GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold Price Analysis: Rose slightly to $2324.955, currently testing above the pivot of $2317.10.
- Resistance and Support: Immediate resistance at $2346.21; supports at $2290.91 and $2268.20.
- Trading Strategy: Consider buying at $2317, with a profit target of $2346 and stop at $2296.
Today, gold prices have seen a modest uptick, rising 0.20% to a current level of $2324.955. This movement places the commodity slightly above its pivotal support at $2317.10, which has served as a baseline for today's trading activity.
The immediate resistance for gold stands at $2346.21, with subsequent barriers at $2359.26 and $2382.85. These levels must be breached to confirm a stronger bullish trend. On the downside, support is found at $2290.91, with further cushions at $2268.20 and $2244.57, which could offer buying opportunities if retested.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 40, indicating that gold is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting a potential for either movement without extreme pressure from buyers or sellers. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $2364.13, highlighting a recent downward trend but with potential for reversal as prices approach this average. Additionally, gold has just completed the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and is eyeing the 38.2% level at around $2333, suggesting a continuation of the upward momentum if it can sustain current levels.
With the current setup, a strategic approach would involve placing a buy limit order at the pivot point of $2317, targeting a take profit at the immediate resistance of $2346, and setting a stop loss at $2296 to protect against unexpected downturns.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Limit 2317
Take Profit – 2346
Stop Loss – 2296
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.38
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2900/ -$2100
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$290/ -$210
GOLD Price Analysis – April 23, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their downward rally from the previous day, staying well-offered around 2,307.55 and hitting an intraday low of 2,295.77. The reason for this downward trend can be attributed to the risk-on-market sentiment, which gained traction due to receding geopolitical tensions. It's worth noting that the easing tensions in the broader Middle East conflict have fostered a positive risk sentiment, reducing the demand for safe-haven assets like gold and contributing to its price decline.
Furthermore, better-than-anticipated US payrolls, increased consumer price inflation, and hawkish Federal Reserve statements led investors to reduce expectations for US rate cuts. This boosted the US dollar, pressuring gold prices downward due to a stronger dollar making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Traders are closely monitoring upcoming events such as global PMI data, the US Q1 GDP report, and the PCE Price Index for signals on economic health. Positive data may strengthen the US dollar, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold prices.
Escalating Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and Their Impact on Gold Prices
On the geopolitical front, easing worries about a broader conflict in the Middle East are boosting overall market confidence, leading to a positive risk sentiment. Iran's initial indication of no retaliation following Israel's limited missile strike further contributed to this trend, marking the second consecutive day of reduced demand for gold.
However, tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated once again, with Hezbollah launching rockets at an Israeli army base in northern Israel, citing Israeli actions in southern Lebanon as the reason. The rocket attack led to retaliatory strikes from Israel, with casualties reported on both sides. Iran issued a warning in response to these events, denouncing recent Israeli actions near Isfahan. Additionally, rockets from northern Iraq targeted a US-led coalition in Syria, resulting in defensive measures.
Therefore, the re-intensified tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel, Iran, and Hezbollah, can lead to increased market uncertainty and risk aversion, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold and helping limit the gold declines.
Impact of Economic Indicators and Fed Rate Expectations on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar gained momentum and remained well supported by better-than-expected job numbers, rising consumer prices, and hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve, which caused investors to rethink their projections about US interest rates.
However, reduced expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are supporting the US dollar and causing gold to drop to a more than two-week low. They now anticipate the Fed might start reducing rates in September, with expectations lowered to about 34 basis points, equivalent to less than two rate cuts for 2024. This contrasts with the Fed's forecast of three cuts.
Therefore, strengthening the US dollar due to better economic indicators and reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts pushed gold prices to a two-week low, with investors now expecting fewer rate cuts in 2024.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
On April 23, gold prices saw a downturn, closing at $2301.98, which is a decline of 1.08%. This downward movement pushes the price beneath crucial technical thresholds that could impact the short-term market outlook significantly.
At $2325, the pivot point marks a notable barrier that gold failed to breach, suggesting a potential resistance area for any bullish attempts. Additional resistance levels at $2361, $2402, and $2432 may serve as further challenges for upward price movements. On the flip side, support levels at $2291, followed by $2268 and $2245, are key zones where buyers might find value, potentially halting further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 27, indicating that gold is in the oversold territory. This could hint at a potential rebound or underscore the prevailing selling pressure. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) positioned at $2368, alongside a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, reaffirms the dominant downtrend in the market.
Given these conditions, traders might consider a sell strategy below the pivot point at $2315, targeting a take-profit point at $2280, with a stop-loss order set at $2340.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Price Point: Closed at $2301.98, down by 1.08%, signaling strong bearish sentiment.
- Technical Levels: Resistances at $2325, $2361; support begins at $2291.
- Market Strategy: Sell below $2315, aiming for $2280, with a stop loss at $2340.
On April 23, gold prices saw a downturn, closing at $2301.98, which is a decline of 1.08%. This downward movement pushes the price beneath crucial technical thresholds that could impact the short-term market outlook significantly.
At $2325, the pivot point marks a notable barrier that gold failed to breach, suggesting a potential resistance area for any bullish attempts. Additional resistance levels at $2361, $2402, and $2432 may serve as further challenges for upward price movements. On the flip side, support levels at $2291, followed by $2268 and $2245, are key zones where buyers might find value, potentially halting further declines.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 27, indicating that gold is in the oversold territory. This could hint at a potential rebound or underscore the prevailing selling pressure. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) positioned at $2368, alongside a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, reaffirms the dominant downtrend in the market.
Given these conditions, traders might consider a sell strategy below the pivot point at $2315, targeting a take-profit point at $2280, with a stop-loss order set at $2340.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2315
Take Profit – 2280
Stop Loss – 2340
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3500/ -$2500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$350/ -$250
GOLD Price Analysis – April 22, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold price (XAU/USD) was unable to extend its previous week's bullish rally and turned bearish at the start of this news week, hitting an intraday low of 2,351.64 level. However, the reason for its downward trend can be attributed to improved market sentiment regarding the Iran-Israel conflict, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, expectations of lower Fed rate cuts have strengthened the US dollar, further putting pressure on gold prices.
Looking forward, traders seem hesitant to make strong positions as they closely monitor upcoming events such as the release of flash global PMI prints, the Advance US Q1 GDP report, and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. .
Iran-Israel Tensions Easing and Impact on Gold Prices
On the geopolitical front, the tensions between Iran and Israel have eased slightly despite recent attacks and retaliations. The US approved $13 billion in military aid for Israel, which Israel welcomed but Palestinians criticized as escalating violence. Iran downplayed reported Israeli retaliation, calling it minor, while violence persisted in Iraq, Gaza, and the West Bank. Despite ongoing conflicts and regional tensions, both Iran and Israel seem cautious about escalating into a broader war.
Hence, Iran's decision not to retaliate against Israel's limited-scale missile strike on Friday has eased fears of escalating tensions in the Middle East. This positive development has boosted investor confidence and contributed to the losses in safe-haven gold.
US Dollar Strength and Hawkish Fed Impact on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar has been gaining momentum due to a hawkish Fed stance on rate cuts. This bullish US dollar is seen as another key factor keeping gold prices lower. People expect the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates due to ongoing inflation, which is causing gold prices to decrease. Investors anticipate the first interest rate cut might happen in September, with fewer cuts expected in 2024. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee prefers to wait and see how inflation develops before making policy changes.
On the flip side, concerns about the global economy slowing down have led people to believe that major central banks might lower interest rates together later this year. This could support gold prices by capping the gains in the US dollar.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
In today’s session, gold prices declined to $2,357.28, marking a decrease of 1.47%. The asset is currently trading below its daily pivot point of $2,378, which signals bearish momentum in the short term. This downturn reflects the trader’s response to the latest macroeconomic cues and market sentiment, with gold failing to maintain support levels indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,370.
Gold faces immediate resistance at $2,402, with further ceilings awaiting at $2,432 and $2,462. These levels represent potential reversal zones where bullish traders might regain control. Conversely, immediate support is positioned at $2,348. If this level fails to hold, subsequent floors at $2,327 and $2,304 could come into play, likely serving as areas where buying interest could reemerge.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 41, suggesting that gold is nearing oversold conditions but not there yet, which may limit immediate downward movements. The proximity of the current price to the 50 EMA also underscores a critical juncture; should prices sustain below $2,370, it could confirm a bearish outlook for the near term.
Given the bearish bias indicated by the break below the 50 EMA and pivotal support levels, traders might consider entering short positions below $2,370. The suggested take-profit level is set at $2,335 with a stop-loss at $2,393 to manage risk effectively.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold price has decreased to $2,357.28, falling below the key 50 EMA of $2,370, indicating a bearish trend.
- Key resistance set at $2,402, $2,432, and $2,462, with supports at $2,348, $2,327, and $2,304, critical for near-term price movements.
- Recommended trading strategy involves a short position below $2,370, with targets and stops carefully placed to capitalize on current market dynamics.
In today’s session, gold prices declined to $2,357.28, marking a decrease of 1.47%. The asset is currently trading below its daily pivot point of $2,378, which signals bearish momentum in the short term. This downturn reflects the trader’s response to the latest macroeconomic cues and market sentiment, with gold failing to maintain support levels indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,370.
Gold faces immediate resistance at $2,402, with further ceilings awaiting at $2,432 and $2,462. These levels represent potential reversal zones where bullish traders might regain control. Conversely, immediate support is positioned at $2,348. If this level fails to hold, subsequent floors at $2,327 and $2,304 could come into play, likely serving as areas where buying interest could reemerge.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 41, suggesting that gold is nearing oversold conditions but not there yet, which may limit immediate downward movements. The proximity of the current price to the 50 EMA also underscores a critical juncture; should prices sustain below $2,370, it could confirm a bearish outlook for the near term.
Given the bearish bias indicated by the break below the 50 EMA and pivotal support levels, traders might consider entering short positions below $2,370. The suggested take-profit level is set at $2,335 with a stop-loss at $2,393 to manage risk effectively.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2370
Take Profit – 2335
Stop Loss – 2393
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3700/ -$2300
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$350/ -$230
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold currently trades at $2389.17, marking a 0.42% increase.
- Support and resistance levels delineate potential zones for price stabilization and growth.
- Technical indicators like RSI and EMA provide a positive outlook, supporting a bullish stance above the pivotal levels.
Gold’s current trajectory in the trading market exhibits a discernible uptick as it reaches a price of $2389.17, reflecting a 0.42% increase. Positioned advantageously above its pivot point at $2377.95, the precious metal shows potential for sustained bullish behavior. Immediate resistance is spotted at $2397.52, with subsequent thresholds at $2431.73 and $2461.89, each representing a critical juncture that could either propel or cap further gains depending on market responses.
On the flip side, Gold’s support levels are identified at $2355.45, $2327.10, and $2304.10. These figures not only suggest possible areas where price pullbacks might stabilize but also serve as indicators for the lower bounds of trading volatility. Should prices approach these levels, buyers might find compelling entry points, thereby injecting bullish sentiment back into the market.
Technical indicators enhance this analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 56, signaling that Gold is experiencing bullish momentum, albeit without breaching overbought conditions. This implies a healthy upward movement with room for expansion. Furthermore, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2366.43 offers substantial support, underpinning the current price level. This moving average acts as a baseline, affirming the bullish trend as long as prices remain above it.
The trading strategy in this environment would involve entering a buy position if Gold maintains its stance above $2378, aiming for a profit target at $2415. This approach is moderated with a stop loss at $2353 to mitigate potential downside risks.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2378
Take Profit – 2415
Stop Loss – 2353
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3700/ -$2500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$370/ -$250
GOLD Price Analysis – April 19, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have extended their winning streak, reaching an intraday high of around the 2,417.79 level. The upward momentum gained traction as ongoing tensions in the Middle East bolstered Gold prices, with investors seeking safe-haven assets. Moreover, Federal Reserve officials highlighted ongoing inflation concerns and hinted at maintaining higher interest rates for longer. This could exert upward pressure on Gold prices due to its role as a hedge against inflation.
In contrast, the US dollar's bullish bias, driven by the increase in US Treasury yields and hawkish messages from Federal Reserve officials, generally supports the US Dollar but can exert downward pressure on Gold prices.
Federal Reserve's Stance and Economic Data Propel Gold Prices Amid Rate Cut Expectations
On the US side, Federal Reserve officials spoke about inflation and interest rates. Raphael Bostic from the Atlanta Fed said inflation is too high, so the Fed won’t lower rates yet. Meanwhile, John Williams from the New York Fed believes the Fed's policies are good for now, and they don't need to rush to lower rates. However, they might raise rates if necessary. The news, along with steady jobless claims, helped Gold prices rise further.
On the data front, the US Department of Labor reported that Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 212,000, lower than expected, while Continuing Jobless Claims slightly increased to 1.812 million. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 15.5, beating forecasts, but Existing Home Sales fell to 4.19 million, below expectations. The CME FedWatch Tool suggests a potential rate cut in September, with a 66% chance, down from yesterday's 71%.
Therefore, the Federal Reserve's stance on inflation and interest rates, along with positive jobless claims and mixed economic data, contributed to Gold prices rising further amidst expectations of a potential rate cut in September.
Escalating Middle East Tensions Drive Gold Prices Higher
On the geopolitical front, tensions have spiked in the Middle East as reports confirm Israeli strikes in Iran, leading to heightened risk aversion in financial markets. The situation intensified with explosions reported at Isfahan airport, although the cause remains unclear. Iranian officials warned of immediate and strong responses to any Israeli actions against Iran's interests, while Israeli officials indicated plans for retaliation. These developments, coupled with ongoing tensions in Gaza, have raised fears of further clashes in the region, impacting market sentiment negatively.
Therefore, the heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the Israeli strikes in Iran and the risk of further clashes, boosted safe-haven demand, contributing to a rise in Gold prices.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Gold’s current trajectory in the trading market exhibits a discernible uptick as it reaches a price of $2389.17, reflecting a 0.42% increase. Positioned advantageously above its pivot point at $2377.95, the precious metal shows potential for sustained bullish behavior. Immediate resistance is spotted at $2397.52, with subsequent thresholds at $2431.73 and $2461.89, each representing a critical juncture that could either propel or cap further gains depending on market responses.
On the flip side, Gold’s support levels are identified at $2355.45, $2327.10, and $2304.10. These figures not only suggest possible areas where price pullbacks might stabilize but also serve as indicators for the lower bounds of trading volatility. Should prices approach these levels, buyers might find compelling entry points, thereby injecting bullish sentiment back into the market.
Technical indicators enhance this analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 56, signaling that Gold is experiencing bullish momentum, albeit without breaching overbought conditions. This implies a healthy upward movement with room for expansion. Furthermore, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2366.43 offers substantial support, underpinning the current price level. This moving average acts as a baseline, affirming the bullish trend as long as prices remain above it.
The trading strategy in this environment would involve entering a buy position if Gold maintains its stance above $2378, aiming for a profit target at $2415. This approach is moderated with a stop loss at $2353 to mitigate potential downside risks.
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GOLD Price Analysis – April 18, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have extended their winning streak, remaining well bid around the $2,382 level as investors choose safe-haven assets due to increasing economic uncertainty worldwide. Meanwhile, ongoing tensions in the Middle East are seen as another key factor boosting the safe-haven gold price. Investors typically turn to gold during times of uncertainty. Moreover, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have contributed to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold.
Federal Reserve Policy and Its Impact on Gold Prices
On the US front, the stance of Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers regarding interest rates played a major role in Gold’s price. It should be noted that Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers remains cautious, indicating that interest rates will likely stay higher for an extended period until upcoming data shows sustainable inflation at the desired rate of 2%. Therefore, this cautious approach adds to the appeal of Gold, as uncertainties in the economic landscape lead investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets.
At the same time, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments on maintaining higher interest rates until inflation eases to 2% have bolstered the US dollar and bond yields. Therefore, the stronger US dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as it becomes more expensive for investors holding other currencies to purchase gold.
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Gold Price Surge
On the geopolitical front, the long-lasting conflict in the Middle East have further bolstered the upticks in the safe-haven gold price. The recent attack by Iran on Israel and the threat of retaliatory measures have increased geopolitical risks, leading investors to seek refuge in assets considered safe, like gold.
However, the statements from key figures like Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, highlighting readiness to defend against threats, have further fueled these concerns. Consequently, investors turn to Gold as a traditional safe haven, driving up its price.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis
Today’s trading session sees gold prices ascend to $2378.195, marking a 0.77% increase, reflecting a buoyant mood among investors. Gold continues to rally amidst an environment that favors safe-haven assets, with its current price navigating near the critical pivot point of $2413.
Resistance and Support Levels: Gold's immediate resistance lies at $2398, with further ceilings expected at $2432 and $2462. These thresholds represent potential turning points where sellers might regain control. Conversely, support levels are established at $2334, $2304, and $2277. A breach below these could signal a bearish turn, leading to further declines.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 53, indicating a neutral market momentum with potential room for price increases if investor sentiment continues to improve. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2361 further supports the current bullish trend, suggesting that gold prices are well-positioned above this critical moving average, which historically acts as a dynamic support level.
Strategic Trading Levels: For traders considering entry into the market, buying above the $2370 mark could be strategic, targeting a take profit level at $2395. It's advisable to place a stop loss at $2345 to mitigate potential losses should the market retract against bullish predictions.
Conclusion: The outlook for gold remains cautiously optimistic as it flirts with resistance levels that could define the next trading phase. Traders should monitor these levels closely, as a breakout above $2398 could confirm continued bullish momentum, while failure to hold support might reverse gains.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold prices exhibit resilience, currently trading at $2378.195, up by 0.77%.
- Key resistance and support levels identified at $2398/$2432/$2462 and $2334/$2304/$2277, respectively.
- Buy above $2370 with a target of $2395 and a stop loss at $2345 for potential gains.
Today’s trading session sees gold prices ascend to $2378.195, marking a 0.77% increase, reflecting a buoyant mood among investors. Gold continues to rally amidst an environment that favors safe-haven assets, with its current price navigating near the critical pivot point of $2413.
Resistance and Support Levels: Gold's immediate resistance lies at $2398, with further ceilings expected at $2432 and $2462. These thresholds represent potential turning points where sellers might regain control. Conversely, support levels are established at $2334, $2304, and $2277. A breach below these could signal a bearish turn, leading to further declines.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 53, indicating a neutral market momentum with potential room for price increases if investor sentiment continues to improve. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2361 further supports the current bullish trend, suggesting that gold prices are well-positioned above this critical moving average, which historically acts as a dynamic support level.
Strategic Trading Levels: For traders considering entry into the market, buying above the $2370 mark could be strategic, targeting a take profit level at $2395. It's advisable to place a stop loss at $2345 to mitigate potential losses should the market retract against bullish predictions.
Conclusion: The outlook for gold remains cautiously optimistic as it flirts with resistance levels that could define the next trading phase. Traders should monitor these levels closely, as a breakout above $2398 could confirm continued bullish momentum, while failure to hold support might reverse gains.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2370
Take Profit – 2395
Stop Loss – 2345
Risk to Reward – 1: 1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2500/ -$2500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$250/ -$250
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold price faces resistance at $2,410 with further barriers at $2,432 and $2,454; pivotal support starts at $2,334.
- Current RSI at 54 suggests neutral momentum; 50 EMA at $2,352 indicates underlying medium-term bullish trends.
- Recommended trading strategy: Sell below $2,390, targeting $2,350 with a stop loss at $2,410 to manage risk.
On April 17, gold prices observed a slight decline, settling at $2,377.20, down 0.31% from the previous trading session. The precious metal is currently trading below its pivot point of $2,389, signaling a cautious sentiment among investors. Technical resistance levels are set at $2,410, $2,432, and $2,454, which gold would need to surpass to regain a bullish stance. However, immediate support levels loom at $2,334, followed by $2,305 and $2,277, which could come into play if downward pressure continues.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 54, indicating a neutral market momentum, neither overbought nor oversold at this juncture. Meanwhile, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,352 supports the notion of a medium-term upward trend in gold prices. This is reinforced by the positioning of the 200 EMA, suggesting a sustained bullish sentiment over a longer period.
Given the current market setup, traders might consider a strategic approach: entering a sell position if gold prices fall below $2,390, aiming for a take profit at around $2,350, with a stop loss set at $2,410.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2390
Take Profit – 2350
Stop Loss – 2410
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$4000/ -$2000
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$400/ -$200