Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Aug 1, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY at $150.013, below pivot point $150.789, signaling bearish pressures.

- RSI at 29 suggests oversold conditions; potential rebound if support holds.

- Buy above $149.050; target $150.789, stop loss at $148.069 to manage risk.

The USD/JPY pair is trading at $150.013, down 0.12%, reflecting a period of consolidation as traders assess recent economic data and central bank policies. The currency pair remains under pressure, hovering below the critical pivot point of $150.789 on the 4-hour chart.

This level is crucial for traders seeking to determine the next directional move. The USD/JPY is exhibiting bearish tendencies, influenced by mixed signals from the Federal Reserve's recent statements and ongoing economic uncertainty.

Immediate resistance is positioned at $150.937, with further resistance levels at $152.030 and $153.152. These thresholds are essential for bullish traders looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum, especially if U.S. economic data continues to show resilience.

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 29 indicates that the pair is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a corrective rebound.

On the downside, immediate support is found at $148.047, with additional supports at $147.346 and $146.476. These levels are pivotal for sustaining the recent range-bound trading and could invite buying interest if the pair dips further.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $153.878 is significantly above the current price, highlighting the prevailing bearish sentiment unless a strong recovery materializes.

Traders might consider a buy position above $149.050, targeting a take profit at $150.789, while setting a stop loss at $148.069 to manage downside risks.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 149.050

Take Profit – 150.789

Stop Loss – 148.069

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1739/ -$981

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$173/ -$98

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – Aug 01, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Aug 1, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY pair has recently shown bullish performance due to several factors. The Japanese Yen (JPY) initially surged, reaching a four-month high of 148.50 against the US Dollar (USD) during early Asian trading hours.

This rally was driven by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) unexpectedly hawkish policy announcements, including a 15 basis point increase in its short-term rate target to 0.15%-0.25% and a plan to reduce Japanese government bond (JGB) purchases starting in 2026.

These measures improved expectations for wages and inflation, temporarily boosting the Yen. However, the USD/JPY pair's upward trend faced resistance as the Yen's gains were offset by a strengthening USD, which ultimately boosted the USD/JPY pair.

Bullish US Dollar Drives USD/JPY Pair Higher Amid Fed's Stable Rates and Positive Economic Data

On the US front, the US Dollar has recently experienced a bullish trend, influenced by several factors including the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at 5.25%-5.50%. This decision has reinforced expectations of a stable and resilient US economy.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks about a potential rate cut in September have further fueled investor interest in the USD. The USD's strength is also supported by positive economic data, such as the ADP report showing a rise in private sector employment and wage growth.

As a result, the USD has advanced against other currencies, including the Yen, impacting the USD/JPY pair positively. Traders are now looking to upcoming US economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and weekly Initial Jobless Claims, for further direction on the USD/JPY pair.

BoJ's Policy Moves and Japan’s Massive Intervention Impact on USD/JPY Volatility

On the BoJ front, the USD/JPY pair was also influenced by the Bank of Japan's recent policy decisions. The BoJ raised its short-term interest rates by 15 basis points to 0.15%-0.25% and announced plans to cut its purchases of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) starting in 2026.

These moves were aimed at addressing rising inflation and a tight labor market.

In July, Japan’s Ministry of Finance intervened significantly in the foreign exchange market, spending ¥5.53 trillion ($36.8 billion) to stabilize the Yen, which had hit its lowest level in 38 years.

This substantial intervention helped temporarily stabilize the Yen. However, the impact on the USD/JPY pair has been mixed.

While the Yen was somewhat stabilized, the USD/JPY exchange rate continues to be influenced by other factors, such as Federal Reserve policies and global economic conditions. This ongoing volatility highlights the complex nature of forex markets and the challenges in managing currency value fluctuations.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY pair is trading at $150.013, down 0.12%, reflecting a period of consolidation as traders assess recent economic data and central bank policies. The currency pair remains under pressure, hovering below the critical pivot point of $150.789 on the 4-hour chart.

This level is crucial for traders seeking to determine the next directional move. The USD/JPY is exhibiting bearish tendencies, influenced by mixed signals from the Federal Reserve's recent statements and ongoing economic uncertainty.

Immediate resistance is positioned at $150.937, with further resistance levels at $152.030 and $153.152. These thresholds are essential for bullish traders looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum, especially if U.S. economic data continues to show resilience.

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 29 indicates that the pair is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a corrective rebound.

On the downside, immediate support is found at $148.047, with additional supports at $147.346 and $146.476. These levels are pivotal for sustaining the recent range-bound trading and could invite buying interest if the pair dips further.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $153.878 is significantly above the current price, highlighting the prevailing bearish sentiment unless a strong recovery materializes.

Traders might consider a buy position above $149.050, targeting a take profit at $150.789, while setting a stop loss at $148.069 to manage downside risks.

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Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – July 25, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 25, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair continued its bearish trend, trading under pressure at the 152.58 level as the Japanese Yen (JPY) rose to its highest level in 12 weeks against the US Dollar (USD).

This drop is mainly due to traders closing their carry trades before the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) upcoming policy meeting.

However, the carry trades involve borrowing in low-interest currencies like the Yen and investing in higher-interest assets. With the BoJ likely to change its policy soon, traders are exiting these trades, which strengthens the Yen and weakens the USD/JPY pair.

In simple words, traders are adjusting their strategies ahead of expected changes from the BoJ, impacting the Yen and Dollar.

Japanese Yen Hits 12-Week High as Traders Anticipate BoJ Policy Shift

On Thursday, the Japanese Yen rose to a 12-week high of 151.93 against the US Dollar. This increase happened because traders are closing their carry trades before the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policy meeting next week. The BoJ is expected to raise interest rates and cut back on buying bonds, which would reduce economic support.

As a result, traders are selling off positions that benefit from low rates, boosting the Yen. This caused the USD/JPY pair to fall, showing that the Yen is gaining strength due to expectations of changes in Japan's monetary policy.

US Economic Data Increases Pressure on USD/JPY Amid Fed Policy Uncertainty

On the US front, the recent economic data is putting more pressure on the USD/JPY pair. The July Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) shows strong growth in private-sector activity, which might allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep its tight monetary policy. Despite this, the US Dollar is still struggling.

Investors are waiting for upcoming reports on US GDP and inflation to see if the Fed will change its policies. If these reports show slower inflation or economic growth, the Dollar could weaken even more, which would add to the downward trend in the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY pair declined by 0.97%, currently trading at $152.802, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market. This drop brings the currency pair closer to significant technical levels, prompting traders to reassess their positions and strategies.

The pivot point at $154.011 is crucial for determining the next move. Immediate resistance is observed at $153.436, and breaking above this could drive the pair towards the next resistance levels of $154.551 and $155.596.

Conversely, immediate support is found at $151.695, with further support levels at $151.052 and $150.314, which are essential for maintaining the upward trend.

Technical indicators show mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24, indicating that the USD/JPY is entering oversold territory. This suggests a potential for a reversal or a consolidation phase as the market adjusts to the oversold conditions.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $156.607, highlighting a bearish trend as the current price is significantly below this level. A sustained move below the 50 EMA typically signals continued downward momentum, putting pressure on the USD/JPY.

In conclusion, traders should consider long positions above $152.250, targeting $154.000 for profit-taking, with a stop loss set at $151.000.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 25, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY price at $152.802, down 0.97%, with key support at $151.695.

- RSI at 24 indicates USD/JPY is oversold, suggesting potential for reversal or consolidation.

- 50 EMA at $156.607, with current price below, signaling continued bearish trend.

The USD/JPY pair declined by 0.97%, currently trading at $152.802, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market. This drop brings the currency pair closer to significant technical levels, prompting traders to reassess their positions and strategies.

The pivot point at $154.011 is crucial for determining the next move. Immediate resistance is observed at $153.436, and breaking above this could drive the pair towards the next resistance levels of $154.551 and $155.596. Conversely, immediate support is found at $151.695, with further support levels at $151.052 and $150.314, which are essential for maintaining the upward trend.

Technical indicators show mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24, indicating that the USD/JPY is entering oversold territory. This suggests a potential for a reversal or a consolidation phase as the market adjusts to the oversold conditions.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $156.607, highlighting a bearish trend as the current price is significantly below this level. A sustained move below the 50 EMA typically signals continued downward momentum, putting pressure on the USD/JPY.

In conclusion, traders should consider long positions above $152.250, targeting $154.000 for profit-taking, with a stop loss set at $151.000.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 152.250

Take Profit – 154.000

Stop Loss – 151.000

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1750/ -$1250

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$175/ -$125

USD/JPY

Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 18, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY trades at $156.079, up 0.09%, amid cautiously optimistic market conditions.

- RSI at 31 indicates nearing oversold conditions, suggesting potential for rebound or stabilization.

- Sell limit at $156.762 with take profit at $154.987 and stop loss at $157.650.

The USD/JPY is trading at $156.079, up 0.09%, indicating slight upward movement in a cautiously optimistic market. The 4-hour chart highlights significant levels for traders to consider.

The pivot point is marked at $156.7620, a crucial level that could determine near-term price action. Immediate resistance is identified at $157.7310, with further resistance levels at $158.6180 and $159.4250. On the downside, immediate support lies at $155.3700, followed by $154.5630 and $153.6750.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 31, suggesting that the pair is approaching oversold territory. This indicator implies potential for a rebound or at least a temporary stabilization.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $159.2220, well above the current price, indicating a bearish trend as long as prices remain below this level.

For traders, a strategic approach would be to set a sell limit at the pivot point of $156.762. Aiming for a take profit level at $154.987 ensures capturing gains from anticipated downward movement. To manage risk, a stop loss at $157.650 is recommended.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Limit 156.762

Take Profit – 154.987

Stop Loss – 157.650

Risk to Reward – 1: 2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1775/ -$888

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$177/ -$88

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – July 18, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 18, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair maintained its upward trend and remained well-bid around 156.45, hitting the intra-day high of 156.59 level. This is mainly because the US Dollar is performing well compared to the Japanese Yen.

US Treasury bond yields have also slightly risen, making them more attractive to investors looking for higher returns despite uncertain global economic conditions. These factors together are boosting the USD/JPY pair, indicating more confidence in the US Dollar's strength against the Yen in the market.

Moreover, the US economy has demonstrated resilience across various economic indicators, including steady retail sales figures and optimistic sentiments from Federal Reserve officials regarding inflation trends.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's recent remarks have underscored confidence that inflation is progressing towards the Fed's target, further bolstering support for the US Dollar.

Expectations of Further Intervention by Japanese Authorities and Its Impact on USD/JPY Pair

Traders and analysts are closely monitoring the actions of Japanese authorities, who have hinted at potential interventions in the currency market to prevent excessive volatility in the Japanese Yen. Recent statements by Japan's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, underscore the authorities' readiness to intervene if speculators drive "excessive" movements in the Yen.

The anticipation of intervention has created a cautious atmosphere among traders dealing with the USD/JPY pair. The intervention actions, if implemented, could potentially limit the Yen's appreciation against the US Dollar, thereby supporting the pair's upward momentum.

Market participants are keenly observing any developments from Japanese policymakers, as these interventions could significantly influence short-term movements in the currency markets.

Fed's Inflation Optimism and Rate Cut Speculation and Its Impact on USD/JPY Pair

On the US front, the Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy and inflation expectations play a crucial role in shaping the trend of the USD/JPY pair.

Recently, Fed officials, including Governor Christopher Waller and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, have hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut in the upcoming September meeting. This speculation has been fueled by easing inflationary pressures and a desire to sustain economic momentum amidst global uncertainties.

Market expectations for a rate cut have increased substantially, with the CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicating a high probability of a 25-basis point rate reduction. Such expectations tend to weigh on the US Dollar's strength, as lower interest rates make the currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields.

Consequently, the USD/JPY pair may face downward pressure if the Fed moves forward with rate cuts, as it would diminish the Dollar's appeal relative to the Yen.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY is trading at $156.079, up 0.09%, indicating slight upward movement in a cautiously optimistic market. The 4-hour chart highlights significant levels for traders to consider.

The pivot point is marked at $156.7620, a crucial level that could determine near-term price action. Immediate resistance is identified at $157.7310, with further resistance levels at $158.6180 and $159.4250. On the downside, immediate support lies at $155.3700, followed by $154.5630 and $153.6750.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 31, suggesting that the pair is approaching oversold territory.

This indicator implies potential for a rebound or at least a temporary stabilization. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $159.2220, well above the current price, indicating a bearish trend as long as prices remain below this level.

For traders, a strategic approach would be to set a sell limit at the pivot point of $156.762. Aiming for a take profit level at $154.987 ensures capturing gains from anticipated downward movement. To manage risk, a stop loss at $157.650 is recommended.

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USD/JPY Price Analysis – July 11, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 11, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair has been experiencing a bearish trend, extending its losses for the third consecutive day. This decline is primarily driven by traders' cautious stance ahead of the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, scheduled for Thursday.

The CPI data is crucial as it will provide more clarity on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction. Additionally, recent remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, emphasizing the need to monitor the deteriorating labor market, have contributed to the uncertainty and downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

Another factor supporting the Japanese Yen (JPY) and contributing to the weakness of the USD/JPY pair is the rising speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates in its upcoming July meeting.

This speculation has bolstered the JPY, limiting its downside and adding to the bearish sentiment surrounding the USD/JPY pair.

Stability of the Japanese Government's 10-Year JGB Yield and Its Impact on USD/JPY Pair

On the JPY pair, the Japanese government's 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield has remained stable at approximately 1.09%, close to its recent high of 1.10% recorded on July 3.

This stability has come amidst selling pressure on Japanese government bonds, reflecting overseas investors' anticipation that the BoJ may raise interest rates in response to the weakening Japanese Yen. The stability in JGB yields supports the JPY, contributing to the downward trend of the USD/JPY pair.

Furthermore, the BoJ is reportedly considering trimming this year's economic growth forecast and projecting that inflation will stay around its 2% target in the coming years.

This consideration, coupled with the BoJ's ongoing in-person meetings with banks and financial institutions to assess a feasible pace for scaling back its JGB purchases, has further influenced the market's expectations and supported the JPY.

Impact of Anticipated Fed Rate Cuts and Easing CPI Data on USD/JPY Pair

On the US front, the overall strength of the US dollar continues to decline, reflecting growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates starting in September, possibly followed by more cuts in December.

Recent statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have reinforced this outlook, emphasizing the Fed's goal of keeping prices stable and considering a shift to neutral interest rates by late 2024 as inflation trends develop. Despite noting signs of economic slowdown,

On the data front, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) is anticipated to have risen by 0.1% in June, marking a slight easing in the annual rate from 3.3% to 3.1%. Meanwhile, Core CPI, which excludes Food and Energy prices, is expected to maintain a steady year-over-year rate of 3.4%.

The anticipation of Fed interest rate cuts starting in September and easing US CPI data has weakened the USD, contributing to the bearish trend of the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

The Japanese yen is experiencing a brief respite from its recent slide against the U.S. dollar, with USD/JPY trading down slightly at 161.705. The 4-hour chart paints a cautious picture, with the pair hovering just below a pivotal resistance level at 162.1200.

This level is a key battleground for bulls and bears alike, and a decisive break above could signal a resumption of the dollar's upward trajectory, with potential targets at 162.3800 and 162.7310.

However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 161.1100 is acting as a significant support zone. A failure to break above the pivot point could see the pair retreating towards this EMA, potentially even further down to the support levels at 160.7320 and 160.2550.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 62 suggests the pair is not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside if buyers regain control.

Given the current technical setup, traders are advised to approach with caution. A prudent strategy would be to wait for a confirmed break above 162.1200 before initiating long positions.

Alternatively, aggressive traders could consider buying above 161.470, with a stop-loss order placed below 161.184. The initial target for profit-taking would be the pivot point at 162.120.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 11, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY faces key resistance at 162.1200, a break above which could accelerate the uptrend.

- The 50-day EMA at 161.1100 provides a crucial support level to watch.

- The RSI indicates potential for further upside, but traders should remain vigilant for signs of reversal.

The Japanese yen is experiencing a brief respite from its recent slide against the U.S. dollar, with USD/JPY trading down slightly at 161.705. The 4-hour chart paints a cautious picture, with the pair hovering just below a pivotal resistance level at 162.1200.

This level is a key battleground for bulls and bears alike, and a decisive break above could signal a resumption of the dollar's upward trajectory, with potential targets at 162.3800 and 162.7310.

However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 161.1100 is acting as a significant support zone.

A failure to break above the pivot point could see the pair retreating towards this EMA, potentially even further down to the support levels at 160.7320 and 160.2550. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 62 suggests the pair is not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside if buyers regain control.

Given the current technical setup, traders are advised to approach with caution. A prudent strategy would be to wait for a confirmed break above 162.1200 before initiating long positions.

Alternatively, aggressive traders could consider buying above 161.470, with a stop-loss order placed below 161.184. The initial target for profit-taking would be the pivot point at 162.120.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 161.470

Take Profit – 162.120

Stop Loss – 161.184

Risk to Reward – 1: 2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$650/ -$286

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$65/ -$28

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – July 03, 2024

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 4, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY pair continued its bearish trend and edged lower around the 161.31 level, hitting an intraday low of 161.14. The downward movement can be attributed to the weakening US dollar, which lost traction due to lackluster economic data, raising expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024, and putting pressure on the currency.

Moreover, the prospect of FX intervention by Japanese authorities adds uncertainty to the pair's outlook. Traders will closely monitor economic indicators, central bank communications, and geopolitical developments for insights into the future direction of USD/JPY.

Impact of Dovish Fed and Economic Data on USD/JPY Pair

On the US front, recently released downbeat economic data have raised expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider cutting interest rates in 2024. US Treasury yields have declined in response to these lackluster data releases, signaling reduced confidence in the economic outlook.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments about the central bank's cautious approach towards inflation and the need for more evidence before adjusting rates have fueled market speculation. This dovish stance by the Fed has weighed on the US Dollar, contributing to its losses in the USD/JPY pair.

Impact of Japanese Intervention Speculation on USD/JPY Pair

On the BOJ front, the recent weakening of the Japanese Yen has raised concerns among policymakers about its potential impact on the economy.

As the Yen depreciates against the US Dollar (USD), it could increase import costs, potentially leading to higher inflation and reduced purchasing power for Japanese consumers. To counteract these effects, there is speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene in the currency markets.

This intervention could involve selling Yen and buying Dollars to stabilize the exchange rate. By doing so, they hope to maintain stable import prices, support consumer confidence, and mitigate any adverse economic impacts caused by a weakening Yen.

Therefore, the speculation of Japanese intervention to stabilize the Yen could impact the USD/JPY pair by potentially halting or reversing the Yen's depreciation trend against the US Dollar.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY pair is currently trading at $161.379, experiencing a slight decline of 0.11% in early trading. On the 4-hour chart, pivotal technical levels are clearly outlined. The pivot point is established at $161.1430, which could serve as a significant threshold for determining the market's direction today.

Immediate resistance levels are noted at $161.9460, $162.3800, and $162.8150. A break above these resistance points might signal further upward momentum, potentially leading to new highs.

Conversely, immediate support is identified at $160.7830, with further support levels at $160.2900 and $159.8800. These levels could offer buying opportunities if the price continues to fall.

The technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 53, suggesting a relatively neutral stance but leaning slightly towards the bearish side due to the recent price drop.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $160.7320, indicating a bullish trend as long as the price remains above this level. The EMA acts as dynamic support, and a sustained price above this level would reinforce a bullish outlook.

Given the current market scenario, a prudent trading strategy would be to enter a long position if the price moves above $161.154. Setting a take-profit target at $161.945 aligns with immediate resistance levels, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio while capturing potential upward movement.

A stop-loss at $160.785, just below immediate support, helps mitigate risk from unexpected downward shifts.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LonghornFX Technical Analysis
Jul 4, 2024
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY trading at $161.379, down 0.11%; pivot point at $161.1430 could signal reversal or continuation.

- RSI at 53 indicates a neutral stance; potential bearish correction if resistance at $161.9460, $162.3800, $162.8150 holds.

- 50 EMA at $160.7320 indicates bullish trend; a break above $161.154 may trigger buying with targets at $161.945.

The USD/JPY pair is currently trading at $161.379, experiencing a slight decline of 0.11% in early trading. On the 4-hour chart, pivotal technical levels are clearly outlined. The pivot point is established at $161.1430, which could serve as a significant threshold for determining the market's direction today.

Immediate resistance levels are noted at $161.9460, $162.3800, and $162.8150. A break above these resistance points might signal further upward momentum, potentially leading to new highs.

Conversely, immediate support is identified at $160.7830, with further support levels at $160.2900 and $159.8800. These levels could offer buying opportunities if the price continues to fall. The technical indicators present a mixed outlook.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 53, suggesting a relatively neutral stance but leaning slightly towards the bearish side due to the recent price drop.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $160.7320, indicating a bullish trend as long as the price remains above this level. The EMA acts as dynamic support, and a sustained price above this level would reinforce a bullish outlook.

Given the current market scenario, a prudent trading strategy would be to enter a long position if the price moves above $161.154. Setting a take-profit target at $161.945 aligns with immediate resistance levels, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio while capturing potential upward movement.

A stop-loss at $160.785, just below immediate support, helps mitigate risk from unexpected downward shifts.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 161.154

Take Profit – 161.945

Stop Loss – 160.785

Risk to Reward – 1: 2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$791/ -$369

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$79/ -$36

USD/JPY