Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 8, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Pivot point at $2330 critical for direction; watch for breaks below for selling opportunities.

- Resistance levels set at $2349, $2370, and $2393 could limit upward movements.

- Support levels at $2296, $2277, and $2260 offer buying opportunities on dips.

In today's trading session, Gold (XAU/USD) posted a slight increase, nudging up by 0.04% to $2317.31, signaling a stabilization within a tight trading range. The technical structure suggests that the pivot point at $2330 remains a crucial juncture for determining Gold’s short-term trajectory.

Resistance levels have been clearly delineated at $2349, $2370, and $2393. These thresholds represent potential selling pressure points that could cap upward movements should gold attempt to extend gains.

Conversely, the support structure begins notably lower at $2296, followed by $2277 and $2260. These levels could act as cushions if the price retreats, offering potential buying opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on dips.

Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52, hint at a neutral market sentiment, neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting potential for both upward and downward movements.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2315 provides near support, reinforcing the $2330 pivot level as a critical threshold. If prices sustain below this pivot, it could trigger a bearish trend towards the lower support levels.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2330

Take Profit – 2295

Stop Loss – 2350

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3500/ -$2000

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$350/ -$200

GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 7, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold's immediate resistance levels are set at $2349, $2370, and $2393.

- Support levels to watch are $2296, $2277, and $2260, crucial for near-term direction.

- RSI at 51 and 50-Day EMA at $2317 highlight a neutral but pivotal market stance.

Today's technical analysis of gold reveals a minor retreat in its price to $2316.40, reflecting a 0.24% decrease. Currently positioned below the crucial pivot point of $2330, gold's price trajectory hints at potential further declines unless it manages to climb above this key level soon.

The immediate resistance facing gold is at $2349, with subsequent levels at $2370 and $2393, which will test the resilience of any bullish momentum.

On the support side, the first significant level is at $2296. If this threshold fails to hold, further supports at $2277 and $2260 will come into play. These levels are critical for traders to watch, as they could provide a floor, stabilizing prices or potentially triggering a rebound if approached.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, indicating a neutral market sentiment that does not lean heavily towards overbought or oversold conditions. This suggests that gold's price could sway in either direction, heavily influenced by external market drivers or changes in investor sentiment.

Similarly, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2317 supports the pivot point's significance, indicating that gold's current trading range is at a critical juncture.

Given these observations, traders might consider a cautious approach. The proximity of the current price to the pivot point and EMA suggests that gold is in a delicate balance, and any significant market news could tip this balance, leading to notable price movements.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2330

Take Profit – 2295

Stop Loss – 2350

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3500/ -$2000

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$350/ -$200

GOLD

Technical Analysis

Gold Price Analysis – May 07, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 7, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold (XAU/USD) continued its downward trend and remained weak around the $1,314 level, reaching an intraday low of $1,311.85. This decline can be attributed to the strengthening of the US dollar, which gained momentum despite disappointing US jobs data and rising speculation about potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.

However, ongoing political tensions in the Middle East could boost safe-haven demand and potentially limit further losses in the gold price.

US Dollar Strength and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Weigh on Gold Prices

On the US front, the rising demand for the US dollar is contributing to the downward trend in gold prices. However, the latest US Nonfarm Payrolls report has increased expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates later this year.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin mentioned that the current interest rate level could be enough to cool the economy, while New York Fed President John Williams confirmed that rate cuts are likely at some point.

Markets are anticipating rate cuts of about 46 basis points by the end of 2024, with the first cut possibly happening in September or November. The US jobs data showed that job growth slowed more than expected in April, with annual wage growth dipping below 4.0% for the first time in nearly three years.

Therefore, the combination of a stronger US Dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year is putting downward pressure on gold prices, despite weaker job growth and falling wage increases.

Middle East Tensions May Boost Gold's Safe-Haven Demand

On the geopolitical front, ongoing tensions in the Middle East could drive safe-haven demand, benefiting gold prices. Although Hamas has accepted an Egyptian-Qatari ceasefire plan, Israel rejected the deal because it did not meet its core demands.

As a result, Israel continued its military operations in southern Gaza, specifically in Rafah. However, Israel has indicated that it is open to further negotiations. The uncertainty surrounding these developments may increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold, which could limit further price declines.

Hence, the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, with Israel's rejection of a ceasefire deal and continued military operations, may elevate safe-haven demand for gold, offsetting further price declines.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

Today's technical analysis of gold reveals a minor retreat in its price to $2316.40, reflecting a 0.24% decrease. Currently positioned below the crucial pivot point of $2330, gold's price trajectory hints at potential further declines unless it manages to climb above this key level soon.

The immediate resistance facing gold is at $2349, with subsequent levels at $2370 and $2393, which will test the resilience of any bullish momentum.

On the support side, the first significant level is at $2296. If this threshold fails to hold, further supports at $2277 and $2260 will come into play. These levels are critical for traders to watch, as they could provide a floor, stabilizing prices or potentially triggering a rebound if approached.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, indicating a neutral market sentiment that does not lean heavily towards overbought or oversold conditions.

This suggests that gold's price could sway in either direction, heavily influenced by external market drivers or changes in investor sentiment. Similarly, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2317 supports the pivot point's significance, indicating that gold's current trading range is at a critical juncture.

Given these observations, traders might consider a cautious approach. The proximity of the current price to the pivot point and EMA suggests that gold is in a delicate balance, and any significant market news could tip this balance, leading to notable price movements.

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GOLD

Technical Analysis

Gold Price Analysis – May 06, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 6, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the upbeat market sentiment, the safe-haven gold price (XAU/USD) started this news week on a bullish track and still flashing green around the 2,320.97 level, hitting the intraday high of 2,324.11 level. However, the reason for its downward movement could be linked to weaker-than-expected U.S. employment figures.

These disappointing reports have increased the chances that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates in September, which has led to a drop in the U.S. dollar. The weaker dollar has been identified as one of the major factors influencing the recent dip in gold prices.

On the other hand, reduced concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially around the Iran-Israel situation, along with a more positive market outlook, could curb additional gains for safe-haven gold. Meanwhile, the escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas, with increased violence and humanitarian concerns, could boost demand for safe-haven assets like gold, leading to a potential rise in gold prices.

US Economic Data Sparks Rate Cut Speculation, Bolstering Gold Prices

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar unable to reverse its downward trend and continued to weaken, due to disappointing US economic data and the Federal Reserve's dovish stance. On the data front, US Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 175,000 in April, missing the expected 243,000 and reflecting a slowdown compared to March's revised 315,000.

The Unemployment Rate also inched up to 3.9% from the previous 3.8%, while Average Hourly Earnings decreased to 4.0% year-over-year in April from 4.3% in March.

Meanwhile, the US ISM Services PMI fell into contraction, dropping to 49.4 in April from 51.2 in March, missing the expected 52.0. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman expressed concern about persistent inflation and signaled a willingness to increase interest rates if inflation does not subside.

Although the latest jobs report did not meet expectations, a major economist from the Chicago Federal Reserve sees it as still fairly positive. This perspective suggests that the Federal Reserve's approach of keeping interest rates high to manage inflation might be effective.

However, many investors started to believe there was a greater chance that the Federal Reserve would reduce interest rates in September. This shift in expectations is reflected in the CME FedWatch tool, a tool that shows the market's forecast for Fed interest rate changes. The tool indicated that the probability of a rate cut in September rose to nearly 90%, a increase from 55% before the report was released.

Therefore, the bearish US dollar, mixed economic data and growing expectations for a Fed rate cut in September have supported gold prices, as lower interest rates typically increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Geopolitical Tensions in Gaza Likely to Boost Gold Prices Due to Safe-Haven Demand

On the geopolitical front, the escalation in tension between Israel and Hamas in Gaza could further drive up the price of gold. The Israeli military's order for Palestinians to evacuate eastern Rafah, coupled with the warning of "extreme force," suggests an imminent and potentially large-scale military operation in southern Gaza.

The recent intense Israeli bombardment, resulting in civilian casualties, including children, further exacerbates the tension and raises concerns about the humanitarian impact of the conflict.

Therefore, the escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas, with increased violence and humanitarian concerns, could boost demand for safe-haven assets like gold, leading to a potential rise in gold prices.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

As we analyze the technical landscape for gold on May 6, we observe that the precious metal is trading at $2309.37, showing a modest uptick of 0.33%. The day's trading pivot is set at $2318, indicating a slight undercurrent of bullish sentiment as gold sits below this level.

The immediate resistance level for gold lies at $2349, suggesting a potential target for investors should the current positive momentum persist. Further resistances are observed at $2370 and $2393, offering clear waypoints for traders utilizing breakout strategies.

Conversely, support levels are well defined at $2283, $2265, and $2248, marking crucial junctures where selling pressures may alleviate and buying could re-emerge.

From a technical indicator standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 50 depicts a neutral market scenario, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This equilibrium signals caution among traders, indicating potential for either direction depending on broader market stimuli.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently at $2317 slightly trails the day's pivot, supporting the inference of possible bullish undertones if sustained buying pressure pushes the price above this average.

Considering the proximity of the gold price to its pivot and the 50 EMA, a cautious approach would recommend setting a Buy Stop at $2322. This entry point is strategically placed just above current levels, targeting a rise toward the first resistance at $2350, while a Stop Loss at $2305 minimizes potential downside risk.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 6, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Price and Positioning: Trading at $2309.37, gold hovers near the pivotal $2318, hinting at underlying bullish cues.

- Key Levels to Watch: Resistance points at $2349, $2370, and $2393 delineate potential upward paths, while supports at $2283 and $2265 provide fallbacks.

- Market Sentiment and Indicators: With an RSI of 50 and the 50-day EMA close by, gold's technical stance is balanced with a tilt towards potential gains.

As we analyze the technical landscape for gold on May 6, we observe that the precious metal is trading at $2309.37, showing a modest uptick of 0.33%. The day's trading pivot is set at $2318, indicating a slight undercurrent of bullish sentiment as gold sits below this level.

The immediate resistance level for gold lies at $2349, suggesting a potential target for investors should the current positive momentum persist.

Further resistances are observed at $2370 and $2393, offering clear waypoints for traders utilizing breakout strategies. Conversely, support levels are well defined at $2283, $2265, and $2248, marking crucial junctures where selling pressures may alleviate and buying could re-emerge.

From a technical indicator standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 50 depicts a neutral market scenario, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This equilibrium signals caution among traders, indicating a potential for either direction depending on broader market stimuli.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently at $2317 slightly trails the day's pivot, supporting the inference of possible bullish undertones if sustained buying pressure pushes the price above this average.

Considering the proximity of the gold price to its pivot and the 50 EMA, a cautious approach would recommend setting a Buy Stop at $2322. This entry point is strategically placed just above current levels, targeting a rise toward the first resistance at $2350, while a Stop Loss at $2305 minimizes potential downside risk.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Stop 2322

Take Profit – 2350

Stop Loss – 2305

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2800/ -$1700

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$280/ -$170

GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 3, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Sell below the pivot of $2317 with a target of $2287 and a stop loss at $2338.

- Watch the $2319 level closely, as movement above this could alter the bearish outlook.

- Maintain vigilance around key support levels, as breaking below could enhance bearish momentum.

In today's financial markets, gold prices edged higher, trading at $2305.84, which marks a 0.16% increase. The precious metal is currently trading just below its pivot point at $2318, indicating a potential zone of indecision among traders.

With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 46, the market sentiment appears neutral, reflecting a balance between buying and selling pressures. Moreover, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2319, closely aligned with the pivot point, suggesting that any significant move above this level could signal a shift toward a bullish market stance.

Looking at the resistance and support levels, gold faces immediate resistance at $2349, with further barriers at $2370 and $2393.

Should momentum increase and these levels be breached, it could pave the way for more substantial gains. On the downside, support is found at $2283, with additional safeguards at $2265 and $2248. If prices slip below these points, it could trigger a sell-off.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2317

Take Profit – 2287

Stop Loss – 2338

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3000/ -$2100

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$300/ -$210

GOLD

Technical Analysis

Gold Price Analysis – May 03, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 3, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold price (XAU/USD) failed to halt its downward rally and remained well offered around the $2,300 level, hitting the intraday low of $2,297.86. However, the reason for this downward rally could be associated with the risk-on market sentiment, which undermined the safe-haven demand for the precious metal.

Furthermore, the Fed's less hawkish stance and a bearish US dollar were seen as key factors that helped limit gold price's deeper losses due to their inverse relationship.

Looking forward, investors will keep their eyes on the closely watched US monthly jobs data, known as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. They're waiting for cues about the Federal Reserve's rate-cut path before making fresh directional bets.

Impact of US Economic Data and Federal Reserve's Comments on Gold Price

On the US front, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell made cautious comments after the decision to keep interest rates steady at 5.25%-5.50%. He signaled no plans for further rate hikes, which has led to the weakening of the US Dollar (USD).

This "dovish" stance suggests the Fed is prioritizing economic growth over controlling inflation. This news, coupled with positive market sentiment, reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

On the data front, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 26 remained steady at 208K, the lowest level in two months and below the expected 212K, which could give the Federal Reserve room to delay interest rate cuts.

Meanwhile, US Nonfarm Productivity in the first quarter increased by 0.3%, lower than the anticipated 0.8% and the previous quarter's 3.5% rise. This marks the slowest productivity growth since the January-March quarter in 2023. These figures suggest a stable job market but weaker productivity, which could impact the Fed's decision-making regarding monetary policy.

Therefore, the dovish stance from Fed Chair Powell, signaling no further rate hikes, coupled with positive market sentiment and stable job market data, reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold, causing its price to decrease.

Impact of Federal Reserve's Comments on Market and Gold Price

The global market was positive on Friday, with the S&P 500 Index gaining for the second consecutive session, following Wall Street's positive movements. This was driven by the US Federal Reserve's reassurances, dismissing concerns about another interest rate hike.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks raised hopes for interest rate cuts, increasing the chances of a cut by September to 61.3%. This, along with investor optimism, is supporting the S&P 500.

Therefore, the positive market sentiment, driven by the Federal Reserve's reassurances and hopes for interest rate cuts, reduced the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, causing its price to decrease.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

In today's financial markets, gold prices edged higher, trading at $2305.84, which marks a 0.16% increase. The precious metal is currently trading just below its pivot point at $2318, indicating a potential zone of indecision among traders.

With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 46, the market sentiment appears neutral, reflecting a balance between buying and selling pressures. Moreover, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2319, closely aligned with the pivot point, suggesting that any significant move above this level could signal a shift toward a bullish market stance.

Looking at the resistance and support levels, gold faces immediate resistance at $2349, with further barriers at $2370 and $2393.

Should momentum increase and these levels be breached, it could pave the way for more substantial gains. On the downside, support is found at $2283, with additional safeguards at $2265 and $2248. If prices slip below these points, it could trigger a sell-off.

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GOLD

Technical Analysis

Gold Price Analysis – May 02, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 2, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Despite reports of Israel impeding aid missions to Gaza, the safe-haven Gold price (XAU/USD) was unable to halt its previous day's downward trend, remaining bearish around the $2,299.18 level and hitting an intraday low of $2,295.31.

However, this decline was influenced by various factors, including a bullish US dollar and the growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period, which were seen as key factors contributing to the downward pressure on gold prices.

Impact of Federal Reserve's Stance and Economic Data Releases on US Dollar and Gold Prices

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar continued to strengthen amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will uphold higher interest rates in response to persistent inflation. The Fed signaled a cautious stance toward reducing interest rates until they are confident about a sustained decline in inflation. This position bolstered US Treasury bond yields and the US dollar.

Despite ongoing inflation, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that there wouldn't be further rate hikes, foreseeing that rates would stay elevated due to a slower disinflation process. This announcement negatively affected gold prices.

Investors will also be closely monitoring the release of the highly anticipated US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. However, the economic calendar includes critical data such as Challenger Job Cuts, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Trade Balance figures, all of which could have a significant impact on market sentiment.

Impact of Easing Geopolitical Tensions and Peace Talks Optimism on Gold Prices

On the geopolitical front, the easing tensions between Iran and Israel are shifting investor focus away from safe-haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, the optimism surrounding peace talks between Israel and Hamas is boosting global risk sentiment. Nevertheless, Israel's restriction of aid missions to Gaza raises humanitarian concerns despite the geopolitical shifts.

Therefore, the easing tensions and optimism around peace talks may lead to a decrease in demand for safe-haven assets like gold, lowering gold prices despite ongoing humanitarian concerns in Gaza.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

Today, gold is trading at $2,310.99, marking a decrease of 0.38%. The precious metal's price movement appears relatively subdued as it navigates through a phase of consolidation. Given the current market conditions, several key levels and technical indicators provide insights into potential future movements.

The pivot point for today is established at $2,325, indicating a neutral point between buyers and sellers. As for resistance, gold faces its first major barrier at $2,349. If prices push beyond this, we could see further resistance at $2,370 and $2,393, challenging bulls to sustain a breakout.

Conversely, support levels are firm at $2,283, followed by additional floors at $2,265 and $2,248, which may provide a cushion if downward pressure resumes.

In terms of technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47, suggesting a balanced market without clear signs of overextension in either direction. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), situated at $2,323, hovers just above the current price, hinting at possible resistance on attempts to ascend.

In conclusion, while the market's direction today seems tentative, traders should consider a cautious approach. Key levels to watch include:

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 2, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Current Price Analysis: Gold is currently trading at $2,310.99, reflecting a decrease of 0.38% from the previous close.

- Key Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance levels are set at $2,349, $2,370, and $2,393, with support firmly established at $2,283, $2,265, and $2,248.

- Technical Indicator Overview: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 47, indicating a balanced market, while the 50-day EMA at $2,323 suggests potential overhead resistance.

Today, gold is trading at $2,310.99, marking a decrease of 0.38%. The precious metal's price movement appears relatively subdued as it navigates through a phase of consolidation. Given the current market conditions, several key levels and technical indicators provide insights into potential future movements.

The pivot point for today is established at $2,325, indicating a neutral point between buyers and sellers. As for resistance, gold faces its first major barrier at $2,349.

If prices push beyond this, we could see further resistance at $2,370 and $2,393, challenging bulls to sustain a breakout. Conversely, support levels are firm at $2,283, followed by additional floors at $2,265 and $2,248, which may provide a cushion if downward pressure resumes.

In terms of technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47, suggesting a balanced market without clear signs of overextension in either direction. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), situated at $2,323, hovers just above the current price, hinting at possible resistance on attempts to ascend.

In conclusion, while the market's direction today seems tentative, traders should consider a cautious approach. Key levels to watch include:

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2318

Take Profit – 2295

Stop Loss – 2338

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.5

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2300/ -$2000

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$230/ -$200

GOLD

Technical Analysis

Gold Price Analysis – May 01, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
May 1, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the renewed strength of US dollar. the price of Gold (XAU/USD) gained positive traction and edged higher around the $2,288.39 level, hitting an intraday high of $2,293.24. The upward rally can be linked to multiple factors, including increasing geopolitical tensions, which tend to underpin the safe-haven gold price.

Furthermore, the upticks in the gold price were bolstered by continued gold buying by China. China, the biggest gold buyer, has been steadily purchasing gold since October 2022, marking the longest streak since 2000. This has contributed to upward pressure on gold prices globally.

In contrast, the hawkish Fed stance and bullish US dollar were key factors limiting additional gains in gold prices. Investors are feeling uncertain or hesitant due to upcoming decisions by the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy.

They are closely watching upcoming economic indicators such as the US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) and ADP Employment Change to gauge the health of the economy.

US Dollar Strength and Potential Impact on Gold Prices

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar prolonged its bullish rally and continues to show strength ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting. This rally was fueled by US bond yields surging after higher-than-expected Employment Cost Index data.

Furthermore, hawkish remarks from Fed officials, indicating no immediate need for rate cuts, supported the US dollar and could limit gains in the gold price.

Investors will closely watch the press conference following the Fed meeting for guidance. Therefore, a hawkish tone from the Fed could strengthen the US dollar and limit additional gains in precious metals.

China's Gold Purchases and Impact on Gold Prices

On the China front, the world's leading gold consumer has been steadily buying gold since October 2022, marking its longest accumulation of the precious metal since at least 2000. This consistent buying trend is likely to support further increases in the price of gold.

China's actions indicate a strategic move to increase its gold reserves, which could be driven by various factors, including economic stability and long-term investment strategies. Therefore, this continuous gold purchases by China are closely watched by market participants and are expected to have a positive impact on the overall demand and price of gold.

Geopolitical Tensions in Gaza and Impact on Precious Metal Prices

On the geopolitical front, the tensions in the middle east did not show any sign of slowing down and escalated further as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announces plans for Israeli forces to enter Gaza's southern city of Rafah, despite a ceasefire deal with Hamas.

Meanwhile, UN chief Guterres expresses dissatisfaction with the slow progress on Gaza aid, urging Israel to prioritize the safety of humanitarian workers and facilitate urgent aid delivery to the enclave.

As per the latest figures, the death toll from Israeli attacks on Gaza since October 7 has surpassed 34,000 Palestinians killed and nearly 78,000 wounded.

Therefore, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in Gaza, boosted the gold price as investors tend to turn to safe-haven assets such as precious metals during times of uncertainty, driving up demand and causing gold prices to rise.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

As of today, the price of gold stands at $2286.275, showing no change from the previous session. The precious metal is trading just below a pivotal mark at $2293, suggesting a tentative stance among investors as they navigate through various economic indicators and geopolitical tensions.

The immediate resistance for gold is observed at $2313, with further resistance levels marked at $2330 and $2353. These thresholds are critical if gold is to regain its upward momentum. Conversely, support levels are established at $2277, followed by $2257 and $2233. These points could provide a cushion should gold face downward pressure.

Technical indicators lend a nuanced view of the current market conditions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 30, indicating that gold might be in oversold territory, which typically precedes a potential reversal or at least some corrective upward movement. Meanwhile, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2332, which gold has been unable to reclaim, reinforcing the significance of these resistance levels.

Given the strategic setup, a cautious approach might be advisable. Investors should consider a sell limit order at $2300, targeting a take profit at $2278, with a stop loss set at $2315.

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GOLD