GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Pivot Importance: Gold holds above $2,738.29, a critical pivot for potential upside.
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance at $2,745.32, with major barriers near the 50 EMA at $2,754.12.
- Support Risks: Immediate support lies at $2,731.80; a break below may strengthen bearish sentiment.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,741.66, up 0.19% for the day, and currently sits just above a key pivot level at $2,738.29. The immediate resistance at $2,745.32 will be closely watched, as a break above could pave the way for further gains, with additional resistance targets at $2,753.70 and $2,760.76.
These levels align with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,754.12, reinforcing the $2,753.70 mark as a crucial hurdle for any sustained bullish momentum.
On the downside, immediate support rests at $2,731.80, with subsequent layers at $2,724.64 and $2,717.20. Should gold dip below these levels, it may signal a shift to a more bearish outlook, particularly as the RSI stands at 43, indicating neutral territory but leaning towards bearishness in the short term.
With the broader trend influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions and market expectations for a potential Fed rate cut, the $2,738.29 pivot level becomes even more critical. A sustained move above this pivot could attract additional buying interest, targeting $2,753. Meanwhile, a dip below could invite sellers, pushing gold toward the lower support levels.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2738
Take Profit – 2753
Stop Loss – 2729
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1500/ -$900
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$150/ -$90
GOLD Price Analysis – Nov 01, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold price (XAU/USD) extended its bullish rally and drew some further bid around $2,757 level on Friday. However, the ongoing uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and long-lasting tussle in the Middle East have played a major role in underpinning gold prices.
This is because gold is seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning investors turn to it during times of uncertainty and instability to protect their wealth.
Although, the upticks in the gold could be limited as the rising US Treasury bond yields and a stronger US Dollar put downward pressure on gold prices.
Moving ahead, traders are now looking ahead to the US employment report for October, which will be released on Friday. This report includes key figures like Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), the Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings.
US Dollar Faces Downward Pressure Amid Inflation Data and Rate Cut Expectations
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar failed to sustain its upward trend and face mild downward pressure following recent inflation data. The Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE), a key measure of inflation, rose by 2.1% year-on-year in September, slightly lower than August's 2.2%.
This result matched what many experts expected. Meanwhile, the core PCE, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 2.7%, the same as the previous month and higher than the anticipated 2.6%.
As a result, the expectation that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming November and December meetings could further weaken the dollar, as lower rates typically make a currency less attractive to investors seeking returns.
Investors are now looking ahead to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will provide more insight into the job market. The report, set to be released on Friday, is expected to show that the US economy added 113,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate likely holding steady at 4.1%.
If job additions fall short of expectations, it could reinforce concerns about the economy and lead to an even weaker dollar. This situation could bolster gold prices, as many investors view gold as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty.
Gold Gains Momentum Amid US Election Uncertainties and Middle East Tensions
The safe-haven yellow metal has been gaining momentum as the uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and ongoing tensions in the Middle East forced Investors to turn to gold because it is seen as a safe investment.
As per the latest report, Israel is currently on high alert for a possible response from Iran, which may react to Israel's recent attacks before the US presidential election.
Meanwhile, US officials are visiting the Middle East to stop any retaliation from Iran and to find ways to solve the ongoing problems in Lebanon and Gaza.
However, they are not sure if these efforts will result in a break from fighting before the election. In Lebanon, there are hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, but fighting is still happening.
However, the Israeli military recently attacked areas in Beirut after Hezbollah fired rockets that killed seven people in Israel, including four workers from Thailand. In Gaza, Israeli recent airstrikes have caused at least 13 deaths and many injuries, worsening the situation in the region.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its cautious ascent, currently trading around $2,755.03, as it inches closer to the immediate resistance at $2,760.76. This level, marked by a convergence of previous highs and the 50-day EMA at $2,770.84, serves as a pivotal zone.
A sustained break above this point could push gold toward the next resistance at $2,767.44, followed by a potential test of $2,777.25, reflecting strengthened bullish momentum. However, if gold fails to clear $2,760.76, it may signal consolidation or a mild retracement.
On the downside, immediate support is found at $2,745.14, near recent consolidation lows. Should selling pressure increase, further support awaits at $2,731.38, with a deeper floor at $2,719.66, where buyers may re-emerge.
The RSI currently sits at 48, suggesting neutral momentum but tilting slightly toward oversold, which could attract short-term buyers if support levels hold.
Overall, the market tone remains cautiously bullish, as gold's resilience near $2,753.75—a key pivot point—indicates underlying demand. However, gold’s upward potential hinges on its ability to break through the 50-day EMA resistance.
Gold’s path forward will likely hinge on broader market sentiment and its ability to clear key resistance at $2,760.76, a test that could set the tone for the week.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance at $2,760.76, with further levels at $2,767.44 and $2,777.25.
- Support Levels: Immediate support at $2,745.14, with lower support at $2,731.38 and $2,719.66.
- RSI: Currently at 48, signaling a neutral stance with potential for near-term buying interest if prices hold above pivot support.
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its cautious ascent, currently trading around $2,755.03, as it inches closer to the immediate resistance at $2,760.76. This level, marked by a convergence of previous highs and the 50-day EMA at $2,770.84, serves as a pivotal zone.
A sustained break above this point could push gold toward the next resistance at $2,767.44, followed by a potential test of $2,777.25, reflecting strengthened bullish momentum. However, if gold fails to clear $2,760.76, it may signal consolidation or a mild retracement.
On the downside, immediate support is found at $2,745.14, near recent consolidation lows. Should selling pressure increase, further support awaits at $2,731.38, with a deeper floor at $2,719.66, where buyers may re-emerge.
The RSI currently sits at 48, suggesting neutral momentum but tilting slightly toward oversold, which could attract short-term buyers if support levels hold.
Overall, the market tone remains cautiously bullish, as gold's resilience near $2,753.75—a key pivot point—indicates underlying demand. However, gold’s upward potential hinges on its ability to break through the 50-day EMA resistance.
Gold’s path forward will likely hinge on broader market sentiment and its ability to clear key resistance at $2,760.76, a test that could set the tone for the week.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2753
Take Profit – 2767
Stop Loss – 2747
Risk to Reward – 1: 2.3
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1400/ -$600
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$140/ -$60
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Pivot Point Tension: Gold is teetering near the $2,789 pivot, which could define the day’s direction.
- Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance stands at $2,805, followed by $2,812.
- Support Zones: Key support is located at $2,779, with deeper support near $2,745 aligned with the 50-day EMA.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,784.29, down 0.11% on the day, as it hovers near a critical pivot point at $2,789.81. The precious metal is testing support levels after encountering strong resistance at $2,798.12, a zone that remains a significant barrier to any immediate upside.
Technical indicators suggest a cautious sentiment, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 69—just below overbought territory, signaling potential consolidation or mild correction if buying pressure weakens.
Above the pivot, gold faces resistance at $2,805.15 and $2,812.45. A breakout above these levels could renew bullish momentum, pushing prices higher if market conditions support risk-off sentiment. However, the presence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,745 indicates a strong underlying support level, likely to provide a floor for any downward movement.
On the downside, immediate support rests at $2,779.33, followed by more robust levels at $2,773.08 and $2,767.84. A sustained break below these supports could open the door to further declines, targeting the 50 EMA around $2,745, which could serve as a pivotal level for any significant trend shifts.
The current setup suggests a potential selling opportunity if gold fails to hold above $2,789, with a target at $2,773. However, caution is advised, as a recovery above $2,798 would invalidate this outlook and hint at renewed bullish momentum.
This balanced technical landscape calls for close monitoring of the $2,789 pivot, which will likely shape gold's short-term trajectory.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2789
Take Profit – 2773
Stop Loss – 2797
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1600/ -$800
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$160/ -$80
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 31, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are experiencing slight pressure around the $2,780 mark in early European trading. This is primarily due to rising US Treasury bond yields. Additionally, there are growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may not ease interest rates as aggressively, further weighing on gold prices.
However, the decline appears limited as uncertainties surrounding the upcoming US presidential election and ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to bolster gold's appeal as a safe haven.
Moreover, the softer tone in global stock markets is giving a slight boost to gold as cautious investors lean toward safe assets. Many traders seem to be waiting on the sidelines ahead of key US data releases, like the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
These reports are expected to offer clues about the Fed's next moves on interest rates, which could provide fresh direction for XAU/USD.
Impact of Rising Treasury Yields and Strong Economic Data on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar remains bullish, fueled by a further rise in US Treasury bond yields. This uptick is partly driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may ease interest rates less aggressively, adding downward pressure on gold prices.
However, the latest report from Automatic Data Processing (ADP) on Wednesday showed that private sector employers added 233,000 jobs in October, up from a revised 159,000 in September and beating forecasts.
This points to a strong job market, and together with other positive US economic data, it reinforces the view that the Fed may hold off on cutting rates quickly.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis also reported that the economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, slower than the 3% growth seen from April to June. The markets are currently expecting a 25 basis points interest rate cut from the Fed in November.
However, concerns about government spending after the US elections are pushing bond yields higher, with the 10-year US government bond yield hovering just below 4.3%, close to its highest level since July. This increase in yields boosts demand for the US Dollar, which is a bearish for gold prices.
Therefore, the rise in US Treasury bond yields and strong economic data are creating downward pressure on gold prices, as higher yields increase demand for the US Dollar, making gold less attractive. This trend may continue with upcoming economic data releases.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,784.29, down 0.11% on the day, as it hovers near a critical pivot point at $2,789.81. The precious metal is testing support levels after encountering strong resistance at $2,798.12, a zone that remains a significant barrier to any immediate upside.
Technical indicators suggest a cautious sentiment, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 69—just below overbought territory, signaling potential consolidation or mild correction if buying pressure weakens.
Above the pivot, gold faces resistance at $2,805.15 and $2,812.45. A breakout above these levels could renew bullish momentum, pushing prices higher if market conditions support risk-off sentiment. However, the presence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,745 indicates a strong underlying support level, likely to provide a floor for any downward movement.
On the downside, immediate support rests at $2,779.33, followed by more robust levels at $2,773.08 and $2,767.84. A sustained break below these supports could open the door to further declines, targeting the 50 EMA around $2,745, which could serve as a pivotal level for any significant trend shifts.
The current setup suggests a potential selling opportunity if gold fails to hold above $2,789, with a target at $2,773. However, caution is advised, as a recovery above $2,798 would invalidate this outlook and hint at renewed bullish momentum.
This balanced technical landscape calls for close monitoring of the $2,789 pivot, which will likely shape gold's short-term trajectory.
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GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 30, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintained its upward trend and hit new highs around 2,789 level on Wednesday as more investors turned to gold due to rising US political uncertainty and lower US Treasury yields.
Investors are looking for safe investments as the US presidential election gets closer, with polls showing a close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.
At the same time, Treasury yields have dropped after a sharp decline in US job openings in September. Since the Federal Reserve closely watches the job market to decide on interest rates, this data makes a 0.25% rate cut likely next week. Therefore, these combined factors have driven up gold prices as investors seek stability.
Impact of Mixed Economic Data on Gold Prices and Market Outlook
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar lost its recent strength, turning bearish as new data showed a mixed picture of the economy. US JOLTS Job Openings fell to 7.44 million in September, with August’s number revised down to 7.86 million from 8.04 million, hinting at a weaker labor market ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
However, consumer confidence rose significantly, with the Conference Board’s index climbing to 108.7 in October from 98.7 in September, beating expectations of 99.5 and suggesting that consumers are feeling optimistic.
At the same time, the chances of a Fed rate cut have grown, with the CME Group’s Fed Watch tool now showing a 99.6% likelihood of a 0.25% cut next week, up from 92% on Tuesday, and a 76.6% chance for another cut in December.
Besides this, 10-year Treasury yields eased from 4.33% to 4.23%, providing further support to precious metals.
The mixed economic data, including falling job openings and rising consumer confidence, alongside expectations of a Fed rate cut, are likely to boost gold prices. Lower Treasury yields also support gold as a safe-haven asset amidst economic uncertainty.
Moving ahead, the attention now turns to Wednesday’s GDP report, expected to show 3% annual growth for Q3, and ADP employment data, which is forecast to dip from 143K to 115K, potentially raising questions about the upcoming NFP report.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold currently trades at $2781.47, holding above the $2782.01 pivot point amid bullish momentum. Immediate resistance lies at $2790.05, with additional hurdles expected at $2798.12 and $2805.15.
This upward momentum is supported by a high Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 76.00, suggesting that gold is nearing overbought conditions. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2744.78 serves as a crucial support level and confirms the uptrend, providing a solid base for potential pullbacks.
A break above $2790.05 could signal further bullish advances toward $2805.15, yet caution is warranted given the elevated RSI. On the downside, immediate support is positioned at $2773.75, with further backing at $2764.12 and $2753.97.
A failure to hold these levels might indicate a bearish correction. Traders are advised to consider a selling entry below $2782, with a target of $2769 and a stop loss at $2790, aligning with technical resistance.
Gold remains above its pivot, but traders should remain cautious due to potential overbought conditions.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Key Insight: Elevated RSI at 76.00 suggests potential overbought conditions.
- Key Levels: Immediate resistance at $2790.05; immediate support at $2773.75.
- Outlook: Mildly bullish with cautious outlook, watching for potential pullback signals.
Gold currently trades at $2781.47, holding above the $2782.01 pivot point amid bullish momentum. Immediate resistance lies at $2790.05, with additional hurdles expected at $2798.12 and $2805.15.
This upward momentum is supported by a high Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 76.00, suggesting that gold is nearing overbought conditions. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2744.78 serves as a crucial support level and confirms the uptrend, providing a solid base for potential pullbacks.
A break above $2790.05 could signal further bullish advances toward $2805.15, yet caution is warranted given the elevated RSI. On the downside, immediate support is positioned at $2773.75, with further backing at $2764.12 and $2753.97.
A failure to hold these levels might indicate a bearish correction. Traders are advised to consider a selling entry below $2782, with a target of $2769 and a stop loss at $2790, aligning with technical resistance.
Gold remains above its pivot, but traders should remain cautious due to potential overbought conditions.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2782
Take Profit – 2769
Stop Loss – 2790
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1300/ -$800
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$130/ -$80
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 29, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) prolonged their upward trend and remained well-bid around above the $2,750 mark.
However, the ongoing safe-haven demand driven by tensions in the Middle East and uncertainties surrounding the upcoming US elections is keeping interest in this precious metal alive. Nevertheless, several factors are limiting gold's upward movement.
On one hand, positive economic data from the US suggests a resilient economy, which supports expectations of smaller interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. This, in turn, bolsters US Treasury bond yields and increases demand for the US Dollar (USD).
As a result, traders are cautious about making fresh bullish bets on gold. Moreover, many investors are waiting for key US economic reports later this week.
Impact of US Dollar Strength and Economic Data on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar managed to stop its previous downward rally and regained mild traction as positive economic data indicated that the economy remains resilient.
This development supports expectations for smaller interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Meanwhile, investors are cautious ahead of important economic reports this week that could shed light on the Fed's future rate decisions.
Nevertheless, a recent decline in US Treasury bond yields triggered a pullback in the dollar from its highest level since July 30, allowing gold prices to attract some dip-buyers near the $2,750 mark.
Investors are now focusing on Tuesday’s economic reports, including the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). These reports, along with other upcoming economic data, will influence the Fed's interest rate outlook and impact gold prices (XAU/USD).
Therefore, the recent dollar pullback and lower Treasury yields may provide gold prices with a temporary boost, attracting dip-buyers. However, uncertainty about future Fed rate decisions and key economic reports could lead to volatility and limit gold's upward momentum.
Impact of Political Uncertainty and Global Demand on Gold Prices
On the flip side, the upcoming US presidential election is creating a tense environment as Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump are in a close race for the White House. This political uncertainty is adding volatility to the markets, as investors weigh potential outcomes.
Besides this, the US has issued a warning to Iran at the United Nations Security Council, threatening severe consequences if Iran engages in further aggressive actions against Israel. This follows recent strikes on military targets in Iran by Israel.
Meanwhile, China's gold consumption has decreased by 11.18% in the first three quarters of 2024 compared to the same period last year, as high gold prices have reduced demand for jewelry.
This decline in consumption may further impact global gold prices, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
Therefore, the political uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election and tensions with Iran could lead to increased market volatility, potentially boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Besides this, China's declining gold consumption may further weigh on global gold prices in the near term.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold prices are experiencing steady upward momentum, trading around $2,751.93 per ounce, a 0.34% increase on the day. The immediate resistance level lies at $2,757.89, and a successful breach of this barrier could push gold toward the next resistance at $2,771.04. If the bullish sentiment continues, traders may look for gains targeting the higher resistance at $2,778.16.
The pivot point is set at $2,764.23, a crucial marker that traders should watch closely. A sustained move above this pivot would reinforce a bullish outlook, potentially establishing new support levels.
The 50-day EMA, currently positioned at $2,737.06, provides further support and signals that the overall trend remains upward. With gold trading above this level, the technical landscape favors a bullish bias.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64, indicating positive momentum but staying below the overbought threshold, suggesting room for further gains without an immediate pullback.
If prices encounter selling pressure, initial support rests at $2,748.71, followed by a more substantial support level at $2,740.15. Should the decline extend, $2,730.18 offers additional support, cushioning any downside risk.
For those entering positions, the outlook remains bullish above $2,745, with suggested profit-taking around $2,765 and a stop-loss set near the 50-day EMA at $2,737.06.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Bullish Continuation: Break above $2,757.89 targets $2,771.04 and possibly $2,778.16.
- Pivot Point Influence: Trading above $2,764.23 strengthens the bullish stance.
- Support Levels: Initial support at $2,748.71; stronger base at $2,740.15 if prices dip.
Gold prices are experiencing steady upward momentum, trading around $2,751.93 per ounce, a 0.34% increase on the day. The immediate resistance level lies at $2,757.89, and a successful breach of this barrier could push gold toward the next resistance at $2,771.04. If the bullish sentiment continues, traders may look for gains targeting the higher resistance at $2,778.16.
The pivot point is set at $2,764.23, a crucial marker that traders should watch closely. A sustained move above this pivot would reinforce a bullish outlook, potentially establishing new support levels.
The 50-day EMA, currently positioned at $2,737.06, provides further support and signals that the overall trend remains upward. With gold trading above this level, the technical landscape favors a bullish bias.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64, indicating positive momentum but staying below the overbought threshold, suggesting room for further gains without an immediate pullback.
If prices encounter selling pressure, initial support rests at $2,748.71, followed by a more substantial support level at $2,740.15. Should the decline extend, $2,730.18 offers additional support, cushioning any downside risk.
For those entering positions, the outlook remains bullish above $2,745, with suggested profit-taking around $2,765 and a stop-loss set near the 50-day EMA at $2,737.06.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Bullish Above 2745
Take Profit – 2765
Stop Loss – 2737
Risk to Reward – 1: 2.5
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2000/ -$800
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$200/ -$80
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 28, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have struggled to stop its downward trend but remined bearish around $2,732. However, the US dollar is gaining strength, driven by rising Treasury yields, which was seen as a key factor putting pressure on gold.
Many investors are shifting their expectations, anticipating only modest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which further weighs on the precious metal. Apart from this, the risk-on market sentiment has also limited demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
On the flip side, losses in gold might be limited due to ongoing tensions in the Middle East and concerns surrounding the upcoming US elections, which are increasing demand for safe-haven assets and providing some support for prices.
Looking forward, traders appear hesitant to make strong moves in gold as they await several key US economic reports this week, including the Q3 GDP, the PCE Price Index, and the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Strengthening US Dollar and Economic Optimism Put Pressure on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar is edging higher amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will opt for smaller rate cuts. Recently, the dollar reached its highest level since July 30, buoyed by market speculation for a more measured approach to easing monetary policy.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders have nearly fully priced in a standard 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming November meeting.
Looking at US economic data, recent indicators have reinforced this bullish outlook. In September, Durable Goods Orders fell by 0.8%, which is better than the anticipated 1% drop, and orders excluding transportation increased by 0.4%.
Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for October rose to a six-month high of 70.5, surpassing both the preliminary estimate and last month’s figure.
Therefore, the bullish US dollar, driven by rising Treasury yields and positive economic data, makes gold less attractive as a non-yielding asset. Consequently, this upward pressure on the dollar and expectations of smaller Fed rate cuts can depress gold prices.
Geopolitical and Economic Shifts Could Weaken Gold's Safe-Haven Appeal
On the geopolitical front, Iran announced on Saturday that it would refrain from retaliating against Israeli airstrikes on its military targets, provided a ceasefire agreement is reached for the ongoing conflict in Gaza and Lebanon.
This statement suggests that Iran may prioritize diplomacy over military action to stabilize the situation.
Meanwhile, China is taking steps to boost its economy as it enters the fourth quarter. On Monday, Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min stated that the country will enhance its macroeconomic policies to support economic recovery.
This indicates that China is actively seeking ways to stimulate its economy and strengthen growth as it faces various challenges.
Hence, Iran's restraint in retaliation ease geopolitical tensions, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, China's efforts to stimulate economic growth could strengthen the yuan, further pressuring gold prices as investors shift towards riskier assets and away from precious metals.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing a mild downturn as it tests the critical support level near $2,724.61. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,732.56 is in close alignment with the current price, acting as a pivotal point that could determine the next directional move.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48, signaling a neutral momentum and leaving room for potential upside if the price can hold above the $2,726 pivot level. A solid rebound from this area could see Gold challenging immediate resistance at $2,741.59, with further targets set at $2,750.07 and $2,758.54.
On the downside, a decisive break below $2,724.61 could expose Gold to lower support levels at $2,717.49 and $2,708.90, reflecting potential selling pressure. Given the global economic uncertainty, Gold's price action remains sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment, which often directs funds toward safe-haven assets.
For traders considering entry, a buy-limit order near $2,726 could yield a favorable risk-to-reward scenario, targeting the $2,741 resistance. This setup anticipates a potential bounce while safeguarding against deeper declines with a stop loss set just below $2,717. Overall, maintaining a watch on key levels around the pivot and EMA will be crucial for gauging further price movements.
Conclusion: Gold’s price trajectory hinges on the $2,726 pivot level, with a potential upside to $2,741 if support holds. A break below this level could trigger further downside, while a buy-limit entry at $2,726 offers an opportunity for gains with limited risk.
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