 with a stop loss at $2435.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2414.07, marking a 0.30% increase on the day. On the 4-hour chart, key technical levels indicate crucial points of potential resistance and support that traders should monitor closely.
The pivot point is positioned at $2418.92, suggesting a central level around which the price may oscillate.
Immediate resistance levels are identified at $2435.02, $2453.93, and $2482.70. These levels represent potential selling points if the price attempts to move higher, where the market may encounter selling pressure.
Conversely, immediate support levels are found at $2391.97, $2370.70, and $2350.44. These levels are critical as they represent potential buying points where the price may find support, preventing further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 49, indicating a neutral momentum in the market. This suggests that gold is neither overbought nor oversold, providing a balanced view for both buyers and sellers.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2425.78, acting as a dynamic resistance level that traders should watch for potential price reactions.
Given the current market conditions, the recommendation is to sell below $2420. The take profit level is set at $2390, providing a reasonable downside target. A stop loss is advised at $2435 to manage risk, protecting against potential adverse price movements.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2420
Take Profit – 2390
Stop Loss – 2435
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3000/ -$1500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$300/ -$150
GOLD Price Analysis – July 24, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their upward momentum, trading around $2,411.12 and reaching an intraday peak of $2,419.15. This rally is largely attributed to dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, which have weakened the US dollar and boosted gold's appeal.
Meanwhile, the risk-off market sentiment has increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The US dollar has weakened amid growing anticipation of potential Fed rate cuts in September and recent political developments in the US, leading to dollar selling and further supporting gold prices.
Looking ahead, traders are expected to remain cautious, refraining from making aggressive bets until clearer signals emerge about the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Consequently, market focus will shift to the upcoming Advance US Q2 GDP data and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, set for release on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Moreover, traders will keep an eye on the flash global PMIs for short-term market insights.
US Dollar Weakness and Economic Data Boost Gold Prices Amid Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar struggled to maintain its recent upward trend and lost its bullish traction, providing support for gold prices.
This decline was driven by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin a rate-cutting cycle in September, along with recent US political developments. These factors have led to increased selling pressure on the US dollar, allowing gold to remain bullish.
On the data front, the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond reported a deterioration in manufacturing activity for July, with the composite manufacturing index falling to -17 from -10 in June.
Additionally, the National Association of Realtors indicated a 5.4% decline in US existing home sales in June, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.89 million units, the lowest since December and below expectations.
These signs of economic weakness, including declining manufacturing activity and falling home sales, enhance the likelihood of a rate cut, as they could prompt the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy.
Therefore, the US dollar's retreat from a two-week high, driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle in September and recent US political developments, has bolstered gold prices by increasing demand for this safe-haven asset.
Gold Prices Boosted by China's Economic Slowdown and PBoC Rate Cut
On the other hand, gold prices could gain further traction due to sluggish economic activity in China and an unexpected rate cut by the People's Bank of China (PBoC), which have introduced broader market uncertainties.
These factors have increased the safe-haven appeal of gold, as investors seek refuge in stable assets amidst economic volatility. The PBoC's move to lower rates and China's economic slowdown could lead to heightened global market concerns, further driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2414.07, marking a 0.30% increase on the day. On the 4-hour chart, key technical levels indicate crucial points of potential resistance and support that traders should monitor closely. The pivot point is positioned at $2418.92, suggesting a central level around which the price may oscillate.
Immediate resistance levels are identified at $2435.02, $2453.93, and $2482.70. These levels represent potential selling points if the price attempts to move higher, where the market may encounter selling pressure.
Conversely, immediate support levels are found at $2391.97, $2370.70, and $2350.44. These levels are critical as they represent potential buying points where the price may find support, preventing further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 49, indicating a neutral momentum in the market. This suggests that gold is neither overbought nor oversold, providing a balanced view for both buyers and sellers.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2425.78, acting as a dynamic resistance level that traders should watch for potential price reactions.
Given the current market conditions, the recommendation is to sell below $2420. The take profit level is set at $2390, providing a reasonable downside target. A stop loss is advised at $2435 to manage risk, protecting against potential adverse price movements.
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GBP/USD Price Analysis – July 24, 2024
GOLD Price Analysis – July 23, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Despite a weaker US dollar, gold prices (XAU/USD) struggled to maintain their previous bullish momentum, falling to around $2,393.56 and hitting an intra-day low of $2,388.38.
This decline was influenced by a positive shift in market sentiment following unexpected interest rate cuts by the People's Bank of China (PBoC).
Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering borrowing costs in September, with two more rate cuts anticipated by year-end, have further bolstered market sentiment. This outlook has exerted pressure on safe-haven assets like gold.
Looking ahead, traders are cautious about taking strong positions as they await key US economic data, including Existing Home Sales and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, for short-term trading opportunities.
The primary focus will be on Thursday’s Advance US Q2 GDP report and Friday’s US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. Additionally, investors will closely monitor this week’s flash PMIs, which are anticipated to offer clearer insights into global economic trends.
Effects of Fed Rate Cut Expectations and Political Developments on the US Dollar and Gold Prices
On the US front, the US dollar has weakened recently due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates. Investors anticipate the Fed will begin reducing borrowing costs in September, with potential for two additional rate cuts by year-end.
This outlook has led to a decline in US Treasury bond yields, reducing the attractiveness of bonds and putting downward pressure on the dollar. Consequently, gold prices have been supported, as lower yields enhance gold's appeal compared to holding cash or bonds.
On the other hand, investors have shown limited reaction to US President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 election, as they anticipate potential benefits for the US stock market from Donald Trump’s proposed policies.
However, a second Trump presidency could result in higher inflation, which would drive up US Treasury bond yields. Increased bond yields make gold less attractive to investors, who would prefer the higher returns from bonds.
Therefore, expectations of rising inflation and bond yields under Trump could lead to lower gold prices, as investors might shift their funds away from gold in favor of more profitable bonds.
Impact of People’s Bank of China Rate Cuts on Global Market Sentiment and Gold Prices
Moreover, global market sentiment has improved following unexpected interest rate cuts by the People's Bank of China (PBoC). The PBoC reduced key rates, including the one-year and five-year loan prime rates, by 0.1 percentage points each.
This move surprised investors, especially after a recent meeting did not offer immediate economic stimulus. The rate cuts have boosted global risk appetite, encouraging investment in riskier assets.
However, this shift has posed a challenge for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty, leading to downward pressure on its prices.
Thus, the unexpected rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China have made investors more willing to take risks, which has reduced gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2388.83, down 0.02%. The 4-hour chart analysis reveals crucial levels that could guide market participants. The pivot point stands at $2404.13, acting as a critical level for market direction.
Immediate resistance is seen at $2420.88, followed by $2436.35, and then $2454.06. These levels indicate potential barriers to upward movements. On the downside, immediate support is identified at $2384.48, with further support at $2369.02 and $2350.56. These levels are essential for traders to watch for potential rebounds or further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 33, suggesting that gold might be in oversold territory, which could indicate a potential for a rebound. However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2415.98, reinforcing the bearish outlook below this level.
Given the technical setup, the recommended trading strategy is to sell below $2400, with a take profit target at $2373 and a stop loss at $2420. This strategy aligns with the current bearish trend, considering the resistance levels and the RSI indicator.
In summary, gold's technical outlook remains bearish below the $2404.13 pivot point. A break above this level could shift the sentiment to a more bullish stance, while maintaining below this level supports the bearish trend.
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USD/CAD Price Analysis – July 23, 2024
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Immediate resistance at $2420.88, next at $2436.35, and $2454.06.
- Immediate support at $2384.48, next at $2369.02, and $2350.56.
- RSI at 33, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2388.83, down 0.02%. The 4-hour chart analysis reveals crucial levels that could guide market participants. The pivot point stands at $2404.13, acting as a critical level for market direction.
Immediate resistance is seen at $2420.88, followed by $2436.35, and then $2454.06. These levels indicate potential barriers to upward movements. On the downside, immediate support is identified at $2384.48, with further support at $2369.02 and $2350.56. These levels are essential for traders to watch for potential rebounds or further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 33, suggesting that gold might be in oversold territory, which could indicate a potential for a rebound. However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2415.98, reinforcing the bearish outlook below this level.
Given the technical setup, the recommended trading strategy is to sell below $2400, with a take profit target at $2373 and a stop loss at $2420. This strategy aligns with the current bearish trend, considering the resistance levels and the RSI indicator.
In summary, gold's technical outlook remains bearish below the $2404.13 pivot point. A break above this level could shift the sentiment to a more bullish stance, while maintaining below this level supports the bearish trend.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2400
Take Profit – 2373
Stop Loss – 2420
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2700/ -$2000
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$270/ -$200
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2405.36, with critical support at $2393.69 and resistance at $2435.02.
- RSI at 36 indicates potential buying interest as it nears oversold territory.
- Recommended trade setup: Sell below $2412, take profit at $2381, stop loss at $2435.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2405.36, up a modest 0.03%. On the 4-hour chart, the pivot point is positioned at $2412.14, indicating a critical juncture for traders. Immediate resistance is seen at $2435.02, with further resistance levels at $2453.93 and $2482.70.
On the downside, immediate support is identified at $2393.69, followed by stronger support at $2370.70 and $2350.44.
Technical indicators suggest a mixed outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 36, indicating that gold is approaching oversold territory but is not there yet.
This could imply potential buying interest if the RSI continues to drop. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2421.99, which is above the current price, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
Given the technical setup, a sell entry is recommended below the pivot point at $2412. The suggested take profit level is $2381, aligning with support levels that could act as potential targets for a downward move. A stop loss should be placed at $2435 to protect against upside risks, which coincides with the immediate resistance level.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2412
Take Profit – 2381
Stop Loss – 2435
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3100/ -$2300
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$310/ -$230
GOLD Price Analysis – July 22, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) started the new week on a bullish note, halting its three-day downtrend. It gained positive momentum, climbing above the $2,400 level, with an intraday high of $2,412.
This rebound was primarily driven by a weaker US dollar, influenced by recent US political developments and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate-cut cycle starting in September.
Moreover, the ongoing concerns about slowing Chinese economic growth, persistent geopolitical risks from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict, and long-lasting Middle East tensions have enhanced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Looking ahead, investors are keenly awaiting additional signals about the Federal Reserve's future actions, which will likely impact gold prices.
This week’s flash PMI report and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, scheduled for release on Friday, are expected to offer further understanding regarding global economy and create short-term trading opportunities for gold.
US Dollar Weakens Amid Political Developments and Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Boosting Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar lost momentum and turned bearish after President Joe Biden announced he’s leaving the presidential race. Investors who expected Trump to win started changing their bets.
Now, Vice President Kamala Harris is seen as the top Democratic candidate, but former President Donald Trump is still the favorite in betting markets. On the other hand, market participants expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September, which has weakened the US dollar.
Therefore, the expected Federal Reserve rate cut and weakened US dollar have boosted gold's appeal as a safe-haven investment, leading to rising gold prices as investors seek stability.
Geopolitical Tensions and Weak Chinese Economic Growth Boost Gold Prices
On the economic front, China's economy grew by 4.7% year-on-year in the second quarter, missing expectations and slowing compared to earlier in the year. This weaker growth, coupled with sluggish consumer demand, is pushing up gold prices as investors seek safe havens amid global uncertainties.
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and Middle Eastern conflicts are also contributing to gold's appeal.
Recently, Israeli forces attacked the Nuseirat refugee camp 63 times in a week, resulting in 91 Palestinian deaths and 251 injuries.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is sending negotiators to resume talks on captives, with fighting continuing in Gaza, where the death toll stands at 38,983 and injuries at 89,727. Since the October 7 Hamas attacks, Israel has reported 1,139 deaths, with captives still held in Gaza.
Hence, the weaker economic growth in China and ongoing global conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, have heightened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, driving up its prices.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2405.36, up a modest 0.03%. On the 4-hour chart, the pivot point is positioned at $2412.14, indicating a critical juncture for traders. Immediate resistance is seen at $2435.02, with further resistance levels at $2453.93 and $2482.70.
On the downside, immediate support is identified at $2393.69, followed by stronger support at $2370.70 and $2350.44.
Technical indicators suggest a mixed outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 36, indicating that gold is approaching oversold territory but is not there yet.
This could imply potential buying interest if the RSI continues to drop. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2421.99, which is above the current price, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
Given the technical setup, a sell entry is recommended below the pivot point at $2412. The suggested take profit level is $2381, aligning with support levels that could act as potential targets for a downward move.
A stop loss should be placed at $2435 to protect against upside risks, which coincides with the immediate resistance level.
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GBP/USD Price Analysis – July 22, 2024