Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – April 17, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 17, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold price (XAU/USD) has maintained its upward trend and hit all-time highs around the $2,392 level as investors turned to safe-haven assets like gold amidst economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, coupled with mixed economic data and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, have contributed to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold. Investors traditionally turn to gold during times of uncertainty and market volatility. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions and concerns about inflation have fueled demand for the precious metal, pushing prices upwards.

Fed Chair Powell's Hawkish Stance and Mixed US Data: Impact on Gold

On the US front, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments on maintaining higher interest rates until inflation eases to 2% have bolstered the US dollar and bond yields. However, this hawkish stance, combined with strong labor demand and mixed economic data, has created a more bullish environment for the US dollar. Therefore, the stronger US dollar typically exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as it becomes more expensive for investors holding other currencies to purchase gold.

Powell's comments and mixed US data have caused gold to struggle in maintaining its new all-time highs. Although geopolitical tensions offer some support, overall sentiment is cautious due to the Fed's restrictive policy framework.

Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold's Safe-Haven Appeal

On the geopolitical front, the escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, have added to the safe-haven appeal of gold. However, the recent attack by Iran on Israel and the threat of retaliatory measures have heightened geopolitical risks, prompting investors to seek refuge in assets perceived as safe, such as gold.

According to recent reports, an Israeli air attack in Gaza destroyed a mosque and nearby homes, causing injuries to many, including children and women. Iran warned Israel of a strong response to any action against its missile attacks. Israel is urging 32 countries to impose sanctions on Iran's military and missile program.

Israeli settlers are causing violence in the West Bank, and more troops are deployed. Over 33,843 Palestinians have died, and 76,575 are wounded in Gaza from Israeli attacks since October 7.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

On April 17, gold prices observed a slight decline, settling at $2,377.20, down 0.31% from the previous trading session. The precious metal is currently trading below its pivot point of $2,389, signaling a cautious sentiment among investors. Technical resistance levels are set at $2,410, $2,432, and $2,454, which gold would need to surpass to regain a bullish stance. However, immediate support levels loom at $2,334, followed by $2,305 and $2,277, which could come into play if downward pressure continues.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 54, indicating a neutral market momentum, neither overbought nor oversold at this juncture. Meanwhile, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,352 supports the notion of a medium-term upward trend in gold prices. This is reinforced by the positioning of the 200 EMA, suggesting a sustained bullish sentiment over a longer period.

Given the current market setup, traders might consider a strategic approach: entering a sell position if gold prices fall below $2,390, aiming for a take profit at around $2,350, with a stop loss set at $2,410.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 16, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- GOLD price falls 0.58% to $2371.99, with pivot point at $2351.

- Immediate resistance at $2410; support at $2334.

- Technical indicators signal potential selling trend; consider entry below $2389, with $2410 stop loss.

In today's technical outlook for GOLD on April 16th, the precious metal experienced a decline, reaching $2371.99, marking a decrease of 0.58%. Analyzing the chart timeframe, the pivot point is established at $2351, indicating a pivotal level for potential price movements. Immediate resistance levels are observed at $2410, followed by $2432 and $2454. Conversely, immediate support lies at $2334, with subsequent levels at $2305 and $2277.

Technical indicators highlight the significance of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average, currently at $2341. Notably, a double top pattern is forming, exerting resistance around $2389. This pattern, coupled with the presence of a doji candle below this level, suggests a potential shift towards a selling trend.

In conclusion, traders may consider a sell strategy below $2389, with a take-profit target at $2350 and a stop-loss set at $2410. These key price levels and technical insights provide valuable guidance for navigating gold's current market dynamics.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2 389

Take Profit – 2 350

Stop Loss – 2 410

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.8

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$386/ -$213

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$38/ -$21

GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – April 16, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 16, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintained their upward trend and remained well-bid around the $2,390 level. This upward trend can be attributed to the worsening Middle East crisis, which weighs on investors’ sentiment and benefits the metal. On the other hand, the reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut boosted the US dollar to its highest level so far this year, which limited the gains for the gold price. The broad-based US dollar hit to its highest level since early November due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay cutting interest rates amid sticky inflation. This was seen as one of the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the gold price.

Moving ahead, traders are keeping their eyes on US economic docket, which features the release of housing market data and Industrial Production figures. These, along with Fed's statements, will also be in spotlight.

Impact of Strong US Dollar and Retail Sales Data on Gold Prices

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar has been strengthening, reaching over a five-month peak due to ongoing concerns about the Middle East crisis and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for a longer period. This has acted as a negative factor for the price of gold. Investors are delaying their predictions for the first Fed interest rate cut, now expecting it in September instead of June, due to worries about persistent inflation and a robust US economy.

On the data front, the release of upbeat US Retail Sales data for March has also impacted the gold price. On the data front, the US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales increased by 0.7% month-on-month (MoM) in March. This surpassed expectations, which predicted a 0.3% rise, and also exceeded the previous month's growth of 0.9%, which was revised upward. The data, indicating a stronger-than-expected increase in retail sales, showed robust consumer spending and suggests support for inflation in the coming months.

Therefore, the robust US dollar is exerting downward pressure on gold prices, driven by concerns such as the Middle East crisis and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve.

Impact of Middle East Geopolitical Tensions on Gold Prices

On the geopolitical front, Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend heightened tensions in the Middle East, increasing the risk of further conflicts. This situation benefited safe-haven assets like Gold, which saw a positive boost at the start of the new week. Israeli officials are considering retaliation, but the US made it clear that it won't join any offensive actions against Iran. As per the latest report, Iran fired over 300 projectiles at Israel in retaliation for an earlier strike. Israel hasn't responded yet, but tensions are high as both sides warn of stronger actions.

Therefore, the heightened tensions in the Middle East following Iran's attack on Israel led to a positive boost in the Gold price as investors sought safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainty.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

In today's technical outlook for GOLD on April 16th, the precious metal experienced a decline, reaching $2371.99, marking a decrease of 0.58%. Analyzing the chart timeframe, the pivot point is established at $2351, indicating a pivotal level for potential price movements. Immediate resistance levels are observed at $2410, followed by $2432 and $2454. Conversely, immediate support lies at $2334, with subsequent levels at $2305 and $2277.

Technical indicators highlight the significance of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average, currently at $2341. Notably, a double top pattern is forming, exerting resistance around $2389. This pattern, coupled with the presence of a doji candle below this level, suggests a potential shift towards a selling trend.

In conclusion, traders may consider a sell strategy below $2389, with a take-profit target at $2350 and a stop-loss set at $2410. These key price levels and technical insights provide valuable guidance for navigating gold's current market dynamics.

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GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – April 15, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 15, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintained their upward trend and regained positive traction, hitting an intraday high around the 2,372 level. The reason for this upward trend could be attributed to Iran’s attack on Israel over the weekend, which bolstered the safe-haven asset of gold prices. The attack increased tensions in the Middle East, making safe-haven precious metals more attractive. Additionally, the sluggish performance of the US dollar, backed by mixed factors, was seen as another key factor that kept gold prices higher. Moving ahead, traders are waiting for more clues from upcoming US data, specifically the Retail Sales and Empire State Manufacturing Index, to make informed decisions.

Geopolitical Tensions Drive Gold Price Boost

On the geopolitical front, Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend heightened tensions in the Middle East, increasing the risk of further conflicts. This situation benefited safe-haven assets like Gold, which saw a positive boost at the start of the new week. Israeli officials are considering retaliation, but the US made it clear that it won't join any offensive actions against Iran. As per the latest report, Iran fired over 300 projectiles at Israel in retaliation for an earlier strike. Israel hasn't responded yet, but tensions are high as both sides warn of stronger actions.

Therefore, the heightened tensions in the Middle East following Iran's attack on Israel led to a positive boost in the Gold price as investors sought safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainty.

Challenges for Gold Amid Fed's Delayed Rate Hike and Strong Dollar

On the US front, investors are delaying their expectations for the first Federal Reserve rate hike to September due to persistent inflation concerns. They recently adjusted their predictions for the Federal Reserve's initial interest rate reduction, moving it from June to September. This change came after the release of US consumer inflation data, which exceeded expectations and hinted at stronger price pressures.

Consequently, investors now anticipate that the Fed may delay its intervention to address these inflationary trends until later in the year. This delay supports higher US Treasury bond yields, keeping the US Dollar strong and creating challenges for Gold.

Besides this, traders now expect fewer rate cuts in 2024 than the Fed's projections, further strengthening the US Dollar to its highest level in months. This hawkish stance from the Fed, coupled with a strong Dollar, could cap gains in Gold prices ahead of key US economic data releases. Therefore, the delay in the Federal Reserve rate hike, coupled with expectations of fewer rate cuts and a strong US Dollar, presents challenges for Gold as investors may hesitate to make aggressive trades.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

Gold's trading session on April 15 saw a modest uptick, with the price closing at $2,346.70, a 0.70% increase from the previous day. The precious metal is hovering near a pivotal juncture at $2,368, serving as the day’s technical fulcrum. Should gold surpass this pivot point, it could encounter resistance at $2,399, with further hurdles at $2,421 and $2,450 potentially capping upward movements.

Conversely, immediate support lies at $2,327, with additional safety nets at $2,303 and $2,268. A breach of these levels could precipitate a more pronounced decline, signaling a potential shift in investor sentiment towards gold. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48, indicating a neutral market that could swing in either direction based on external market stimuli.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,330 lends support slightly below the current price, suggesting a level of underlying market support. Notably, a breakout below the upward channel near $2,367 might trigger a selling trend, prompting a strategic sell below $2,362. Traders might consider taking profit at $2,310 and placing a stop loss at $2,397 to manage risk effectively.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 15, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold's resistance levels are set at $2,399, $2,421, and $2,450, with pivotal support at $2,368.

- Key technical indicators show a neutral RSI at 48 and support from a 50-day EMA of $2,330.

- Advised trading strategy involves selling below $2,362, with a take profit at $2,310 and a stop loss at $2,397.

Gold's trading session on April 15 saw a modest uptick, with the price closing at $2,346.70, a 0.70% increase from the previous day. The precious metal is hovering near a pivotal juncture at $2,368, serving as the day’s technical fulcrum. Should gold surpass this pivot point, it could encounter resistance at $2,399, with further hurdles at $2,421 and $2,450 potentially capping upward movements.

Conversely, immediate support lies at $2,327, with additional safety nets at $2,303 and $2,268. A breach of these levels could precipitate a more pronounced decline, signaling a potential shift in investor sentiment towards gold. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48, indicating a neutral market that could swing in either direction based on external market stimuli.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,330 lends support slightly below the current price, suggesting a level of underlying market support. Notably, a breakout below the upward channel near $2,367 might trigger a selling trend, prompting a strategic sell below $2,362. Traders might consider taking profit at $2,310 and placing a stop loss at $2,397 to manage risk effectively.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2362

Take Profit – 2310

Stop Loss – 2397

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$5200/ -$3500

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$520/ -$350

GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – April 12, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 12, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold price (XAU/USD) has maintained its previous long upward trend and hit the new record highs amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions. However, the metal's strong performance is driven by several key factors including heightened concerns about geopolitical conflicts, especially in the Middle East, which have boosted demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. It should be noted that the possibility of Iranian retaliation following suspected strikes has fueled uncertainty in the market. This has led investors to buy gold to stay safe from market ups and downs. In addition to this, anticipations of major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implementing interest rate cuts have also contributed to gold's bullish rally.

Despite a recent strength of the US Dollar, supported by reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, gold's upward trajectory remains largely unaffected and flashing green signals amid several key factors.

Heightened Middle East Tensions and Impact on Gold Price

On the geopolitical front, escalating tensions in the Middle East have propelled gold prices to fresh all-time highs. Investors' anxiety over geopolitical instability has led to increased demand for gold, reinforcing its status as a traditional safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty. The uncertainty surrounding geopolitical developments in the region continues to be a significant driver of gold's price movement, as investors closely monitor the situation for any potential escalations that could further bolster demand for the precious metal.

Impact of US Producer Price Index and Fed Rate Cut Expectations on Gold Price

On the other side, the release of the cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index has maintained hopes for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This development has provided an additional boost to gold prices, as lower interest rates typically diminish the appeal of holding onto fiat currencies, further enhancing gold's attractiveness as a store of value.

Investors are closely tracking Fed rate cut expectations, with the current outlook suggesting a greater chance that the Fed may delay rate cuts until the September policy meeting, and fewer rate cuts anticipated for the year. These expectations, coupled with economic data releases like the Producer Price Index, continue to influence gold's upward trajectory.

FedWatch Tool and US Dollar's Impact on Gold Price

On the other side, the hawkish outlook reflected in the FedWatch tool, indicating a potential delay in rate cuts and higher US Treasury bond yields, has allowed the US Dollar to maintain strength near year-to-date highs. While a strong dollar can typically weigh on gold prices, the metal's safe-haven appeal and ongoing geopolitical concerns have outweighed the impact of currency movements, sustaining its bullish momentum.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

In today's analysis, we focus on the gold market, where prices have increased by 0.53%, reaching $2384.36. The market's movement occurs against a backdrop of shifting economic and geopolitical dynamics, suggesting a cautious yet optimistic sentiment among investors. Examining the technical landscape, key price levels and pivotal resistances provide crucial guidance for market participants.

Key price levels serve as navigational markers in the gold market's trajectory. The pivot point at $2364 serves as a critical equilibrium, while immediate resistance levels stand at $2398, $2466, and $2533. On the downside, support levels are observed at $2295, $2262, and $2194, offering stability during potential downturns.

Technical indicators provide further insights into market sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 63, signaling potential overbought conditions with room for further upside. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rests at 2365, supporting the prevailing bullish trend.

In conclusion, a cautious yet optimistic outlook is warranted for gold investors. Entry considerations above $2383, coupled with a take-profit target at $2412, provide strategic guidelines. Mitigating downside risks involves implementing a stop-loss strategy at $2363, ensuring prudent risk management in a dynamic market environment.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 12, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold prices rose by 0.53% to $2384.36, reflecting cautious optimism amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

- Key price levels: Pivot at $2364, immediate resistance at $2398, $2466, and $2533, and support at $2295, $2262, and $2194.

- Technical indicators show RSI at 63, indicating potential overbought conditions, while the 50-Day EMA sits at 2365, supporting the bullish trend.

In today's analysis, we focus on the gold market, where prices have increased by 0.53%, reaching $2384.36. The market's movement occurs against a backdrop of shifting economic and geopolitical dynamics, suggesting a cautious yet optimistic sentiment among investors. Examining the technical landscape, key price levels and pivotal resistances provide crucial guidance for market participants.

Key price levels serve as navigational markers in the gold market's trajectory. The pivot point at $2364 serves as a critical equilibrium, while immediate resistance levels stand at $2398, $2466, and $2533. On the downside, support levels are observed at $2295, $2262, and $2194, offering stability during potential downturns.

Technical indicators provide further insights into market sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 63, signaling potential overbought conditions with room for further upside. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rests at 2365, supporting the prevailing bullish trend.

In conclusion, a cautious yet optimistic outlook is warranted for gold investors. Entry considerations above $2383, coupled with a take-profit target at $2412, provide strategic guidelines. Mitigating downside risks involves implementing a stop-loss strategy at $2363, ensuring prudent risk management in a dynamic market environment.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 2383

Take Profit – 2412

Stop Loss – 2363

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2900/ -$2000

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$290/ -$200

GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 11, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold's delicate balance: With the RSI indicating neutrality and prices teetering near the 50-day EMA, Gold’s market position is cautiously stable.

- Key levels to watch: Resistance and support structures, particularly at $2348 and $2305, respectively, will likely guide the next significant price movements.

- Strategic trading approach: Considering the current market dynamics, a sell strategy below $2322, targeting $2305 with a stop loss at $2335, could be prudent.

Gold (XAU/USD) is currently priced at $2335, hovering near the pivotal level of $2327. The market's attention is fixed on this pivot point, which acts as a fulcrum for potential price swings. Resistance levels are mapped at $2348, $2372, and $2390, delineating zones where selling pressure might intensify and halt upward price movements. Conversely, the support structure is established at $2305, with subsequent levels at $2286 and $2260, marking territories where buying interest could surge, providing a floor for price declines.

The technical landscape is further nuanced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), positioned at 47, indicating a market in equilibrium, devoid of clear overbought or oversold conditions. This neutrality suggests that traders are weighing their options, leading to a taut market environment. Additionally, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2337, almost mirroring the current price, signifying a market in balance, yet teetering on the brink of a directional shift.

Given these technical insights, the market's immediate future appears to be a tightrope walk between bullish and bearish forces. Resistance levels, especially at $2348, serve as immediate hurdles that could cap any nascent rallies. On the flip side, the support at $2305 represents a critical juncture where a confluence of buying interest could stabilize or even uplift the market.

In this context, a strategic trading stance would be to initiate a sell below the $2322 mark, aiming for a take profit target at $2305, while setting a stop loss at $2335 to mitigate potential losses. 

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2322

Take Profit – 2305

Stop Loss – 2335

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1700/ -$1300

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$170/ -$130

GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Apr 10, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

    Gold's price action on the four-hour chart presents a cautiously optimistic outlook, as it trades at $2,353.12 within an ascending channel. The metal's stance above the pivot point at $2,320 is indicative of its current strength. This pivotal level will play a decisive role in determining the continuation of the uptrend or a potential shift in momentum.

    Looking ahead, gold faces immediate resistance at $2,375. Should it breach this barrier, the path to $2,390.488 and possibly $2,408.061 may be cleared. Conversely, a retreat from current levels would see support at the $2,320 pivot point, with additional safety nets at $2,290.73 and $2,272.985 should downward pressure intensify.

    The Relative Strength Index, currently at 65.54, suggests buyers have been active, although nearing overbought territory could signal a forthcoming pause or pullback. Aligning with this bullish perspective, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,290.73 acts as a dynamic support level, reinforcing the uptrend. However, the appearance of Doji candles—a sign of indecision among traders—hints at a potential slow down in the current price ascent.

    Traders looking to capitalize on this setup might consider a strategic entry above the pivot of $2,320, with a profit-target near the immediate resistance at $2,375, to capture potential upward moves.

    GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
    GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

    GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

    Entry Price – Buy Above 2340

    Take Profit – 2375

    Stop Loss – 2320

    Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

    Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3500/ -$2000

    Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$350/ -$200

    GOLD

    Technical Analysis

    GOLD Price Analysis – April 09, 2024

    By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
    Apr 9, 2024
    Gold

    Daily Price Outlook

    Gold price (XAU/USD) has prolonged its bullish rally and hit an all-time high around the $2,348 level. However, this upward trend can be associated with multiple factors, including speculation surrounding US Federal Reserve policy, geopolitical tensions, and upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the FOMC meeting minutes. Although, the gains in the gold price could fade as the previously released upbeat US jobs report, along with the recent hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, suggested that the US central bank could delay cutting interest rates. This tends to underpin the US dollar and cap gains in the gold price.

    Impact of US Federal Reserve Speculation on Gold Prices

    On the US front, the ongoing discussion regarding a potential interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve tends to positively affect gold prices by weakening the US dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. Market experts anticipate a potential interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve during the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting from April 30th to May 1st, 2024.

    On the other side, the upbeat US jobs report released on Friday, along with the recent hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, suggested that the US central bank could delay cutting interest rates.

    Therefore, the speculation of a potential interest rate cut tends to lift gold prices by weakening the US dollar. However, upbeat US jobs data and hawkish Fed remarks could delay rate cuts, pressuring gold.

    Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East Drive Surge in Gold and Silver Prices

    On the geopolitical front, the tensions in the Middle East remains on the cards as the hope for peace between Israel and Hamas faded quickly because their discussions stalled. Furthermore, Iran threatened to use military force against Israel because of an alleged attack on its embassy in Syria. This raises the risk of more tension and conflict in the Middle East, which bolstered Gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets. This surge in demand has driven gold prices to reach new highs. According to the latest reports, at least 33,207 Palestinians have been killed and 75,933 wounded in Israeli attacks on Gaza since October 7.

    Meanwhile, the situation escalated further after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced a scheduled ground offensive in Gaza's Rafah, despite US opposition. This heightened geopolitical tensions, boosting gold prices as investors sought safe havens amid fears of escalating conflict and increased demand.

    Impact of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Data on Gold Prices

    Moving ahead, the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be crucial report for gold prices as stronger-than-expected CPI data could suggest higher inflationary pressures, prompting the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance on monetary policy. This could potentially weaken the US dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. Conversely, weaker CPI data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut, leading to further gains in gold prices.

    Apart from this, the upcoming release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes could significantly impact gold prices. Any indication of a potential interest rate cut could weaken the US dollar, boosting gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets. Conversely, a more hawkish tone indicating a reluctance to cut rates could strengthen the dollar, putting downward pressure on gold.

    GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
    GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

    GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis

    Gold's market stance on April 9 reveals a subtle uptick, with the price ascending to $2,345.54, marking a 0.26% increase. The pivot point at $2,328 suggests a bullish undertone, while immediate resistance is identified at $2,354. Further resistance levels are projected at $2,373 and $2,390. On the downside, support can be found at $2,302, followed by $2,273 and $2,248.

    The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68, nearing overbought territory, which could signal a forthcoming price correction if the index surpasses 70. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,271 indicates a solid upward trend over the medium term, reinforcing the gold market's bullish sentiment.

    Given these dynamics, the recommended trading strategy involves entering long positions above $2,338, targeting a take-profit level at $2,373, and setting a stop loss at $2,313 to manage risk.

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    GOLD