Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – Jan 03, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jan 3, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

The EUR/USD currency pair failed to stop its downward trend and remained well-offered around 1.0940 level. However, the downward trend was mainly driven by the stronger US dollar, which was being backed by the increase in bond yields. In the meantime, the increased odds of rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB) was seen as another key factor that kept the EUR/USD pair under pressure.

Impact of US Manufacturing Decline and Fed's Dovish Stance on EUR/USD Pair

On Tuesday, the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for December decreased to 47.9 from the previous 48.2, falling below the expected 48.2. This suggests a slowdown in the manufacturing sector. During its last meeting in 2023, the Federal Reserve (Fed) conveyed a cautious message. It is anticipated that the Fed will initiate a series of rate cuts, beginning with a quarter-point cut in March, followed by similar cuts in May and June. However, there is widespread anticipation for this week's US labor data to gain further insights into what lies ahead.

Therefore, the decline in the US Manufacturing PMI and the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve could lead to a weaker US dollar. This may result in a positive impact on the EUR/USD pair, favoring the Euro.

ECB Rate Cut Expectations and Federal Reserve's Delay Impact

Furthermore, there is an increasing likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting rates to stimulate the economy, while the Federal Reserve may postpone rate changes. This exerts downward pressure on the Euro (EUR) and poses a challenge for EUR/USD. Investors anticipate six rate cuts from the ECB in 2024.

On Tuesday, ECB policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos emphasized the high uncertainty in economic data, indicating that the timing of the ECB's policy shift depends on data. He also predicted a continued decrease in inflation in the Eurozone. These factors collectively contribute to potential challenges for the Euro against the US Dollar.

Therefore, the increased likelihood of ECB rate cuts, contrasted with the Federal Reserve's potential delay, creates downward pressure on the Euro. This poses challenges for the EUR/USD pair, favoring a stronger US Dollar.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair shows modest upward momentum on January 3, with a slight gain of 0.06%, trading at 1.09578. The currency pair's movement is marked by key technical levels. Resistance is anticipated at 1.1003, 1.1050, and 1.1129, while support could be found at 1.0891, 1.0824, and 1.0740.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35, hinting at a bearish sentiment but not deeply into oversold territory. The currency pair currently trades close to its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 1.100, suggesting the possibility of short-term bearish trends. A recent upward channel breakout around $1.1050 led to a brief sell-off, finding support at $1.0936.

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EUR/USD

Daily Trade Ideas

EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jan 1, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD trading at 1.10375, reflecting a cautious market sentiment.

- RSI at 46 and MACD at -0.0009 suggest a neutral to bearish outlook.

- Immediate resistance and support levels at $1.1074 and $1.0925, respectively.

The EUR/USD pair begins the new year with subtle movements, indicating a cautious approach by traders. As of January 1, the pair is trading at 1.10375, marking a slight decrease of 0.23%. The currency pair, a barometer for transatlantic economic health, is navigating through crucial technical junctures that will shape its trajectory in the upcoming sessions.

On the weekly chart, the pivot point is established at $1.0982, a critical level for future directional movements. The EUR/USD faces immediate resistance at $1.1074, followed by higher barriers at $1.1131 and $1.1221. These levels serve as potential ceilings for the pair's upward movement. Conversely, support levels are set at $1.0925, $1.0833, and $1.0778, which could provide cushions against downward price pressures.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 46, signifying a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -0.0009, indicating a potential for downward momentum, as it is below its signal line at 0.0012. Additionally, the pair is trading below its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.1061, reinforcing a short-term bearish outlook.

However, the observed chart patterns, including a symmetrical triangle, suggest potential for either a breakout or a continuation of the current trend, depending on market dynamics and economic indicators in the coming days.

  EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
  EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Limit 1.10597

Take Profit – 1.10029

Stop Loss – 1.11036

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$568/ -$439

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$56/ -$43

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis – Jan 01, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jan 1, 2024
Eurusd

Daily Price Outlook

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward trend, remaining bullish on the first day of the new year. However, the upticks in the EUR/USD pair were supported by mild losses in the US Dollar during a holiday session. The pair maintains its broader bullish bias, with downside attempts limited well above 1.1000, and it is on track to close the year with a 3.3% advance, breaking a two-year decline streak. However, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) dovish stance has initiated a risk rally, causing the US Dollar to decline and contributing to the EUR/USD pair gains.

Economic Slowdown in the US Fuels Speculation of 2024 Fed Rate Cuts and Strengthens Euro Against Weakening Dollar

It's crucial to emphasize that recent data from the US indicates an economic slowdown. Notably, Jobless Claims surged by 118K in mid-December, surpassing the expected 110K. Meanwhile, Pending Home Sales in November remained stagnant, falling short of the anticipated 1% increase. These figures support the perspective that the US economy is gradually decelerating in Q4, potentially heading for a soft landing. This has spurred speculation about the Federal Reserve implementing rate cuts in 2024, with futures markets indicating an 85% probability of cuts in March and a total of 150 basis points throughout the year, according to the CME Group FedWatch Tool.

Therefore, the news of a slowing US economy and potential Fed rate cuts in 2024 has likely weakened the USD. This could result in a positive impact on the EUR/USD pair, leading to a potential strengthening of the Euro against the US Dollar.

Euro Strengthens Amid Steady Inflation in Spain, ECB Caution, and US Dollar's Decline

On the other side, the consumer prices in Spain held steady at a 3.3% yearly rate, indicating persistent inflation in some countries. This supports the European Central Bank's (ECB) cautious approach and strengthens the Euro. Despite the Euro standing firm, the US Dollar remains close to a five-month low due to declining US yields. Notably, the Spanish Consumer Prices Index remained unchanged in December, maintaining a 3.3% annual growth. In addition to this, Austrian Central Bank Governor and ECB member Robert Holzmann remarked on Thursday that a rate cut in 2024 is not guaranteed, providing additional support to the Euro.

Therefore, the steady inflation in Spain and the ECB's cautious stance support the Euro, potentially exerting upward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, the US Dollar's proximity to a five-month low may further contribute to a stronger Euro.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair begins the new year with subtle movements, indicating a cautious approach by traders. As of January 1, the pair is trading at 1.10375, marking a slight decrease of 0.23%. The currency pair, a barometer for transatlantic economic health, is navigating through crucial technical junctures that will shape its trajectory in the upcoming sessions.

On the weekly chart, the pivot point is established at $1.0982, a critical level for future directional movements. The EUR/USD faces immediate resistance at $1.1074, followed by higher barriers at $1.1131 and $1.1221. These levels serve as potential ceilings for the pair's upward movement. Conversely, support levels are set at $1.0925, $1.0833, and $1.0778, which could provide cushions against downward price pressures.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 46, signifying a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -0.0009, indicating a potential for downward momentum, as it is below its signal line at 0.0012. Additionally, the pair is trading below its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.1061, reinforcing a short-term bearish outlook.

However, the observed chart patterns, including a symmetrical triangle, suggest potential for either a breakout or a continuation of the current trend, depending on market dynamics and economic indicators in the coming days.

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    EUR/USD

    Daily Trade Ideas

    EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

    By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
    Dec 29, 2023
    Eurusd

    Daily Price Outlook

    - EUR/USD finds stability above key support, hinting at potential upward shift.

    - Key resistance levels at $1.1129 and $1.1174; support at $1.1006.

    - Upward channel and positive technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook.

    In the realm of foreign exchange markets, the EUR/USD pair presents an intriguing scenario as it stabilizes above a crucial upward channel's support, currently trading around 1.1064. Despite losing 0.39% on Thursday, the pair exhibits resilience on Friday, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.

    The EUR/USD pair is operating within a distinct framework of key technical levels. The pivotal point for the pair is set at $1.1060, with immediate resistance lying ahead at $1.1129, followed by further barriers at $1.1174 and $1.1230. These levels mark potential turning points for the currency pair. On the downside, the immediate support is observed at $1.1006, with additional supports at $1.0941 and $1.0891, providing significant thresholds that could influence the pair's movement.

    Technical indicators add depth to this analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 54, indicating a moderately bullish sentiment. This suggests that the pair might have enough momentum to pursue an upward trajectory. Further supporting this bullish outlook is the fact that EUR/USD trades above its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.1011, typically a sign of a short-term bullish trend.

    Chart patterns reveal a compelling story. An upward channel is currently in play, indicating a supportive trend for the pair. Additionally, the closing of a tweezer's bottom candlestick pattern above $1.1059 signals potential buying interest. This pattern is often seen as a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting that the pair might be poised for an upward movement.

    In conclusion, the overall trend for EUR/USD appears cautiously bullish, particularly if it sustains above the key level of $1.10584. Traders might consider a buy entry above this level, targeting a potential take profit at 1.1141 while maintaining a stop loss at 1.09753. This forecast points towards a potential upward movement in the short term, but as always in the forex market, vigilance and attention to changing market dynamics are key.

      EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
      EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

    EUR/USD - Trade Ideas

    Entry Price – Buy Above 1.10584

    Take Profit – 1.1141

    Stop Loss – 1.09753

    Risk to Reward – 1: 1

    Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$831/ -$831

    Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$83/ -$83

    EUR/USD

    Technical Analysis

    EUR/USD Price Analysis – Dec 29, 2023

    By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
    Dec 29, 2023
    Eurusd

    Daily Price Outlook

    In Friday's Asian trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair exhibited a modest upward trend, reaching around 1.1070, marking a 0.04% increase for the day. This change comes after a slight pullback from its recent high of 1.1139. The fluctuations in this major currency pair are largely shaped by the differing monetary policy approaches of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed).

    Euro Boosted by ECB's Firm Stance

    The Euro has gained some traction thanks to the ECB's hawkish outlook. ECB officials have maintained a stance against market expectations of easing monetary policy. Their commitment to making data-driven decisions, independent of external pressures, has bolstered the Euro, contributing to the pair's recent upswing.

    Fed's Softening Outlook Influences Market

    In contrast, the Fed's more dovish remarks have influenced market sentiments in the opposite direction. Investors are increasingly betting on the US central bank cutting interest rates as early as the coming year. This sentiment is evident in the CME FedWatch Tool, which shows over an 87% likelihood of a rate cut by March, indicating a major shift in expectations.

    Mixed US Economic Indicators

    The US economic landscape presents a complex picture, with recent data showing mixed signals. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 23 rose to 218,000, surpassing expectations and previous figures. Meanwhile, November's US Pending Home Sales did not meet the anticipated 1.0% increase, staying flat and adding to the mixed economic narrative.

    Subdued Market Activity as Year Ends

    As 2023 winds down, a quieter market is anticipated for the year's final trading day. Key indicators that investors will watch include Spain’s preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December and the US Chicago PMI for the same month. These data points could provide crucial insights for currency traders and set the tone for early 2024.

    EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
    EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

    EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

    In the realm of foreign exchange markets, the EUR/USD pair presents an intriguing scenario as it stabilizes above a crucial upward channel's support, currently trading around 1.1064. Despite losing 0.39% on Thursday, the pair exhibits resilience on Friday, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.

    The EUR/USD pair is operating within a distinct framework of key technical levels. The pivotal point for the pair is set at $1.1060, with immediate resistance lying ahead at $1.1129, followed by further barriers at $1.1174 and $1.1230. These levels mark potential turning points for the currency pair. On the downside, the immediate support is observed at $1.1006, with additional supports at $1.0941 and $1.0891, providing significant thresholds that could influence the pair's movement.

    Technical indicators add depth to this analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 54, indicating a moderately bullish sentiment. This suggests that the pair might have enough momentum to pursue an upward trajectory. Further supporting this bullish outlook is the fact that EUR/USD trades above its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.1011, typically a sign of a short-term bullish trend.

    Chart patterns reveal a compelling story. An upward channel is currently in play, indicating a supportive trend for the pair. Additionally, the closing of a tweezer's bottom candlestick pattern above $1.1059 signals potential buying interest. This pattern is often seen as a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting that the pair might be poised for an upward movement.

    In conclusion, the overall trend for EUR/USD appears cautiously bullish, particularly if it sustains above the key level of $1.10584. Traders might consider a buy entry above this level, targeting a potential take profit at 1.1141 while maintaining a stop loss at 1.09753. This forecast points towards a potential upward movement in the short term, but as always in the forex market, vigilance and attention to changing market dynamics are key.

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          EUR/USD

          Daily Trade Ideas

          EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

          By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
          Dec 27, 2023
          Eurusd

          Daily Price Outlook

          - EUR/USD trades at 1.10447, showing a slight increase of 0.02%.

          - RSI at 66 and price above 50 EMA suggest a short-term bullish trend for EUR/USD.

          - Upward trendline supports the continued bullish momentum in the pair.

          In the realm of forex trading, the EUR/USD pair remains a critical focus for investors. On December 27, this currency pair exhibits a subtle yet positive change, trading at 1.10447, marking a slight increase of 0.02%. The currency pair's stability is noteworthy, especially considering the current global economic landscape.

          The technical analysis of EUR/USD reveals that the pair's pivot point is currently at $1.1044. Investors are closely monitoring resistance levels at $1.1061, $1.1106, and $1.1152. On the support side, key levels are at $1.0981, $1.0937, and $1.0891. These price points are significant for traders as they navigate the forex market's fluctuations.

          The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for EUR/USD is at 66, hovering in the bullish sentiment territory without reaching overbought conditions. This suggests a moderately strong buying interest in the market. Furthermore, the pair's price is above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.0967, reinforcing a short-term bullish trend. This positioning above the EMA is a positive sign for potential upward momentum.

          In terms of chart patterns, an upward trendline is supporting the ongoing uptrend in EUR/USD. This pattern indicates a potential continuation of bullish momentum in the short term.

          Overall, the trend for EUR/USD appears to be bullish, particularly above the current EMA level. In the short term, it is anticipated that the pair may test its resistance levels. Traders considering entry into the EUR/USD market might contemplate a buy limit at 1.10272, with a take-profit target at 1.10830 and a stop loss at 1.09733.

          EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          EUR/USD - Trade Idea

          Entry Price – Buy Limit 1.10272

          Take Profit – 1.10830

          Stop Loss – 1.09733

          Risk to Reward – 1: 1

          Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$558/ -$539

          Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$55/ -$53

          EUR/USD

          Technical Analysis

          EUR/USD Price Analysis – Dec 27, 2023

          By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
          Dec 27, 2023
          Eurusd

          Daily Price Outlook

          The EUR/USD pair failed to stop its downward trend and remained well offered around below the 1.1040 level. However, the reason for its sluggish movement could be attributed to the lack of any major data. Meanwhile, the downward trend was further bolstered by the European Central Bank (ECB) left its benchmark interest rates unchanged at its last meeting of the year. In contrast to this, the bearish US dollar, pressured by the dovish fed stance, was seen as one of the key factor that cap further losses in EUR/USD pair.

          Federal Reserve's Inflation Data and Rate Cut Signals: Potential Impact on EUR/USD Pair

          It is important to mention that the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), went up by 3.2% compared to last year, slightly below the expected 3.3%. Looking at the monthly changes, the Core PCE increased by 0.1%, falling short of the expected 0.2%.

          At the recent December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep interest rates unchanged and hinted at the possibility of three rate cuts in 2024. This suggests that the Fed is closely monitoring economic conditions and considering adjustments in the coming year.

          Therefore, this news of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates and indicating potential rate cuts in 2024 could influence the EUR/USD pair by affecting the overall sentiment and dynamics in the currency market.

          ECB's Cautious Approach and Optimistic Statements: Potential Support for the Euro and EUR/USD Pair

          Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) wrapped up the year by keeping its benchmark interest rates unchanged in the latest meeting. ECB President Christine Lagarde made it clear that the ECB's decisions hinge on data, not influenced by market trends or time pressures.

          Adding to this, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos mentioned that it's too early to consider easing monetary policy. He also expressed confidence that the Eurozone won't experience a technical recession. These more optimistic statements from the ECB could potentially boost the Euro (EUR) and limit the downside for the EUR/USD pair. In simpler terms, the ECB is taking a cautious approach, considering economic data rather than rushing into policy changes, and this stance might support the Euro in the currency market.

          Therefore, the ECB's decision to maintain interest rates, coupled with optimistic statements, will likely bolster the Euro (EUR) and mitigate downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair, supporting the Euro in currency markets.

          EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          EUR/USD - Technical Analysis 

          In the realm of forex trading, the EUR/USD pair remains a critical focus for investors. On December 27, this currency pair exhibits a subtle yet positive change, trading at 1.10447, marking a slight increase of 0.02%. The currency pair's stability is noteworthy, especially considering the current global economic landscape.

          The technical analysis of EUR/USD reveals that the pair's pivot point is currently at $1.1044. Investors are closely monitoring resistance levels at $1.1061, $1.1106, and $1.1152. On the support side, key levels are at $1.0981, $1.0937, and $1.0891. These price points are significant for traders as they navigate the forex market's fluctuations.

          The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for EUR/USD is at 66, hovering in the bullish sentiment territory without reaching overbought conditions. This suggests a moderately strong buying interest in the market. Furthermore, the pair's price is above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.0967, reinforcing a short-term bullish trend. This positioning above the EMA is a positive sign for potential upward momentum.

          In terms of chart patterns, an upward trendline is supporting the ongoing uptrend in EUR/USD. This pattern indicates a potential continuation of bullish momentum in the short term.

          Overall, the trend for EUR/USD appears to be bullish, particularly above the current EMA level. In the short term, it is anticipated that the pair may test its resistance levels. Traders considering entry into the EUR/USD market might contemplate a buy limit at 1.10272, with a take-profit target at 1.10830 and a stop loss at 1.09733.

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            EUR/USD

            Technical Analysis

            EUR/USD Price Analysis – Dec 25, 2023

            By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
            Dec 25, 2023
            Eurusd

            Daily Price Outlook

            The EUR/USD currency pair experienced a consistent upward trajectory, reaching its peak in 18 weeks at 1.1040. However, the reason for its upward trend could be attributed to the bearish US dollar, which was being prssure by the lower-than-expected US inflation figures led investors to anticipate additional rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024.

            Impacts of US Economic Indicators on EUR/USD Pair

            It's important to highlight that the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, a measure of inflation, didn't meet expectations. The Core Annualized PCE Price Index for the year until November was 3.2%, below the predicted 3.3%, and even lower than October's 3.4%. This has led money markets to expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates more quickly in 2024.

            Investors predict a faster rate of cuts, around 160 basis points, compared to the Fed's projection of 75 basis points by the end of 2024. However, the US Durable Goods Orders beat expectations at 5.4% for November, suggesting the economy might be stronger than anticipated, potentially affecting the extent of future rate cuts.

            Therefore, the softer-than-expected US inflation and anticipation of faster rate cuts by the Fed weakened the US Dollar, benefiting the EUR/USD pair. Positive Durable Goods Orders signaled potential economic strength, influencing market sentiment.

            ECB's Cautious Stance and Optimism Impacting EUR/USD Dynamics

            Moreover, on Thursday, the Vice President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Luis de Guindos, expressed that it's too early to consider easing monetary policy. He assured that the ECB doesn't foresee a technical recession in the Eurozone. De Guindos also mentioned that a fiscal reform deal within the EU would be welcomed as it could reduce market uncertainty.

            Meanwhile, ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks, on Wednesday, suggested that maintaining current interest rates is necessary for some time. However, he hinted that the first rate cut might happen later than what investors are currently expecting, possibly around mid-2024.

            Therefore, the ECB's cautious stance and optimism about avoiding a recession in the Eurozone may strengthen the Euro.

            EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
            EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

            EUR/USD - Technical Analysis 

            As Christmas day unfolds, the EUR/USD pair is showing a modest uptick, currently trading at 1.10146, marking a slight increase of 0.02%. This movement comes amidst a complex backdrop of economic uncertainties and shifting market sentiments.

            The primary pivot point for the pair is established at $1.0882. Looking ahead, immediate resistance is observed at $1.1020. Should the Euro maintain its upward trajectory, further resistance could be encountered at $1.1143 and $1.1291. On the downside, immediate support lies at $1.0754, with additional safety nets at $1.0606 and $1.0482.

            The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64, indicating a bullish sentiment that is not yet in the overbought territory. This suggests there could be room for further upward movement, although caution is always advised in such volatile markets.

            The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of 0.00020 with a signal line at 0.00247. This alignment hints at potential bullish momentum in the near term, suggesting the Euro might continue its upward trend against the Dollar.

            Furthermore, an ascending triangle breakout at 1.09901 indicates a buying trend for the EUR/USD pair. This pattern, often associated with bullish momentum, suggests a continuation of the upward trend, provided the pair maintains its stance above this breakout point.

            In conclusion, the overall trend for the EUR/USD pair appears to be bullish, especially if it remains above the 1.09901 threshold. In the short term, the pair is likely to test the immediate resistance levels, with a potential to push towards higher resistances depending on the prevailing market conditions and economic data releases.

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              EUR/USD

              Daily Trade Ideas

              EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

              By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
              Dec 25, 2023
              Eurusd

              Daily Price Outlook

              - Bullish Sentiment: The RSI at 64 and the MACD values suggest a bullish outlook for EUR/USD.

              - Resistance Levels: Key resistances at $1.1020 and $1.1143 could be tested if the upward trend persists.

              - Chart Patterns: The ascending triangle breakout at 1.09901 reinforces the bullish trend, indicating potential for further gains.

              As Christmas day unfolds, the EUR/USD pair is showing a modest uptick, currently trading at 1.10146, marking a slight increase of 0.02%. This movement comes amidst a complex backdrop of economic uncertainties and shifting market sentiments.

              The primary pivot point for the pair is established at $1.0882. Looking ahead, immediate resistance is observed at $1.1020. Should the Euro maintain its upward trajectory, further resistance could be encountered at $1.1143 and $1.1291. On the downside, immediate support lies at $1.0754, with additional safety nets at $1.0606 and $1.0482.

              The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64, indicating a bullish sentiment that is not yet in the overbought territory. This suggests there could be room for further upward movement, although caution is always advised in such volatile markets.

              The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of 0.00020 with a signal line at 0.00247. This alignment hints at potential bullish momentum in the near term, suggesting the Euro might continue its upward trend against the Dollar.

              Furthermore, an ascending triangle breakout at 1.09901 indicates a buying trend for the EUR/USD pair. This pattern, often associated with bullish momentum, suggests a continuation of the upward trend, provided the pair maintains its stance above this breakout point.

              In conclusion, the overall trend for the EUR/USD pair appears to be bullish, especially if it remains above the 1.09901 threshold. In the short term, the pair is likely to test the immediate resistance levels, with a potential to push towards higher resistances depending on the prevailing market conditions and economic data releases.

              EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
              EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

              EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

              Entry Price – Buy Limit 1.09901

              Take Profit – 1.10542

              Stop Loss – 1.09446

              Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

              Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$641/ -$455

              Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$64/ -$45

              EUR/USD

              Daily Trade Ideas

              EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

              By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
              Dec 22, 2023
              Eurusd

              Daily Price Outlook

              - EUR/USD trading slightly down at 1.1002, facing immediate resistance at $1.0885 and $1.1025.

              - RSI at 64 suggests bullish sentiment, but MACD indicates limited upward potential.

              - Triple top pattern critical; bullish breakout possible above $1.1008, with a cautious short-term outlook.

              On December 22, the EUR/USD pair presents a nuanced technical landscape as it trades slightly down by 0.09% at 1.1002. This subtle decline comes amid a complex interplay of economic factors and market sentiments. The pair is currently navigating a crucial juncture, with a pivot point set at $1.0765. On the upside, it encounters immediate resistance at $1.0885, with further barriers at $1.1025 and $1.1151. Conversely, the currency pair finds support at $1.0619, followed by lower levels at $1.0493 and $1.0366, which will be vital in cushioning any downward movement.

              The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for EUR/USD stands at 64, suggesting a predominantly bullish market sentiment but still shy of overbought territory. This implies there might be some room left for upward momentum before any potential pullback. In contrast, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at a modest 0.00017, just above its signal line at 0.00223, indicating that while there is potential for upward momentum, it might be limited.

              A key observation in the chart patterns is the presence of a triple top pattern with resistance extending at $1.1006. This pattern usually signifies a critical resistance level, and its breach could pave the way for a bullish breakout. Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading just above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.0984, reinforcing a short-term bullish bias. However, the triple top pattern's resistance level is crucial and needs to be closely monitored.

              Given these technical indicators, the immediate outlook for EUR/USD is cautiously bullish, especially if it manages to break out above the $1.1008 mark. Such a breakout could lead the pair to test higher resistance levels in the short term. Conversely, failure to breach this critical resistance might see the pair retreating towards its support levels.

              EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
              EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

              EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

              Entry Price – Buy Stop 1.10200

              Take Profit – 1.10765

              Stop Loss – 1.09738

              Risk to Reward – 1: 1.22

              Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$565/ -$462

              Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$56/ -$46

              EUR/USD