Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 10, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD faces resistance at $1.07979, with further barriers up to $1.08834.

- Supports established at $1.06999 and lower, defining potential fallback levels.

- Selling strategy suggested below $1.07844, targeting the pivot at $1.07511, with strict stop loss parameters.

Today, the EUR/USD trades slightly lower at 1.07777, marking a decrease of 0.05%. The pair's movements are subdued amid a mixed sentiment in the forex market, reflecting cautious investor behavior ahead of upcoming economic data releases.

The currency pair's pivot point stands at $1.07511, serving as a significant marker for intraday trading dynamics. Should the EUR/USD advance, it faces immediate resistance at $1.07979. Additional ceilings are set at $1.08385 and $1.08834, which could limit further gains.

On the downside, initial support lies at $1.06999, followed by more substantial levels at $1.06544 and $1.06125. These figures suggest potential areas where the price might stabilize or rebound during pullbacks.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 59, indicating a slightly bullish momentum but nearing the threshold of overbought conditions. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.07377 provides underlying support, aligning closely with the pivot point and suggesting a consolidation phase might be at play unless further catalysts drive market volatility.

The trading strategy for EUR/USD under the current conditions involves a cautious approach. Traders might consider a short position if the price moves below the threshold of 1.07844, aiming for a target at the pivot point of 1.07511, with a stop loss set at 1.08136 to mitigate risk.

This setup reflects the current resistance and support levels, offering a structured plan for navigating potential market movements today.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 1.07844

Take Profit – 1.07511

Stop Loss – 1.08136

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$333/ -$292

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$33/ -$29

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – May 10, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 10, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

Despite Fed rate-cut speculation and a bearish U.S. dollar, the EUR/USD pair failed to extend its upward rally, losing some gains and turning bearish around the 1.0781 level. It hit an intra-day low of 1.0772. The reason for this downward trend can be attributed to the dovish stance of the ECB, which is expected to deliver three rate cuts this year due to easing Eurozone inflation. This has put pressure on the shared currency and contributed to the EUR/USD pair's losses.

US Dollar Under Pressure Amid Economic Uncertainty and Potential Fed Rate Cuts

On the other hand, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook. Recent signs of a weakening job market have raised expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates sooner than expected. This follows higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims in early May and a disappointing April Nonfarm Payrolls report, suggesting the economy is struggling due to high interest rates. However, some Fed officials, like Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, believe inflation pressures are still too strong for rate cuts.

The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to economic uncertainty, which could lead to further weakening if the Federal Reserve cuts rates. However, conflicting views on inflation among Fed officials may limit the extent of the dollar's decline. This uncertainty could create upward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

Impact of ECB Rate Cut Expectations on the Euro and the EUR/USD Pair

On the Euro front, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to start cutting interest rates in June, undermining the shared currency. However, ECB policymakers are divided on whether to continue with rate cuts after June. Some, like the Bank of Greece Governor Yannis Stournaras, suggest there could be three rate cuts this year, including one in July, driven by signs of slower economic growth. The Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter, beating expectations. On the other hand, some officials, like Austria's central bank governor Robert Holzmann, are cautious about cutting rates too quickly, fearing it might be premature.

The mixed views among ECB policymakers create uncertainty, with the prospect of rate cuts generally leading to a weaker Euro. This could result in a bearish impact on the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

Today, the EUR/USD trades slightly lower at 1.07777, marking a decrease of 0.05%. The pair's movements are subdued amid a mixed sentiment in the forex market, reflecting cautious investor behavior ahead of upcoming economic data releases.

On the downside, initial support lies at $1.06999, followed by more substantial levels at $1.06544 and $1.06125. These figures suggest potential areas where the price might stabilize or rebound during pullbacks.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 59, indicating a slightly bullish momentum but nearing the threshold of overbought conditions. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.07377 provides underlying support, aligning closely with the pivot point and suggesting a consolidation phase might be at play unless further catalysts drive market volatility.

The trading strategy for EUR/USD under the current conditions involves a cautious approach. Traders might consider a short position if the price moves below the threshold of 1.07844, aiming for a target at the pivot point of 1.07511, with a stop loss set at 1.08136 to mitigate risk.

This setup reflects the current resistance and support levels, offering a structured plan for navigating potential market movements today.

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EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – May 08, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 8, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward trend and stayed bearish around the 1.0742 level, hitting an intraday low of 1.0734. This decline was mainly driven by a stronger US dollar, bolstered by hawkish remarks from Fed official Neel Kashkari, who indicated that rate cuts are unlikely this year due to the strength of the housing market. These comments supported the US dollar and contributed to the decline in the EUR/USD pair.

Additionally, expectations of interest rate cuts by the European Central Board (ECB) and the resulting policy divergence with the Fed likely added to the downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

Mixed Signals on Fed Rate Cuts and Weak US Data Strengthen Dollar, Pressuring EUR/USD Pair

On the US front, the dollar strengthened as worries about potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve eased somewhat, following remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicating a halt in further tightening measures. However, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari's hawkish stance, highlighting robust housing market conditions, tempered expectations for rate cuts.

Despite this, the likelihood of rate reductions in September increased to 65%, according to the CME FedWatch tool, driven by weaker-than-expected US economic data, including slower job growth, a rise in the unemployment rate to 3.9%, and softening wage growth.

Moreover, the Services PMI fell below the expansion threshold of 50.0, indicating a contraction in the sector. This mixed economic outlook supported the dollar's rebound, as reflected in the US Dollar Index climbing to 105.60. Meanwhile, in Europe, the euro struggled to maintain its recent gains against the dollar amid growing expectations of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank, creating downward pressure on the EUR/USD currency pair.

Therefore, the EUR/USD pair came under pressure due to a stronger US dollar, driven by the Fed's mixed signals on rate cuts and weaker US economic data, while the euro faced expectations of ECB rate cuts.

ECB's Anticipated Rate Cuts Expected to Weaken Euro, Pressuring EUR/USD Pair

On the other side, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to begin cutting interest rates starting from its June meeting. This comes as price pressures in the Eurozone are anticipated to move toward the 2% target, while service inflation, which had remained at 4.0% for five consecutive months, is now showing signs of softening.

Many ECB policymakers are comfortable with this move, provided there are no unforeseen developments. Furthermore, it is projected that the ECB will implement three rate cuts this year, potentially surpassing the Federal Reserve's expected rate adjustments, which could widen the policy gap between the two central banks.

Therefore, the anticipated interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank are likely to weaken the euro, contributing to additional downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair, especially as the Federal Reserve's rate outlook remains relatively stable.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

Today's technical analysis for EUR/USD reflects a minor downtrend with the currency pair down by 0.07%, trading at $1.07458. This subtle movement comes amidst fluctuating market sentiments and is framed by critical technical levels that might serve as catalysts for future price actions.

The EUR/USD is currently operating below its pivot point set at $1.0800, indicating a bearish sentiment in the near term. Key resistance levels for the day are marked at $1.0808, $1.0839, and $1.0883. These thresholds could restrict upward price movements unless a significant market driver shifts the trading sentiment.

Conversely, the currency finds immediate support at $1.0686, with further cushions at $1.0656 and $1.0626, which could be tested if the bearish pressure continues.

Technical indicators show a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 49, hovering near the midpoint, which suggests a neutral market without clear directional bias. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0727 slightly below the current price supports this neutral to slightly bearish stance.

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EUR/USD

Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 8, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD remains under its pivotal level at $1.0800, suggesting continued bearish bias.

- Resistance near $1.0808 and higher could cap rallies unless overcome by strong bullish drivers.

- Support levels below current prices may provide rebound opportunities if tested.

Today's technical analysis for EUR/USD reflects a minor downtrend with the currency pair down by 0.07%, trading at $1.07458. This subtle movement comes amidst fluctuating market sentiments and is framed by critical technical levels that might serve as catalysts for future price actions.

The EUR/USD is currently operating below its pivot point set at $1.0800, indicating a bearish sentiment in the near term. Key resistance levels for the day are marked at $1.0808, $1.0839, and $1.0883. These thresholds could restrict upward price movements unless a significant market driver shifts the trading sentiment.

Conversely, the currency finds immediate support at $1.0686, with further cushions at $1.0656 and $1.0626, which could be tested if the bearish pressure continues.

Technical indicators show a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 49, hovering near the midpoint, which suggests a neutral market without clear directional bias. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0727 slightly below the current price supports this neutral to slightly bearish stance.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.07289

Take Profit – 1.08002

Stop Loss – 1.06925

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.9

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$713/ -$364

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$71/ -$36

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – May 06, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 6, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the dovish stance of the European Central Bank (ECB), the EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward rally and remained bullish around the 1.0772 level, reaching an intraday high of 1.0776.

The upward trend could be attributed to growing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the release of disappointing job data, which weakened the US currency and contributed to gains in the EUR/USD pair.

However, the possibility of interest rate cuts by ECB policymakers, particularly in response to economic concerns, could undermine the EUR currency and limit the upside momentum for the EUR/USD currency pair.

ECB Policy Normalization and Rate Cut Disagreements Could Influence EUR/USD Trends

On the EUR front, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to begin normalizing its policies at the June meeting. The ECB's decision on interest rates for the latter part of the year will impact the Euro's value.

There's disagreement among ECB policymakers about extending rate cuts beyond June. Some believe that more cuts from July could help boost inflation.

Yannis Stournaras, the Bank of Greece Governor, anticipates three rate cuts this year, possibly one in July. He cites the Eurozone's stronger-than-expected economic growth in the first quarter, expanding by 0.3%, as a reason for his forecast.

If the ECB starts normalizing its policies in June, it could strengthen the Euro, driving the EUR/USD pair higher. However, continued disagreement among ECB policymakers about further interest rate cuts might limit the pair's gains. A more dovish outlook from the ECB could weaken the Euro, potentially leading to a drop in the EUR/USD rate.

US Dollar Weakness Propels EUR/USD Pair Higher Amid Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts

On the US front, the US dollar weakened due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2024, driven by disappointing job data. The US economy added 175,000 jobs in April, well below the anticipated 243,000, indicating a slowdown in job growth.

Furthermore, wage growth was slightly lower than expected, with average hourly earnings rising by 3.9% year-over-year instead of the expected 4.0%. These factors increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, with nearly a 49% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in September.

Therefore, the weaker US dollar, driven by potential Fed rate cuts and disappointing job data, supported the EUR/USD pair, leading to an increase in its value.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

On May 6, the EUR/USD pair is subtly appreciating, marked at $1.07644, up 0.02%. It stands just above the pivotal level of $1.07535, which is instrumental in guiding today’s trading sentiment. The proximity to this pivot underscores a restrained but positive momentum as the market seeks direction.

Looking upwards, the immediate resistance at $1.08080 represents the first significant barrier to further gains. Successive resistance levels at $1.08385 and $1.08834 further map the landscape for potential bullish moves, defining clear targets for traders eyeing an extension of the upward trajectory.

Conversely, the immediate support at $1.07200 serves as the first defensive line against any downward corrections. Additional support levels are found at $1.06731 and $1.06382, providing safety nets should bearish pressures intensify.

The technical indicators add depth to this outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently at 61, signaling slight upward momentum but cautioning against potential overextension. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), resting at $1.07122, lies below the current price and pivot point, reinforcing the mild bullish sentiment.

Given the current setup, where EUR/USD hovers around and slightly above its pivot point and 50 EMA, traders might consider a cautiously optimistic approach.

The recommended entry price for a bullish scenario is set at $1.07528, with a target for taking profits at $1.08082. The stop loss is advised at $1.07080 to protect against unexpected downturns.

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EUR/USD

Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 6, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- Current Positioning: EUR/USD at $1.07644 shows slight gains, maintaining levels just above the day’s pivot point of $1.07535.

- Resistance and Support Levels: Eyes on resistance at $1.08080, with further targets at $1.08385 and $1.08834; supports established at $1.07200 and $1.06731.

- Indicator Insights: RSI at 61 coupled with the 50 EMA below current price suggests a cautiously bullish outlook for the pair.

On May 6, the EUR/USD pair is subtly appreciating, marked at $1.07644, up 0.02%. It stands just above the pivotal level of $1.07535, which is instrumental in guiding today’s trading sentiment. The proximity to this pivot underscores a restrained but positive momentum as the market seeks direction.

Looking upwards, the immediate resistance at $1.08080 represents the first significant barrier to further gains. Successive resistance levels at $1.08385 and $1.08834 further map the landscape for potential bullish moves, defining clear targets for traders eyeing an extension of the upward trajectory.

Conversely, the immediate support at $1.07200 serves as the first defensive line against any downward corrections. Additional support levels are found at $1.06731 and $1.06382, providing safety nets should bearish pressures intensify.

The technical indicators add depth to this outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently at 61, signalling slight upward momentum but cautioning against potential overextension. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), resting at $1.07122, lies below the current price and pivot point, reinforcing the mild bullish sentiment.

Given the current setup, where EUR/USD hovers around and slightly above its pivot point and 50 EMA, traders might consider a cautiously optimistic approach.

The recommended entry price for a bullish scenario is set at $1.07528, with a target for taking profits at $1.08082. The stop loss is advised at $1.07080 to protect against unexpected downturns.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.07528

Take Profit – 1.08082

Stop Loss – 1.07080

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$554/ -$448

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$55/ -$44

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – May 03, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 3, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the ECB being widely anticipated to start reducing interest rates in June, the EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward trend and remained well bid around 1.0805, hitting the intraday high of 1.0812 level.

However, the reason for its upward trend could be attributed to the bearish US dollar and dovish Fed stance on interest rates.

The US Dollar (USD) is under pressure due to weak Q1 nonfarm productivity growth, and as the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered less hawkish guidance on interest rates than feared.

In contrast to this, the European Central Bank is widely expected to reduce interest rates in June, which was seen as a key factor that capped further gains in the EUR/USD pair.

US Economic Developments and Impact on USD/EUR Pair

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), is trading near a three-week low around 105.20. Fed Chair Jerome Powell made cautious comments after the decision to keep interest rates steady at 5.25%-5.50%.

He signaled no plans for further rate hikes, which has led to the weakening of the US Dollar (USD). This "dovish" stance suggests the Fed is prioritizing economic growth over controlling inflation.

On the data front, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 26 remained steady at 208K, the lowest level in two months and below the expected 212K, which could give the Federal Reserve room to delay interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, US Nonfarm Productivity in the first quarter increased by 0.3%, lower than the anticipated 0.8% and the previous quarter's 3.5% rise.

This marks the slowest productivity growth since the January-March quarter in 2023. These figures suggest a stable job market but weaker productivity, which could impact the Fed's decision-making regarding monetary policy.

Therefore, the dovish stance of the Fed and weaker-than-expected US economic data have contributed to the weakening of the US dollar, supporting the upward trend of the EUR/USD pair.

Eurozone Economic Developments and Impact on EUR/USD Pair

On the Eurozone front, the European Central Bank is likely to lower interest rates in June, as long as inflation stays in check and remains on track to reach the desired 2% rate.

The hopes for the ECB achieving a smooth transition have grown, thanks to the Eurozone economy's stronger-than-expected performance, expanding by 0.3% in the first quarter of this yeaar, surpassing the anticipated 0.1% growth.

Hence, the anticipation of lower interest rates in June by the European Central Bank, coupled with the Eurozone's stronger economic growth, is likely to weaken the euro against the US dollar. Investors may favor the dollar due to potentially higher interest rates, leading to downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair shows a modest uptick in today's trading, rising by 0.08% to a price of 1.07308. This movement positions the currency pair just below a crucial pivot point set at 1.0752, indicating potential resistance and key levels to watch.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, suggesting that the market is approaching overbought conditions, which could temper bullish momentum. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently at 1.0702, providing near-term support that aligns closely with today's market behavior.

In terms of resistance, the immediate hurdle for the EUR/USD pair is at 1.0753, closely followed by the subsequent levels at 1.0780 and 1.0809. These thresholds represent critical points where selling pressure might intensify, potentially capping further advances.

On the flip side, the currency finds robust support at 1.0673, with additional layers at 1.0638 and 1.0602. These levels could serve as bounce points if the pair retreats from its current price.

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EUR/USD

Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 3, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- Entry Strategy: Consider buying above the minor resistance at 1.07158, anticipating a push towards higher resistance levels.

- Profit Targets: Set an initial take profit near the first resistance post-entry at 1.07523, adjusting based on market response and momentum.

- Risk Management: Place a stop loss at 1.06847 to manage potential downside risk effectively, ensuring tight control on trade exposure amidst volatile trading conditions.

The EUR/USD pair shows a modest uptick in today's trading, rising by 0.08% to a price of 1.07308. This movement positions the currency pair just below a crucial pivot point set at 1.0752, indicating potential resistance and key levels to watch.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, suggesting that the market is approaching overbought conditions, which could temper bullish momentum. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently at 1.0702, providing near-term support that aligns closely with today's market behavior.

In terms of resistance, the immediate hurdle for the EUR/USD pair is at 1.0753, closely followed by the subsequent levels at 1.0780 and 1.0809. These thresholds represent critical points where selling pressure might intensify, potentially capping further advances.

On the flip side, the currency finds robust support at 1.0673, with additional layers at 1.0638 and 1.0602. These levels could serve as bounce points if the pair retreats from its current price.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.07158

Take Profit – 1.07523

Stop Loss – 1.06847

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$365/ -$311

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$36/ -$31

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – May 01, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 1, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

Despite previously released upbeat Eurozone data, the EUR/USD currency pair failed to gain positive momentum and remained bearish around the 1.0663 level, hitting an intraday low of 1.0649.

However, the declining streak can be attributed to multiple factors, including a bullish US dollar and a dovish stance from the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding interest rate cuts. In contrast, Eurozone GDP growth surpassed forecasts, increasing by 0.3% in Q1.

This indicates stronger-than-anticipated economic expansion within the Eurozone during the period, which was seen as one of the key factors helping the EUR/USD pair to limit its downward trend.

US Dollar Strengthens on Upbeat Economic Data and Hawkish Fed Comments

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar gained traction on the back of better-than-expected Employment Cost Index data. Furthermore, the upticks in the US dollar were further bolstered by the comments from Fed officials, suggesting no urgent need for rate cuts.

On the data front, the US Employment Cost Index rose by 1.2%, marking its biggest increase in a year, surpassing both the expected 1.0% and the previous 0.9%. This indicates that the persisting wage pressures might intensify the impact of ongoing inflation in the US economy.

Therefore, the US dollar gained strength against the Euro due to positive US data and hawkish Fed comments. Moving ahead, traders are expected to closely watch the release of the ADP Employment Change and ISM Manufacturing PMI from the US on Wednesday, just before the Fed's Monetary Policy Statement.

Eurozone Economic Indicators Support Potential Euro Strength

On the EUR front, Eurozone GDP grew by a better-than-expected 0.3% in Q1. Furthermore, the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) saw steady year-over-year growth, meeting forecasts, while core HICP, excluding food and energy prices, softened but still surpassed estimates.

However, the Eurozone's stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP growth and steady HICP inflation figures, despite a slight softening in core HICP, could bolster the euro against the US dollar.

Hence, the Eurozone's robust Q1 GDP growth and steady inflation figures could strengthen the euro against the US dollar, driving the EUR/USD pair higher.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

In today's session, the EUR/USD pair is slightly down, trading at $1.06630, a decrease of 0.04%. This minor downtick reflects a cautious market posture ahead of key economic releases. Positioned just below its pivotal point at $1.06871, the pair’s movements suggest a hovering uncertainty among traders.

Resistance for EUR/USD is initially found at $1.06889, with further ceilings at $1.07204 and $1.07534 that need to be surpassed for significant bullish momentum. On the downside, the immediate support lies at $1.06322, extending to $1.06018 and $1.05627, which serve as crucial buffers against potential declines.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 39, indicating a slight lean towards oversold conditions, which could foretell a potential for recovery if market conditions permit. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aligns closely at $1.06887, underscoring a pivotal role in short-term price direction.

Given the proximity of the current price to critical technical levels, adopting a cautious approach may be wise. An ideal trading strategy would be to initiate a buy position slightly above the current market price at $1.06562, targeting the pivot point at $1.06871 for potential profit-taking, and placing a stop loss at $1.06258 to manage risks effectively.

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Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 1, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD is marginally down today, indicating cautious trading just below the pivot point.

- The pair shows potential for recovery with resistance and support levels closely monitored.

- Strategy suggests a cautious buy with a clear target and stop loss to capture potential upswings.

In today's session, the EUR/USD pair is slightly down, trading at $1.06630, a decrease of 0.04%. This minor downtick reflects a cautious market posture ahead of key economic releases. Positioned just below its pivotal point at $1.06871, the pair’s movements suggest a hovering uncertainty among traders.

Resistance for EUR/USD is initially found at $1.06889, with further ceilings at $1.07204 and $1.07534 that need to be surpassed for significant bullish momentum. On the downside, the immediate support lies at $1.06322, extending to $1.06018 and $1.05627, which serve as crucial buffers against potential declines.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 39, indicating a slight lean towards oversold conditions, which could foretell a potential for recovery if market conditions permit. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aligns closely at $1.06887, underscoring a pivotal role in short-term price direction.

Given the proximity of the current price to critical technical levels, adopting a cautious approach may be wise. An ideal trading strategy would be to initiate a buy position slightly above the current market price at $1.06562, targeting the pivot point at $1.06871 for potential profit-taking, and placing a stop loss at $1.06258 to manage risks effectively.

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.06562

Take Profit – 1.06871

Stop Loss – 1.06258

Risk to Reward – 1: 1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$309/ -$304

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$30/ -$30

EUR/USD