EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- EUR/USD trades below 50 EMA, maintaining a bearish outlook.
- RSI at 34 suggests room for further downside before oversold conditions.
- Key support at $1.07615; break below could trigger further selling.
EUR/USD is experiencing bearish momentum, with the currency pair trading below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.08085. The pivot level for today is at $1.07964, just above the current price. This positioning suggests that the pair is under selling pressure, with immediate resistance located at $1.08152, followed by stronger resistance at $1.08388 and $1.08655.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 34, reflecting bearish momentum and indicating that the pair may still have room to the downside before reaching oversold conditions. A sustained move below the pivot and the 50 EMA could expose EUR/USD to immediate support at $1.07615, with additional downside targets at $1.07139 if selling pressure intensifies.
For traders considering short positions, an entry below $1.07957 could present a favorable opportunity, with a target set at $1.07613. A stop-loss placed slightly above the immediate resistance level at $1.08148 would help limit risk, ensuring a balanced risk-to-reward setup.
Overall, as the EUR/USD pair trades below its pivot and the 50 EMA, the outlook remains bearish. Market participants should monitor the pair’s reaction to the support at $1.07615 closely, as a break could accelerate further downside movement.
Conclusion: EUR/USD’s current positioning below the pivot and 50 EMA signals continued bearishness. Traders may consider short entries below $1.07957, targeting $1.07613, with a protective stop-loss near $1.08148.
EUR/USD - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 1.07957
Take Profit – 1.07613
Stop Loss – 1.08148
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.8
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$344/ -$191
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$34/ -$19
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 28, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have struggled to stop its downward trend but remined bearish around $2,732. However, the US dollar is gaining strength, driven by rising Treasury yields, which was seen as a key factor putting pressure on gold.
Many investors are shifting their expectations, anticipating only modest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which further weighs on the precious metal. Apart from this, the risk-on market sentiment has also limited demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
On the flip side, losses in gold might be limited due to ongoing tensions in the Middle East and concerns surrounding the upcoming US elections, which are increasing demand for safe-haven assets and providing some support for prices.
Looking forward, traders appear hesitant to make strong moves in gold as they await several key US economic reports this week, including the Q3 GDP, the PCE Price Index, and the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Strengthening US Dollar and Economic Optimism Put Pressure on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar is edging higher amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will opt for smaller rate cuts. Recently, the dollar reached its highest level since July 30, buoyed by market speculation for a more measured approach to easing monetary policy.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders have nearly fully priced in a standard 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming November meeting.
Looking at US economic data, recent indicators have reinforced this bullish outlook. In September, Durable Goods Orders fell by 0.8%, which is better than the anticipated 1% drop, and orders excluding transportation increased by 0.4%.
Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for October rose to a six-month high of 70.5, surpassing both the preliminary estimate and last month’s figure.
Therefore, the bullish US dollar, driven by rising Treasury yields and positive economic data, makes gold less attractive as a non-yielding asset. Consequently, this upward pressure on the dollar and expectations of smaller Fed rate cuts can depress gold prices.
Geopolitical and Economic Shifts Could Weaken Gold's Safe-Haven Appeal
On the geopolitical front, Iran announced on Saturday that it would refrain from retaliating against Israeli airstrikes on its military targets, provided a ceasefire agreement is reached for the ongoing conflict in Gaza and Lebanon.
This statement suggests that Iran may prioritize diplomacy over military action to stabilize the situation.
Meanwhile, China is taking steps to boost its economy as it enters the fourth quarter. On Monday, Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min stated that the country will enhance its macroeconomic policies to support economic recovery.
This indicates that China is actively seeking ways to stimulate its economy and strengthen growth as it faces various challenges.
Hence, Iran's restraint in retaliation ease geopolitical tensions, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, China's efforts to stimulate economic growth could strengthen the yuan, further pressuring gold prices as investors shift towards riskier assets and away from precious metals.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing a mild downturn as it tests the critical support level near $2,724.61. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,732.56 is in close alignment with the current price, acting as a pivotal point that could determine the next directional move.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48, signaling a neutral momentum and leaving room for potential upside if the price can hold above the $2,726 pivot level. A solid rebound from this area could see Gold challenging immediate resistance at $2,741.59, with further targets set at $2,750.07 and $2,758.54.
On the downside, a decisive break below $2,724.61 could expose Gold to lower support levels at $2,717.49 and $2,708.90, reflecting potential selling pressure. Given the global economic uncertainty, Gold's price action remains sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment, which often directs funds toward safe-haven assets.
For traders considering entry, a buy-limit order near $2,726 could yield a favorable risk-to-reward scenario, targeting the $2,741 resistance. This setup anticipates a potential bounce while safeguarding against deeper declines with a stop loss set just below $2,717. Overall, maintaining a watch on key levels around the pivot and EMA will be crucial for gauging further price movements.
Conclusion: Gold’s price trajectory hinges on the $2,726 pivot level, with a potential upside to $2,741 if support holds. A break below this level could trigger further downside, while a buy-limit entry at $2,726 offers an opportunity for gains with limited risk.
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GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 25, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) struggled to sustain its earlier bullish momentum, edging lower to around the $2,720 level on Friday as the US dollar regained strength amid rising expectations that the Federal Reserve might slow the pace of rate cuts.
Despite this, Gold remains bolstered by safe-haven demand, driven by elevated geopolitical risks. The ongoing Middle Eastern conflict and heightened uncertainty surrounding the upcoming US election are key factors steering investors toward safe assets like Gold.
Gold's Resilience Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions and US Election Uncertainty
Gold is expected to find continued support from safe-haven demand as tensions in the Middle East escalate. On Friday, three Lebanese journalists were killed in a bombing targeting a guesthouse frequently used by international press outlets, including Al Jazeera and Reuters.
This tragic event capped a week of intensified airstrikes by Israel on residential areas in Beirut, with bombs striking close to hospitals and leading to casualties, including a child and several Lebanese soldiers aiding in evacuations.
In diplomatic efforts, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is meeting with representatives from Israel and Qatar in Doha to negotiate an end to the violence. This follows discussions in Cairo between Egyptian diplomats and Hamas members aimed at the same goal.
However, Hamas official Osama Hamdan has stated that the group’s position remains firm: hostages will only be released once aggression stops and a full withdrawal occurs.
In the US, election uncertainties add another layer of risk. Republican nominee Donald Trump is gaining traction, leading in recent polls in key states like Pennsylvania and North Carolina.
Although FiveThirtyEight’s model shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead, Trump’s growing odds have raised concerns over potential shifts in foreign policy, which could further support safe-haven flows into Gold.
Therefore, the intensifying Middle Eastern conflict and US election uncertainties are bolstering Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, likely driving prices higher as investors seek stability amid geopolitical risks and the potential for shifts in US foreign policy.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,723.99, down 0.30%, showing some weakness after briefly breaching the $2,727.96 pivot point. The precious metal remains under pressure as it hovers just above the key support at $2,720.89. Should gold fail to hold this support level, the next downside target is $2,701.94, followed by deeper support at $2,693.29.
On the upside, gold will need to overcome immediate resistance at $2,733.87 to regain some bullish momentum. Further resistance levels lie at $2,739.63 and $2,748.90, which could serve as key areas to watch for any potential recovery. The 50-day EMA sits at $2,733.22, acting as another significant resistance point.
Technically, the RSI is currently at 46, signaling a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. This reading indicates that momentum remains weak, and further declines could be on the horizon unless we see a bullish push past the $2,733 resistance zone. However, should gold find support above $2,720 and manage to bounce back, we could witness a rally targeting $2,740 in the short term.
For traders, a buy-limit entry around $2,725, with a take-profit target of $2,740 and a stop-loss at $2,715, could provide a balanced risk-reward opportunity. However, the failure to maintain above $2,720 could open doors for further downside.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold is facing immediate resistance at $2,733.87, with the next target at $2,740.
- A break below $2,720.89 could lead to further declines toward $2,701.94.
- The RSI of 46 suggests weak momentum, but recovery remains possible if support holds.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,723.99, down 0.30%, showing some weakness after briefly breaching the $2,727.96 pivot point. The precious metal remains under pressure as it hovers just above the key support at $2,720.89. Should gold fail to hold this support level, the next downside target is $2,701.94, followed by deeper support at $2,693.29.
On the upside, gold will need to overcome immediate resistance at $2,733.87 to regain some bullish momentum. Further resistance levels lie at $2,739.63 and $2,748.90, which could serve as key areas to watch for any potential recovery. The 50-day EMA sits at $2,733.22, acting as another significant resistance point.
Technically, the RSI is currently at 46, signaling a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. This reading indicates that momentum remains weak, and further declines could be on the horizon unless we see a bullish push past the $2,733 resistance zone. However, should gold find support above $2,720 and manage to bounce back, we could witness a rally targeting $2,740 in the short term.
For traders, a buy-limit entry around $2,725, with a take-profit target of $2,740 and a stop-loss at $2,715, could provide a balanced risk-reward opportunity. However, the failure to maintain above $2,720 could open doors for further downside.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Limit 2725
Take Profit – 2740
Stop Loss – 2715
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.5
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1500/ -$1000
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$150/ -$100
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold trades near the pivot at $2,727.96, signaling consolidation.
- RSI at 46 suggests neutral market conditions.
- Breaching $2,733.87 could lead to further bullish momentum.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,725.85, showing modest gains of 0.38% during the current session. The price is hovering around the pivot point at $2,727.96, indicating potential consolidation before a decisive move.
Immediate resistance lies at $2,733.87, and if this level is breached, the next key resistance points to watch are $2,739.63 and $2,746.70. On the downside, immediate support can be found at $2,720.89, with further support levels at $2,708.90 and $2,701.94, respectively.
The technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46, suggesting a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold. However, Gold remains below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $2,735.70, signaling continued downward pressure unless the metal can break above this level.
A close above the 50 EMA could encourage further bullish momentum, pushing prices toward the higher resistance zones.
Given the current positioning, traders might consider an entry above $2,720, with a target of $2,733 for potential profit-taking. However, a stop-loss at $2,710 is advisable to manage downside risks, particularly if Gold dips below the immediate support level.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a neutral technical zone, with the pivot point at $2,727.96 being critical for the next move. A break above $2,733.87 could spark further gains, while a drop below $2,720.89 could increase bearish pressure.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2720
Take Profit – 2733
Stop Loss – 2710
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1300/ -$1000
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$130/ -$100
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 24, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced back, trading around $2,739 on Thursday after a slight drop of 1.2% the day before, likely due to profit-taking. However, the precious metal is seeing renewed interest as investors turn to safe-haven assets amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East, which shows no signs of easing.
Moreover, the reports of North Korea sending troops to Russia to potentially engage in the Ukraine war have ramped up geopolitical tensions. Plus, rising electoral uncertainties in the U.S. are adding to market jitters.
As investors look for stability in these turbulent times, gold is becoming increasingly appealing, proving once again its value as a reliable safe haven during crises. Given these developments, it seems that gold will continue to attract those seeking a protective asset in today’s unpredictable global landscape.
Gold Gains Momentum Amid Central Bank Rate Cuts and BRICS Summit Focus
On the flip side, gold is gaining traction after the Bank of Canada decided to cut its cash rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday. This has people wondering if the European Central Bank (ECB) might follow suit and lower rates in December, especially with some disappointing economic data coming out of Europe.
As interest rates around the world are expected to drop, gold starts looking like a more attractive option. After all, it doesn’t pay interest, so when rates fall, investors who want some stability often turn to gold as a safe haven.
However, things are shifting in the U.S. regarding interest rates. Strong labor market data has made it less likely that the Federal Reserve will aggressively cut rates anytime soon. Meanwhile, everyone's eyes are on the upcoming BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia.
Countries like Russia are starting to look for alternatives to the U.S. dollar’s dominance, and the idea of a currency backed by gold is gaining some buzz. This shift towards gold as a potential alternative currency, combined with actions from central banks around the globe, is likely to give gold prices a nice boost in the weeks ahead.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,725.85, showing modest gains of 0.38% during the current session. The price is hovering around the pivot point at $2,727.96, indicating potential consolidation before a decisive move.
Immediate resistance lies at $2,733.87, and if this level is breached, the next key resistance points to watch are $2,739.63 and $2,746.70. On the downside, immediate support can be found at $2,720.89, with further support levels at $2,708.90 and $2,701.94, respectively.
The technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46, suggesting a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold. However, Gold remains below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $2,735.70, signaling continued downward pressure unless the metal can break above this level.
A close above the 50 EMA could encourage further bullish momentum, pushing prices toward the higher resistance zones.
Given the current positioning, traders might consider an entry above $2,720, with a target of $2,733 for potential profit-taking. However, a stop-loss at $2,710 is advisable to manage downside risks, particularly if Gold dips below the immediate support level.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a neutral technical zone, with the pivot point at $2,727.96 being critical for the next move. A break above $2,733.87 could spark further gains, while a drop below $2,720.89 could increase bearish pressure.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Pivot point at $2739.97 holds as a key marker for upward momentum.
- Immediate resistance at $2752.73; a break above could lead to $2764.86.
- RSI nearing overbought levels, but price action remains supported above the 50-day EMA.
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their modest upward trend on Wednesday, edging 0.04% higher to $2750.14 during the early European session. The precious metal remains buoyant, underpinned by global macroeconomic concerns and a weakening U.S. dollar, providing solid ground for bullish sentiment.
On the 4-hour chart, key technical levels reveal that Gold is positioned just above its pivot point of $2739.97, which could act as a critical marker for further upside momentum. Immediate resistance stands at $2752.73, followed by stronger hurdles at $2764.86 and $2776.39. If prices close above the immediate resistance level, Gold may gather enough momentum to test the higher resistance at $2764.86.
On the downside, initial support lies at $2729.46, with subsequent supports at $2716.59 and $2701.94. A breach of $2729.46 could trigger a deeper corrective pullback toward these lower levels.
From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 66.00, indicating that Gold is nearing overbought territory but still has room for upward movement before significant correction risk emerges.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $2718.48 provides additional bullish confirmation, as prices remain comfortably above this key moving average, suggesting ongoing bullish strength in the short term.
For traders looking for entry points, the outlook remains positive with a buy entry above $2740, targeting the next resistance at $2764. However, caution is warranted with a stop loss at $2729 to manage downside risks.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2740
Take Profit – 2764
Stop Loss – 2729
Risk to Reward – 1: 2.1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2400/ -$1100
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$240/ -$110
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 23, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) is on a remarkable upward trend, breaking into the $2,750 level on Wednesday and setting new all-time highs. This surge is largely fueled by a heightened demand for safe havens as tensions continue to escalate in the Middle East and uncertainty looms over the upcoming elections in the US.
With former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris locked in a tight race in the polls, the prospect of a Trump win raises concerns about stability on the geopolitical front.
Rising Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East Fuel Gold Price Surge
On the geopolitical front, the increasing tension in the Middle East is pushing gold prices higher as investors seek safe-haven assets. Despite efforts for a ceasefire, fighting continues between the Israeli army, Hamas, and Hezbollah in Gaza and Lebanon.
The death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has not opened any new avenues for negotiations, which many had hoped for. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, on his eleventh visit to the region, appears no closer to securing a ceasefire, even as reports suggest progress. Recently, he had to take cover in a bunker during air-raid sirens in Tel Aviv.
However, the situation is escalating, with the Israeli military launching attacks on the ancient city of Tyre in Lebanon after warning residents to evacuate. Furthermore, conflict is expected to intensify as Israel prepares for a potential retaliatory strike against Iran.
This urgency follows an incident where an Iranian drone breached Israeli air defenses and exploded near Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s residence.
Impact of Strengthening US Dollar and Rate Cut Expectations on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar is gaining strength as recent signs of economic resilience and inflation concerns reduce the likelihood of significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in November.
The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 91% chance of a modest 25-basis-point rate cut, but expectations for a larger 50-basis-point cut are absent. Currently, the yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds are 4.04% and 4.21%, respectively.
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari noted that the Fed is carefully watching the labor market for any signs of instability. He advised investors to prepare for a gradual pace of rate cuts in the upcoming quarters, indicating that any easing will be moderate rather than aggressive.
Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly expressed support for further easing, believing there is no reason to stop lowering rates.
In contrast, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid took a more cautious stance, suggesting restraint in large rate cuts and emphasizing that the labor market is stabilizing rather than deteriorating.
Consequently, the strengthening US dollar and reduced expectations for significant interest rate cuts may pressure gold prices, as higher interest rates typically increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. This could lead to decreased investor demand for gold.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their modest upward trend on Wednesday, edging 0.04% higher to $2750.14 during the early European session. The precious metal remains buoyant, underpinned by global macroeconomic concerns and a weakening U.S. dollar, providing solid ground for bullish sentiment.
On the 4-hour chart, key technical levels reveal that Gold is positioned just above its pivot point of $2739.97, which could act as a critical marker for further upside momentum. Immediate resistance stands at $2752.73, followed by stronger hurdles at $2764.86 and $2776.39. If prices close above the immediate resistance level, Gold may gather enough momentum to test the higher resistance at $2764.86.
On the downside, initial support lies at $2729.46, with subsequent supports at $2716.59 and $2701.94. A breach of $2729.46 could trigger a deeper corrective pullback toward these lower levels.
From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 66.00, indicating that Gold is nearing overbought territory but still has room for upward movement before significant correction risk emerges.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $2718.48 provides additional bullish confirmation, as prices remain comfortably above this key moving average, suggesting ongoing bullish strength in the short term.
For traders looking for entry points, the outlook remains positive with a buy entry above $2740, targeting the next resistance at $2764. However, caution is warranted with a stop loss at $2729 to manage downside risks.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold remains in an uptrend with immediate resistance at $2,740.60.
- The 50 EMA provides support at $2,703.54, reinforcing the $2,703 zone.
- RSI at 65 indicates bullish momentum but nearing overbought conditions.
Gold is trading at $2,733.64, up 0.51%, as it continues its upward momentum within a bullish channel on the 4-hour chart. The price is hovering just above the $2,728.47 pivot point, and the technical outlook suggests that further gains are likely if the metal can break through immediate resistance levels. The RSI is currently at 65, signaling a bullish sentiment, though nearing overbought territory. This indicates that while the current uptrend is intact, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks.
The immediate resistance sits at $2,740.60, and if this level is breached, the next resistance zones are expected at $2,752.73 and $2,764.86. These higher resistance points are within reach if momentum continues, supported by solid technical indicators and geopolitical uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand.
On the downside, the immediate support is found at $2,716.59, followed by key levels at $2,701.94 and $2,693.04. These supports will be crucial if the price fails to maintain its current upward trajectory. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $2,703.54, offers additional dynamic support, reinforcing the $2,703 area as a key psychological level for traders.
In conclusion, gold’s bullish bias remains intact, especially as the price trades above $2,728. For traders looking to enter the market, a buy position above $2,728 with a target of $2,752 is suggested, while a stop-loss can be placed at $2,717 to manage risk. Continued strength above resistance levels could signal further gains toward $2,764.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2728
Take Profit – 2752
Stop Loss – 2717
Risk to Reward – 1: 2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2400/ -$1100
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$240/ -$110
GOLD Price Analysis – Oct 22, 2024
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintained its upward trend and remained well bid around the $2,730 mark. However, the bullish trend was mainly backed by the ongoing uncertainties surrounding the upcoming US Presidential election and escalating conflicts in the Middle East.
Apart form this, the anticipated interest rate cuts by major central banks have also played a major role in supporting the demand for this safe-haven asset.
Conversely, the US dollar remains strong, trading near its highest level since early August. This bullish sentiment is largely attributed to a recent increase in US Treasury bond yields, driven by expectations of a smaller interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November. As a result, the robust US dollar may limit potential gains in gold prices.
Gold Remains a Safe Haven Amid Global Concerns, While US Dollar Rises with Increased Treasury Yields
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar has shown bullish momentum following a recent spike in US Treasury bond yields. This strength was driven by market expectations of a smaller interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, pushing bond yields to nearly three-month highs.
Meanwhile, investors have dismissed the likelihood of a larger rate cut, further bolstering the dollar, which is currently at its highest level since early August.
Despite the robust performance of the US dollar, bullish sentiment surrounding Gold prices (XAU/USD) remains resilient. Traders are favoring Gold as a safe haven amid global uncertainties, including the impending US Presidential election and rising tensions in the Middle East.
Market participants are keeping a close eye on the upcoming release of the Richmond Manufacturing Index and a speech by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, as these events could provide crucial insights into the future direction of Gold prices.
Gold Gains Appeal as Safe Haven Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Global Rate Cut Expectations
As we mentioned, Gold prices have gained traction amid rising uncertainty surrounding the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 and the potential for a broader conflict in the Middle East. A recent projectile fired from Lebanon landed in central Israel, escalating tensions as Israel issued warnings of further attacks on Hezbollah following strikes on the group’s financial operations.
These geopolitical risks continue to reinforce Gold's status as a safe-haven asset, drawing investors seeking stability in uncertain times.
Moreover, it received further boost following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to lower interest rates for the third time this year, marking its first consecutive rate cut in 13 years. On the UK front, disappointing inflation data has reinforced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Bank of England.
These anticipated interest rate cuts enhance gold's appeal as an investment, contributing to its recent price increase. (edited)
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold is trading at $2,733.64, up 0.51%, as it continues its upward momentum within a bullish channel on the 4-hour chart. The price is hovering just above the $2,728.47 pivot point, and the technical outlook suggests that further gains are likely if the metal can break through immediate resistance levels.
The RSI is currently at 65, signaling a bullish sentiment, though nearing overbought territory. This indicates that while the current uptrend is intact, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks.
The immediate resistance sits at $2,740.60, and if this level is breached, the next resistance zones are expected at $2,752.73 and $2,764.86. These higher resistance points are within reach if momentum continues, supported by solid technical indicators and geopolitical uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand.
On the downside, the immediate support is found at $2,716.59, followed by key levels at $2,701.94 and $2,693.04. These supports will be crucial if the price fails to maintain its current upward trajectory.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $2,703.54, offers additional dynamic support, reinforcing the $2,703 area as a key psychological level for traders.
In conclusion, gold’s bullish bias remains intact, especially as the price trades above $2,728. For traders looking to enter the market, a buy position above $2,728 with a target of $2,752 is suggested, while a stop-loss can be placed at $2,717 to manage risk. Continued strength above resistance levels could signal further gains toward $2,764.
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